CFP wrote:Heard from a friend that the turnout at State College is very good. Long lines, and most voting for Obama. If the college kids do come out and vote across America, it's over for McCain.

a) Bush actually won Centre County by 3,000 votes in 2004.

b) I'm beyond sick of hearing about the youth vote. It actually came out strong in 2004, but people forget that because Kerry lost anyway.

c) It's over for McCain regardless.

The free coffee and donuts was a nice touch.

There was over an hour worth of line in my precinct in New York. I think the elections board failed to take into account that last year there were 2 large apartment towers in the neighborhood and this year there are 6. The neighborhood population has roughly tripled and this is a presidential year. And the vote doesn't even matter that much here.

jerseyhoya wrote:
a) Bush actually won Centre County by 3,000 votes in 2004.

But the key in Central PA is obviously cutting into the Republican margins of victory. I think there was a poll a couple weeks back that showed Obama AHEAD of McCain by about one point in Lancaster County which is just un-sane. Almost definitely an outlier, though...

Hoya - on the first page you mentioned a few NJ races but not NJ-1. Is that easily in Andrews' column (he asked suppressing vomit)?

My day:

Woke up at 10, about to head out to the grocery store. Come back, grab a snack and then head out to vote. Hopefully voting doesn't take more than an hour.

After voting, going to the ESPN Zone to watch Liverpool, eat chicken wings and drink beer. Then go to work, eat pizza, follow election returns, sob and drink whiskey.

I think it sounds like a pretty good day.

I'll be happy if we hold NJ-03 or 41 Senate seats by the time I go to bed. Gotta keep expectations reasonable.

traderdave wrote:Hoya - on the first page you mentioned a few NJ races but not NJ-1. Is that easily in Andrews' column (he asked suppressing vomit)?

Yes.

The three competitive NJ races are NJ-03 (Cherry Hill, Burlington, Ocean), NJ-05 (Bergen, Sussex, Warren) and NJ-07 (Union, Middlesex, Somerset, Hunterdon).

All three are GOP held seats, 03 and 07 are open seats.

There are really only around 15-20 Dem held seats nationwide that are even remotely competitive. A seat centered in Camden County isn't going to make that list no matter what shenanigans the Dems pulled in their nominating process.

Heading out to Barack the vote

arlington va, courthouse section -- i had the brilliant idea to get to the voting site right at 6 am, thinking that i'd beat what i expected to be a 7 am rush. what i saw was a line i had no interest in waiting in, so i turned around and went home and napped for 90 mins. came back around 9 and walked right in.

i believe this means most people in my neighborhood have jobs.

jerseyhoya wrote:

traderdave wrote:Hoya - on the first page you mentioned a few NJ races but not NJ-1. Is that easily in Andrews' column (he asked suppressing vomit)?

Yes.

The three competitive NJ races are NJ-03 (Cherry Hill, Burlington, Ocean), NJ-05 (Bergen, Sussex, Warren) and NJ-07 (Union, Middlesex, Somerset, Hunterdon).

All three are GOP held seats, 03 and 07 are open seats.

There are really only around 15-20 Dem held seats nationwide that are even remotely competitive. A seat centered in Camden County isn't going to make that list no matter what shenanigans the Dems pulled in their nominating process.

How sadly correct you are about that. Camden County has got to be one of the most corrupt counties in the entire nation. I actually wrote myself in for Freeholder this morning.

lethal wrote:There was over an hour worth of line in my precinct in New York. I think the elections board failed to take into account that last year there were 2 large apartment towers in the neighborhood and this year there are 6. The neighborhood population has roughly tripled and this is a presidential year. And the vote doesn't even matter that much here.

^why i hate the electoral college, marginalizing large states like Cali, Texas and NY, where the elector to voter ratio is much higher than small states. And my vote in PA counts more than yours in NY. Cali's the most underrepresented state in the union in almost every regard...especially all those republicans

CANT WAIT TO VOTE

Just voted. Took me 25 minutes from leaving the apartment to getting back, and it's like 5 blocks away. No line at all, it was nice.

I think I was around the 800th person to vote in my precinct, if the counting things were right on the two ballot scantron feeder things. I wonder what number McCain voter that made me? 25?

Just got back from voting. I was #322 on the day.

Paper ballot Scantron forms ftw!

I had to use a quasi computerized voting machine for the first time in my life. In Delaware County and Cherry Hill they had the old school manual lever thing. This was arranged like that, but had unnerving membrane type keys and bright green X's that moved around depending on what you pressed.

Woody wrote:Just got back from voting. I was #322 on the day.

Paper ballot Scantron forms ftw!

At our precinct we had the choice of electronic or paper ballot. There was a line for electronic, no line for paper. It was an easy decision.

traderdave wrote:How sadly correct you are about that. Camden County has got to be one of the most corrupt counties in the entire nation. I actually wrote myself in for Freeholder this morning.

I thought about doing that-made me queasy to vote for any of those hacks. Next time I'll write in your name and maybe we'll get a plurality.

Karl Rove predicting 338 for Obama

Woody wrote:Karl Rove predicting 338 for Obama

I would take Florida and Ohio out of the Obama column.

Woody wrote:Karl Rove predicting 338 for Obama

I have the same map, but North Carolina and North Dakota flipped to Obama. Of all the states in this election, I feel North Dakota is the hardest to read. Too small to receive much polling or too many ads, it still had a decent number of undecided voters (margin was 47-46 for McCain in the last poll). I could see the state decided by 15 votes. Actually, I WANT the state decided by 15 votes, that would be funny.

I'm surprised he picks McCain to lose FL, OH, and PA. That seems excessive.