Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby ReadingPhilly » Tue Nov 25, 2014 10:51:14

rolex wrote:Cherington has done a good job of re-doing the Red Sox into potential WS contenders. Notice that he did it in incremental steps- (1) trade off Lester; (2) Trade Lackey for a decent return of MLB players; (3) Sign a Cuban FA; (4) sign two top level MLB free agents. Maybe this will all blow up on him but on paper Cherington has a team that can challenge now because he has mostly tested major leaguers and stayed away from obtaining prospects/suspects.
There is no reason why the Phillies can't move some of their pieces in the same manner and get a similar return. Hamels, Rollins, Byrd etc. Hamels is in hot demand. There is no reason to accept risky prospects in return for him. LAD need a caretaker SS until Saeger is ready- JRoll anyone? I wouldn't underestimate the ability of a good GM to work this so that in 2016 the Phillies are back in serious contention. The with a cleared out payroll sign a top level FA pitcher to replace the traded Hamels.


i think he's done a pretty meh job and would take a lot more heat if he was in a different city.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Tue Nov 25, 2014 10:51:57

WheelsFellOff wrote:Larry Anderson cannot rap.


Spittin rhymes and Skoal

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby 1 » Tue Nov 25, 2014 10:56:59

What about Larry Andersen?
Fine. You wanna act like you're two? I'll act like I'm one.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby drsmooth » Tue Nov 25, 2014 11:14:21

1 wrote:What about Larry Andersen?


do you mean the Really Larry Andersen
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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby rolex » Tue Nov 25, 2014 11:27:08

ReadingPhilly wrote:
rolex wrote:Cherington has done a good job of re-doing the Red Sox into potential WS contenders. Notice that he did it in incremental steps- (1) trade off Lester; (2) Trade Lackey for a decent return of MLB players; (3) Sign a Cuban FA; (4) sign two top level MLB free agents. Maybe this will all blow up on him but on paper Cherington has a team that can challenge now because he has mostly tested major leaguers and stayed away from obtaining prospects/suspects.
There is no reason why the Phillies can't move some of their pieces in the same manner and get a similar return. Hamels, Rollins, Byrd etc. Hamels is in hot demand. There is no reason to accept risky prospects in return for him. LAD need a caretaker SS until Saeger is ready- JRoll anyone? I wouldn't underestimate the ability of a good GM to work this so that in 2016 the Phillies are back in serious contention. The with a cleared out payroll sign a top level FA pitcher to replace the traded Hamels.


i think he's done a pretty meh job and would take a lot more heat if he was in a different city.

An OF of Craig, Castillo and Cespedes backed up by Victorino and Betts with an IF of Panda, HRam, Pedrioia, and Napoli is going to get some runs. Rotation of Lester or whoever they get at the top to go with Bucholz, Kelly, Workman and whoever probably can get this bunch into the POs. He's added five MLB caliber starters in nine months-Craig, Cespedes, Castillo, HRam and Panda. That's not too shabby.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby dajafi » Tue Nov 25, 2014 11:30:40

What's sort of cool about Cherington's moves is that there are clearly shoes yet to drop. Of course he has limited control over others' actions, so I guess there's a chance it all comes apart… right now he has way too many outfielders, arguably too many infielders, multiple almost-ready catching prospects, and no pitchers. Someone's going to have serious leverage on him toward the end of the process.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby JFLNYC » Tue Nov 25, 2014 11:36:59

The difference between the Red Sox and the Phils is when the Red Sox see things going south, they act promptly. The Phils extend a veteran and hope for the best.
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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Phred » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:12:31

Wheels Tupay wrote:Guys, what is the point of trading for Cespedes?


They aren't trading for Cespedes. The Sox want to trade Cespedes to clear salary and outfield space (and he is over-rated). The Phils would be taking Cespedes off of the Sox's hands so that they can get better players (Bogarts and Betts) included in the deal.
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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby nycphils » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:21:17

Agreed. He'd fill a role in the OF this year and maybe he'd sign a reasonable deal if the market doesn't develop if he sticks around, or he can be flipped for something at the deadline. I'd easily take him on to get 2 of the 3 of Betts, Bogarts and Owens.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby bleh » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:31:10

I don't think the Red Sox are going from trading their ace for Cespedes to paying teams to get rid of him after 50 games.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:34:33

Yeah that only works if Cespedes has negative value to all of the other teams. In which case, who do we "flip" him to?

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby nycphils » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:36:37

All the reports are they want to dump him, and they've got a huge OF surplus - Hanley (to be moved to LF, reportedly), Nava, Rusney Castillo, Allen Craig, Brice Brenz, Shane Victorino, Brock Holt and Bradley Jr.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby nycphils » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:37:08

Grotewold wrote:Yeah that only works if Cespedes has negative value to all of the other teams. In which case, who do we "flip" him to?


Presumably we eat the money. Then he has value.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby heyeaglefn » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:51:43

We will give you more top prospects or better prospects if you take Cespedes doesn't sound like it would happen. They could dump him for nothing and that would be better for them. Don't think he has negative value.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby JFLNYC » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:52:47

I'd still gladly take Castillo off their hands.
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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby JFLNYC » Tue Nov 25, 2014 12:59:27

I doubt they make Boegarts available. Isn't he going to be their starting SS in 2015? I think the most you could hope for would be Betts, Vazquez and Barnes.
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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Wheels Tupay » Tue Nov 25, 2014 13:01:31

JFLNYC wrote:I doubt they make Boegarts available. Isn't he going to be their starting SS in 2015? I think the most you could hope for would be Betts, Vazquez and Barnes.


Can't Hanley play SS now?
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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby dajafi » Tue Nov 25, 2014 13:09:24

Wheels Tupay wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:I doubt they make Boegarts available. Isn't he going to be their starting SS in 2015? I think the most you could hope for would be Betts, Vazquez and Barnes.


Can't Hanley play SS now?


He's not a real good defender at short. They bought him for the bat, so playing him in left probably makes the most sense. But it further jams up their outfield picture...

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby ReadingPhilly » Tue Nov 25, 2014 13:13:23

rolex wrote:
ReadingPhilly wrote:
rolex wrote:Cherington has done a good job of re-doing the Red Sox into potential WS contenders. Notice that he did it in incremental steps- (1) trade off Lester; (2) Trade Lackey for a decent return of MLB players; (3) Sign a Cuban FA; (4) sign two top level MLB free agents. Maybe this will all blow up on him but on paper Cherington has a team that can challenge now because he has mostly tested major leaguers and stayed away from obtaining prospects/suspects.
There is no reason why the Phillies can't move some of their pieces in the same manner and get a similar return. Hamels, Rollins, Byrd etc. Hamels is in hot demand. There is no reason to accept risky prospects in return for him. LAD need a caretaker SS until Saeger is ready- JRoll anyone? I wouldn't underestimate the ability of a good GM to work this so that in 2016 the Phillies are back in serious contention. The with a cleared out payroll sign a top level FA pitcher to replace the traded Hamels.


i think he's done a pretty meh job and would take a lot more heat if he was in a different city.

An OF of Craig, Castillo and Cespedes backed up by Victorino and Betts with an IF of Panda, HRam, Pedrioia, and Napoli is going to get some runs. Rotation of Lester or whoever they get at the top to go with Bucholz, Kelly, Workman and whoever probably can get this bunch into the POs. He's added five MLB caliber starters in nine months-Craig, Cespedes, Castillo, HRam and Panda. That's not too shabby.


craig was completely useless last year. maybe he rebounds, maybe not. think they'd dump him if they found a suitor. not a fan of kelly. they traded their ace for a year of cespedes and appear willing to move him already. they signed a shortstop for $22M a year who is going to block their emerging star ss. if they keep boegarts at ss they are going to wind up with an of who has never played a game there in a park that is really tough to play in the corners. they could've just moved one of them to 3b, but they spent $100M on that spot as well. not sure i understand what his plan is, but if it includes the phillies landing some good players, i'm ok with it.

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Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Phred » Tue Nov 25, 2014 13:49:18

Also, it isn't like Sandoval and Hanley are the most injury free players in the league.
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