CalvinBall wrote:

Ace Rothstein wrote:Trump rally in Omaha leaves 1000s stranded in freezing weather after a snafu in returning the rally goers to their cars over 3 miles away

Was going to have a hard time winning NE-2 to begin with. Going to be a bit harder if he freezes a bunch of people who are going to vote for him.

Who will he blame? The libs? The media? I mean, it HAS to be someone else's fault.

WAPO/ABC

Michigan- 51/44 Biden
Wisconsin- 57/40 Biden (wow)

is the prevailing thought that the presidential election result won't be called until at least a few days later?
cause that will kinda suck.

Winner named not sooner then November 7 I would think

Yes, it may take a while. It always takes a few days or weeks to get al the counts together and have every vote counted in every district around the country. That's normal, but there are few enough votes remaining that the election result is known. What's different this time is that there may be enough votes outstanding that the result isn't known, perhaps for weeks if it comes down to a couple states.

It might get ugly.

JFLNYC wrote:The Economist has Biden’s chances at 95%.

That’s because they are more robust on FL for Biden than anybody else. Obviously if Biden wins FL Trump is finished. I just don’t see how they are so confident he will when nobody else is.

Wolfgang622 wrote:

JFLNYC wrote:The Economist has Biden’s chances at 95%.

That’s because they are more robust on FL for Biden than anybody else. Obviously if Biden wins FL Trump is finished. I just don’t see how they are so confident he will when nobody else is.

especially with the current gov, who has had his thumb on the scales after being helped to the governor spot by Scott in 2018.

I am so tired at the multiple interviews I've heard over the last two days that people are voting for Trump because they are Republicans, so that is how you vote. Straight ticket mentality makes my brain want to explode.

A farmer on NPR was interviewed echoed what others have said that Trump handled COVID as best he could with the information they have had. A proven falsehood given his own words.He also said that he had to slash his prices and cut his production of milk over the last few years, but Trump is delivering tax cuts and negotiating trade policies that help him. Wut?

z ipper wrote:is the prevailing thought that the presidential election result won't be called until at least a few days later?
cause that will kinda suck.

Maybe officially, but we should have a good idea if Biden wins Florida on election night, and if he wins Florida, he basically wins.

If he loses Florida then you're likely needing to wait until PA and WI count their shit, which could take time.

Is the VA-5 congress race flying under the radar nationally? It is fascinating. Good VS Webb. I think Calvin mentioned seeing a lot of signage down there in central VA.

VA-5 is Virginia's largest voting district with an area of 10,181.03 square miles which is larger in area than six US states. Cook has it as R+6, but it seems hyper competitive.

jerseyhoya wrote:

z ipper wrote:is the prevailing thought that the presidential election result won't be called until at least a few days later?
cause that will kinda suck.

Maybe officially, but we should have a good idea if Biden wins Florida on election night, and if he wins Florida, he basically wins.

If he loses Florida then you're likely needing to wait until PA and WI count their shit, which could take time.

is arizona normally pretty quick?

other big indicators could be NC or GA too. can't recall how fast they are.

County-level GOP leaders are going to slow roll the counting of mail-in ballots. I am sure they only have the best of intentions:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/28/politics ... index.html

06hawkalum wrote:County-level GOP leaders are going to slow roll the counting of mail-in ballots. I am sure they only have the best of intentions:

https://www.cnn.com/2020/10/28/politics ... index.html

think this is going to have way more impact on state house/senate races than anything.

Monkeyboy wrote:

CalvinBall wrote:

Ace Rothstein wrote:Trump rally in Omaha leaves 1000s stranded in freezing weather after a snafu in returning the rally goers to their cars over 3 miles away

Was going to have a hard time winning NE-2 to begin with. Going to be a bit harder if he freezes a bunch of people who are going to vote for him.

Who will he blame? The libs? The media? I mean, it HAS to be someone else's fault.

I'm assuming the campaign refused to pay for the buses?

So all these busy voting locations are going to be super spreader events, right?

heyeaglefn wrote:So all these busy voting locations are going to be super spreader events, right?

Depends on whether people wear masks.

CalvinBall wrote:

jerseyhoya wrote:

z ipper wrote:is the prevailing thought that the presidential election result won't be called until at least a few days later?
cause that will kinda suck.

Maybe officially, but we should have a good idea if Biden wins Florida on election night, and if he wins Florida, he basically wins.

If he loses Florida then you're likely needing to wait until PA and WI count their shit, which could take time.

is arizona normally pretty quick?

other big indicators could be NC or GA too. can't recall how fast they are.

Arizona will drop like 80-85% of their vote right at 11 PM. Typically later votes are Dem there, but this year I'd guess the opposite. Tough to get a great read unless it's not close.

NC should also drop like 80-85% of their vote shortly after 7:30. Votes that roll in after that though should be quite Republican, so again tough to get much of a feel unless Trump's already ahead (which he won't be).

Georgia, not sure.

watching the results come in for these states that pre-canvas is gonna be excruciating. Gonna see an immediate huge Biden lead and watch it slowly detiorate through the next few hours as votes are tallies for in-person.

thephan wrote:Is the VA-5 congress race flying under the radar nationally? It is fascinating. Good VS Webb. I think Calvin mentioned seeing a lot of signage down there in central VA.

VA-5 is Virginia's largest voting district with an area of 10,181.03 square miles which is larger in area than six US states. Cook has it as R+6, but it seems hyper competitive.

The Republican candidate’s name is Good? Man, I can just imagine the ads. “Classic battle of the left versus Good” “Do you want to be on the side of Good or Democrats?” “We need a Good man representing us”

Actually a red mirage in PA, Michigan and Wisconsin will be tougher to deal with. If it happens Trump will be claiming victory in those states and doing everything he can to keep further votes from being counted — a process he’s already started with 2 SCOTUS decisions already and another on the way.