Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 15:15:26

traderdave wrote:
thephan wrote:From the Post-

Cuccinelli never inched away from his political roots, insisting to the end that his campaign should be read as a referendum on Obama, big government, cronyism and the health care law.


I still marvel at the stupidity of going down with the ship with this mindset and augemented public statements.


I don't know about that (although I could just be misunderstanding what you are saying). One of the things I cannot stand about [most] politicians is their maddening habit of changing their philosophy or position on issues to suit the crowd to which they are speaking. Now Cuccinelli is clearly a nut but I have to give him props for being who he is throughout the process. I would like to think that if I ever decide to run for a higher office I will not bend my core values just because I am losing.


1st, congrats on your electoral win, your honor ("your highness"? "your councilship"? "your nobilitude"? "hey, mac"? what's our correct form of address now?)

2nd, it's one thing for Cooch to stick to his own beliefs, and another to imagine he's not now the governor-apparent for reasons other than his ardent sharing of those beliefs.

cause basically, he crazy
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Wed Nov 06, 2013 15:24:24

jerseyhoya wrote:
The Nightman Cometh wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
The Nightman Cometh wrote:This was republicans best chance to take a legislative branch in New Jersey, and they couldn't pull it off. Lot of incompetence from the GOP down here. We were expecting a much closer race, and the fact that it wasn't is on them.

That being said, the GOP window in NJ is closing as fast as the phillies window did. Also I am drunk. Victory!

We have the governor's office, which is the most powerful in the country, for four more years.

It was always going to be a huge lift to pick up seats. Between the NJEA and other outside groups, Democratic legislative candidates spent tens of millions more than GOP ones. Plus the district lines are terrible for us. GOP Senate candidates won 65,000 more votes than Democratic ones statewide, and we only ended up with 40% of the seats. All 16 Republican Senate candidates who won yesterday got at least 60% of the vote.

Those district lines and money disparity are going to continue. The election environment is not going to be better for GOP senate and assembly races than this was, probably ever.

GOP has really bad footing for the next two elections, especially with Christie turning his efforts nationally sometime in 2015.

But it's not like we're going to lose any of our seats. The map is stuck. The Democrats designed it that way. I wasn't objecting to you saying this was the best chance Republicans had to take a branch of government, but your part about that being the GOP's fault.

Oh, sorry I wrote that poorly. I was talking about the GOP on the local level here. Their HQ was hilariously inactive leading up to the election.

Not expanding that to nj in general about the GOP, but definitely feels true in LD1-5
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Wed Nov 06, 2013 15:35:12

Basic Redstate.com take on all this is that the Democrats didn't oppose Christie much because his landslide victory will convince the Republicans to nominate another moderate for 2016 POTUS and the Dems know they can beat a moderate squish Republican like Christie more easily than they can beat a true Conservative like Ted Cruz.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 15:47:43

Image
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Nov 06, 2013 15:54:07

Assuming he can win the primary without tacking too far to the right, the battle between Christie and Hillary is going to be epic.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 15:59:19

you wanted to say huge c'mon admit it
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Wed Nov 06, 2013 16:01:12

thephan wrote:The AG race is all about provisional ballots now. Recount will follow. With some luck a result will be called about Thanksgiving with certification for Christmas.

Apparently there are still a lot of absentee ballots to be counted in places like Fairfax.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby swishnicholson » Wed Nov 06, 2013 16:57:34

drsmooth wrote:you wanted to say huge c'mon admit it


I have a feeling Christie would roll over Hillary. I mean win big. I mean... ah screw it.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby traderdave » Wed Nov 06, 2013 17:29:16

drsmooth wrote:
1st, congrats on your electoral win, your honor ("your highness"? "your councilship"? "your nobilitude"? "hey, mac"? what's our correct form of address now?)

2nd, it's one thing for Cooch to stick to his own beliefs, and another to imagine he's not now the governor-apparent for reasons other than his ardent sharing of those beliefs.

cause basically, he crazy


Thank you - "Hey, Mac" will more than suffice given the position to which I was elected. :wink: I get where you are coming from on Cooch. I suppose even worse than somebody who constantly changes their stripes is somebody who lives in a perpetual state of fantasy. I guess Barbara Buono is also a resident given her feeling that her epic loss can be blamed on a lack of support from the NJ Dems. The fact is that she had no prayer to begin with and the power brokers did not want to hitch their wagon to a loser. She definitely reserved a big fuck you for Norcross, etc. in her concession speech last night.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Wed Nov 06, 2013 21:15:22

There's a fair amount of wiggle room between "sticks to his views" and "reiterates shit flinging crazy in every utterance." see for instance the current governor of VA, who wrote and said some very far right stuff back in the day ans never really repudiated any of it, but also didn't base his campaign on ABORTION IS AS BAD AS SLAVERY WIMMIN BITS ARE THE DEVILS HOTBOX OBAMA IS JOKERHITLER!!!!1

Also, I'd make a decent sized bet that at least one of Christie and Clinton won't be on the ballot in November 2016, and if you gave me decent odds I'd probably wager neither will be. Christie can't be nominated and Hillary might or might not choose to lower herself back into the fecal cauldron of national politics.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 21:33:02

traderdave wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
1st, congrats on your electoral win, your honor ("your highness"? "your councilship"? "your nobilitude"? "hey, mac"? what's our correct form of address now?)

2nd, it's one thing for Cooch to stick to his own beliefs, and another to imagine he's not now the governor-apparent for reasons other than his ardent sharing of those beliefs.

cause basically, he crazy


Thank you - "Hey, Mac" will more than suffice given the position to which I was elected. :wink: I get where you are coming from on Cooch. I suppose even worse than somebody who constantly changes their stripes is somebody who lives in a perpetual state of fantasy. I guess Barbara Buono is also a resident given her feeling that her epic loss can be blamed on a lack of support from the NJ Dems. The fact is that she had no prayer to begin with and the power brokers did not want to hitch their wagon to a loser. She definitely reserved a big fuck you for Norcross, etc. in her concession speech last night.


hmmm...if she has hopes for an ongoing NJ political career she, uh, should probably not do that
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Wed Nov 06, 2013 21:33:46

drsmooth wrote:
traderdave wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
1st, congrats on your electoral win, your honor ("your highness"? "your councilship"? "your nobilitude"? "hey, mac"? what's our correct form of address now?)

2nd, it's one thing for Cooch to stick to his own beliefs, and another to imagine he's not now the governor-apparent for reasons other than his ardent sharing of those beliefs.

cause basically, he crazy


Thank you - "Hey, Mac" will more than suffice given the position to which I was elected. :wink: I get where you are coming from on Cooch. I suppose even worse than somebody who constantly changes their stripes is somebody who lives in a perpetual state of fantasy. I guess Barbara Buono is also a resident given her feeling that her epic loss can be blamed on a lack of support from the NJ Dems. The fact is that she had no prayer to begin with and the power brokers did not want to hitch their wagon to a loser. She definitely reserved a big fuck you for Norcross, etc. in her concession speech last night.




hmmm...if she has hopes for an ongoing NJ political career she, uh, should probably not do that

Norcross can't live forever...or can he?
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 21:40:39

for nightman (marginally topical):

Image
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Youseff » Wed Nov 06, 2013 21:56:38

literally no one of the 20ish people I've asked in my NYC based office voted for mayor. I asked a few people casually initially and it since most of those people had no idea there was a mayoral election it snowballed from there.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Nov 06, 2013 22:24:20

td11 wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Keeping voter rolls up to date is standard and important, and trumping it up like what they did is voter suppression is embarrassing. They only eliminated people who had registered to vote in another state after their last time casting a ballot in Virginia. In the rare case a person was incorrectly pushed off, they could just cast a provisional ballot, but the vast majority of people have moved out of the state.


At least two Virginia voter registrars postponed removing names from voter rolls until after the election. Lawrence Haake III, Chesterfield County general registrar, told the Richmond Times-Dispatch that of the 2,200 voters’ names he was told to purge, he found more than 170 mistakes among approximately 1,000 listed voters. Haake said the data mistakenly included voters whose most recent voter registration took place in Virginia.

http://washingtoninformer.com/news/2013 ... lls-purge/

170+ out of 1000 seems like a lot of errors. and most of the registrars were probably not as conscientious as this guy and just went with the ruling. in any case, you know as well as i do that most people who are told their names are off the voter roll ain't gonna bother sending in a provisional ballot for local elections.

but the main point remains that both candidates were absolutely terrible.

That registrar appears to be misrepresenting what their role in the process was.

Virginia’s Democratic Party loses challenge against purge of 38,000 voters from rolls

The lawsuit stemmed from an anti-voter fraud program, known sometimes by the shorthand Crosscheck, that allows officials in the states that use it to compare voter rolls and weed out those who are registered in more than one place. This year, the program flagged more than 300,000 names, and the state forwarded more than 57,000 of those to local election officials for further review and possible removal.

...

Lief said that about 38,000 people were ultimately removed from the list because they had registered to vote in another state after their last voting activity in Virginia and that no one else was expected to be taken off the rolls. He conceded that three voters — the cases highlighted by the Democratic Party — were purged from the rolls improperly but noted that they had since been restored.

Anyone else who might have been removed improperly, he said, could cast a provisional ballot.

If any of the local officials eliminated all of the names without further review, that's not what they were supposed to do. The gap between the 57,000 flagged and 38,000 kicked off shows that the second left of review occurred. You're going to have some small error rate with anything like this, but .01% or whatever isn't bad. Even if there were more cases where people found out they had been improperly booted when they showed up to vote, they could just cast a provisional ballot.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Wed Nov 06, 2013 22:31:02

Youseff wrote:literally no one of the 20ish people I've asked in my NYC based office voted for mayor. I asked a few people casually initially and it since most of those people had no idea there was a mayoral election it snowballed from there.

I asked my students in my two sections today if anyone voted yesterday, and only one person raised their hand total.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Wed Nov 06, 2013 22:35:15

i voted at 4pm and was #258. got asked for my ID three times, despite it not being required. they then, for the 2nd time in the past 3 years, disputed my signature, and then said 'oops, i was looking at the wrong person's name!'

sheesh
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Bucky » Wed Nov 06, 2013 22:36:18

Congrats Judge Beez!

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 22:44:45

jerseyhoya wrote:I asked my students in my two sections today if anyone voted yesterday, and only one person raised their hand total.


hey, c'mon, they're studying politics, not participating in it
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Wed Nov 06, 2013 22:54:58

as some here are probably aware, there has recently been a spate of controversy about the operational shortcomings of the technical apparatus undergirding an aspect of the Affordable Care Act. The practically incessant "news media" devotion to this wrenching national calamity over the past month has had the practical effect of - well, not having much of any practical effect on peoples' opinions about the Act:

Image
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