06hawkalum wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

06hawkalum wrote:538 has Biden's chances of victory back up to his high water mark of 88%.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... -forecast/

Recognize that if it was Trump who had the 88% chance, none of us would think Biden had a chance at the upset victory. Our tails would already be tucked in anticipation of the ramming we would be receiving in eight days time.

You're just saying that because you need to tell yourself it can't happen again. Whatever gets you through this next week is fine with me..

No, I am saying it, because it is true. Look at how anxious we are about a Biden loss despite him being an 88% favorite to win. If his odds were 12% the teeth gnashing here would be epic.

I recognize there is a very outside (1 in 8) chance that Trump pulls this off, but it is ridiculous that some of us are acting as though this is the LIKELY outcome.

No, you are using a defense mechanism to protect yourself. It's understandable. It's fine. Whatever you need to do.

I recognize that it's most likely Biden will win, but some of us are acting like it's a done deal.

Biden with a surprise visit to the voting center in Chester

Ace Rothstein wrote:Biden with a surprise visit to the voting center in Chester

and who says nobody reads threecount's posts!!!

Bucky wrote:

Ace Rothstein wrote:Biden with a surprise visit to the voting center in Chester

and who says nobody reads threecount's posts!!!

hahaha

Monkeyboy wrote:

06hawkalum wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

06hawkalum wrote:538 has Biden's chances of victory back up to his high water mark of 88%.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... -forecast/

Recognize that if it was Trump who had the 88% chance, none of us would think Biden had a chance at the upset victory. Our tails would already be tucked in anticipation of the ramming we would be receiving in eight days time.

You're just saying that because you need to tell yourself it can't happen again. Whatever gets you through this next week is fine with me..

No, I am saying it, because it is true. Look at how anxious we are about a Biden loss despite him being an 88% favorite to win. If his odds were 12% the teeth gnashing here would be epic.

I recognize there is a very outside (1 in 8) chance that Trump pulls this off, but it is ridiculous that some of us are acting as though this is the LIKELY outcome.

No, you are using a defense mechanism to protect yourself. It's understandable. It's fine. Whatever you need to do.

I recognize that it's most likely Biden will win, but some of us are acting like it's a done deal.

Biden's chances in PA down to 84 in 100.

Hold me.

Since BSG is sort of, at least its archives, at least for a while, going bye-bye, I have been reading through some old political threads. From a few days before the election, 2016:

Wolfgang622 wrote:So it looks like Florida is moving to the red column.

Not sure I'm gonna make it. I knew the race would tighten, but it's like if Trump isn't ACTIVELY cursing someone out everyone forgets what an unmitigated asshole he is.

That last part is exactly the problem that has me so goddamn worried.

Wolfgang622 wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

06hawkalum wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

06hawkalum wrote:538 has Biden's chances of victory back up to his high water mark of 88%.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/20 ... -forecast/

Recognize that if it was Trump who had the 88% chance, none of us would think Biden had a chance at the upset victory. Our tails would already be tucked in anticipation of the ramming we would be receiving in eight days time.

You're just saying that because you need to tell yourself it can't happen again. Whatever gets you through this next week is fine with me..

No, I am saying it, because it is true. Look at how anxious we are about a Biden loss despite him being an 88% favorite to win. If his odds were 12% the teeth gnashing here would be epic.

I recognize there is a very outside (1 in 8) chance that Trump pulls this off, but it is ridiculous that some of us are acting as though this is the LIKELY outcome.

No, you are using a defense mechanism to protect yourself. It's understandable. It's fine. Whatever you need to do.

I recognize that it's most likely Biden will win, but some of us are acting like it's a done deal.

Biden's chances in PA down to 84 in 100.

Hold me.

There's a poll out there that showed Trump with a 1 point lead in PA. It's a terrible poll by Insider Advantage--400 LV all interviewed on Sunday. I don't know why 538 gives them a B-.

Man Trump’s incoherent approach lately is really a hot mess, not that his base recognizes it.

Lil Pump endorsed Donnie. could be huge down the stretch

Houshphandzadeh wrote:Lil Pump endorsed Donnie. could be huge down the stretch

I feel like this should be sarcasm.

Celeb endorsements have little to no effect.

He's very obviously kidding

Caught a video of a woman yelling about the requirement to wear a mask in Starbucks and how that she has constitutional rights living in America, yada yada yada. She tromps out saying she hopes they go out of business the last thing she does at the door is yell trump 2020. What the hell is the matter with people? Trump 2020 is some kind of argument ender?

thephan wrote:Man Trump’s incoherent approach lately is really a hot mess, not that his base recognizes it.

Lately?

thephan wrote:Caught a video of a woman yelling about the requirement to wear a mask in Starbucks and how that she has constitutional rights living in America, yada yada yada. She tromps out saying she hopes they go out of business the last thing she does at the door is yell trump 2020. What the hell is the matter with people? Trump 2020 is some kind of argument ender?

Trump’s brand as a politician is being a guy who isn’t afraid of upsetting social norms with his comments/actions (aka remorselessly not giving a shit about anyone but himself) who is comfortable in the world as it is (or was 40 years ago) and takes any change as a personal attack that he has to lash out at.

It makes perfect sense that an adult who gets angry at the prospect of wearing a mask to protect public health and freaks out at a retail employee over it would shout out his campaign.

CFP wrote:

thephan wrote:Man Trump’s incoherent approach lately is really a hot mess, not that his base recognizes it.

Lately?

I think he’s grasping at straws just saying completely random shit with no message or continuity. He seems like he is devolving. Cognitive issues some might say.

Wow

thephan wrote:

CFP wrote:

thephan wrote:Man Trump’s incoherent approach lately is really a hot mess, not that his base recognizes it.

Lately?

I think he’s grasping at straws just saying completely random shit with no message or continuity. He seems like he is devolving. Cognitive issues some might say.

There was message discipline in 2016--build the wall, lock her up, and of course MAGA. It was all total bullshit, but it was a disciplined bullshit.

threecount wrote:I don't like it how Trump is staying home again today...I know he has a trip to Georgia tomorrow..

Trump has three stops today in PA...

Biden should at least make a trip out to western PA or Maine-2 for the day...

I assume in the first line you mean Biden and I agree. Everything feels wrong, like Biden is just trying to run the ball into the middle of the line and then play zone all for the last 5 minutes of the game. Playing not to lose instead of to win.

Prevent defense prevents you from winning.

Even this random former Democratic elected official guy from NJ agrees:

https://www.insidernj.com/2020-presiden ... ojections/

I love these dumb commercials by Linda McMahon's super PAC that try to convince you these are real people from PA and not totally actors. The newest one I just saw that Titan Towers in the background. Like, at least try.