Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 23, 2013 01:58:39

Yes, but in a double utley you can put your utley on top they other guy's utley, and you're the winner. (Swish)

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 23, 2013 11:38:07

may be just me but it seems like the politalkers on my teevee covering the 50th anniversary of JFK's assassination have spent almost as much time talking about LBJ as about JFK

I mean,Johnson wasn't even grazed
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Sat Nov 23, 2013 13:15:56

The most insightful thing I read about the filibuster rules change--admittedly from folks broadly sympathetic to it--was that the real shift that prompted this change was from its use for blocking relatively extreme judges (Dems during W.) to its use for blocking judges regardless of ideology AND blocking executive branch appointees over the last five years. This in turn was prompted by the increasing polarization in the Senate--fewer Dick Lugars, more Mike Lees--and the rise of partisan media that would "score" electeds not just for their final vote, but for whether they let a nominee get to a final vote.

It's really unfortunate that this was necessary. But I do think it was necessary, and I'm pretty certain that McConnell in Reid's position would have done the same thing.

As I think I've written here before, IMO Congress keeps ceding its own power, usually to the executive, by virtue of its near total unwillingness or inability to do the stuff it's supposed to do.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Sat Nov 23, 2013 13:21:14

dajafi wrote:As I think I've written here before, IMO Congress keeps ceding its own power, usually to the executive, by virtue of its near total unwillingness or inability to do the stuff it's supposed to do.



This. Also, weak parties. (Ironically, partisan gridlock is probably exacerbated by the weakness of the national party--if you want less partisanship, you need stronger parties.)
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 23, 2013 13:37:30

dajafi wrote:The most insightful thing I read about the filibuster rules change--admittedly from folks broadly sympathetic to it--was that the real shift that prompted this change was from its use for blocking relatively extreme judges (Dems during W.) to its use for blocking judges regardless of ideology AND blocking executive branch appointees over the last five years. This in turn was prompted by the increasing polarization in the Senate--fewer Dick Lugars, more Mike Lees--and the rise of partisan media that would "score" electeds not just for their final vote, but for whether they let a nominee get to a final vote.

It's really unfortunate that this was necessary. But I do think it was necessary, and I'm pretty certain that McConnell in Reid's position would have done the same thing.

As I think I've written here before, IMO Congress keeps ceding its own power, usually to the executive, by virtue of its near total unwillingness or inability to do the stuff it's supposed to do.

I think it's a good idea for the Democrats. Frist should have done it back in 2005. It seems like there's been an ever increasing willingness of the party outside the White House to use more extreme tactics to prevent the president's nominees from getting through. It's all a bit partisan depending on where you sit on who deserves more of the blame, but I'm writing so we'll start it at Bork, which seemed to really ignite the idea that voting someone down for ideological reasons was something the Senate ought to consider. Then it increases under Clinton, with Republicans using their majority on the Judiciary Committee to keep nominees they didn't like from ever seeing the floor. Then another ratchet up under Bush, with Democrats using the filibuster to target more than a few nominees, but usually for specific reasons (too conservative or worse yet, conservative AND appealing/Supreme Court material). Now under Obama another step up, with Republicans filibustering lots of people they seemingly don't even have specific objections to, they just don't want Obama to be able to appoint them.

Eventually one side was going to pull the trigger on this. No reason to think Democrats under the next GOP president wouldn't have kept these tactics going, leading a GOP majority of less than 60 to invoke the nuclear option themselves. Might as well be the first ones to get to take advantage of it (and especially important for them to do it now in case the GOP wins the Senate in 2014 and can just vote down whoever with 51 votes).

Both sides (outside of Levin and McCain) are total hypocrites on it, which is to be expected in a partisan, process fight.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Sat Nov 23, 2013 13:39:34

JEFF MERKLEY: You bet.

The tradition has been up-and-down votes with rare exception. But what we have had instead is, in the history of the United States of America, there have been 23 filibusters of district court nominees; 20 of those have been by the Republican minority during President Obama's presidency, 20 out of 23 in our entire history.

And we can take those same statistics and go to area after area. This perpetual war on President Obama has to come to an end. It's not serving the American people. The American people want us solving problems on the floor of the Senate, addressing the issue of living-wage jobs, addressing the issue of low employment, addressing the issue of the high expense of college.

What they don't want is our time wasted throughout the entire year on perpetual filibusters of nominees.

GWEN IFILL: Senator Merkley, your -- the president whose name you keep invoking, when he was a senator in 2005, said there should be -- that the rules are the rules and you shouldn't be changing them in midstream. What's different now?

JEFF MERKLEY: Well, let's take 2005. In 2005, a deal was reached by a group of seven Republicans and seven Democrats.

The deal was that there would be no change in the rules if the Democrats agreed to only filibuster for rare exceptional circumstances, those being terrible problems with character or experience. This deal was completely honored by the Democrats. In fact, they didn't filibuster a single judge thereafter under the Bush administration.

But, immediately upon the Republicans becoming the minority party, they broke the deal, and the statistics I have given you just reflected that. And they didn't break it just on judicial nominees. They did it on executive nominees as well.

http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/politics ... 11-21.html
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 23, 2013 13:45:27

td11 wrote:
JEFF MERKLEY: You bet.

The tradition has been up-and-down votes with rare exception. But what we have had instead is, in the history of the United States of America, there have been 23 filibusters of district court nominees; 20 of those have been by the Republican minority during President Obama's presidency, 20 out of 23 in our entire history.


so td, your computer numbers just confirm what jerz has already said: both sides are doing it
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 23, 2013 14:07:30

The frequently clueful Clay Shirky weighs in, late, with his read on the ACA flub-up, and can only manage cliches applicable to organizations of practically any kind, not just those possessing "a culture that communicates in the deontic language of legislation".

I'm frankly stunned that he imagines the problems & causes he outlines to somehow be exclusive to the latter type of enterprises. A good many private, for-profit firms operate this way, succeeding (or at least not totally failing) in spite of themselves. Heller wrote about them in Something Happened; lots of us have worked at at least 1 such company along the way.

In other words, Shirky imagines this is a failure of governmental leadership, when it goes beyond that to a fundamental failure of the worldview and operating habits found far too frequently among members of "the governing class"*.

There are definitely instances of exceptions; they are exceptions.

* which for the purposes of this little digression we can define as including practically everyone who owns controlling shares of enterprises (I mean really owns, not you & me & our chump-change 401k shares).
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Sat Nov 23, 2013 14:15:37

jerseyhoya wrote:
dajafi wrote:The most insightful thing I read about the filibuster rules change--admittedly from folks broadly sympathetic to it--was that the real shift that prompted this change was from its use for blocking relatively extreme judges (Dems during W.) to its use for blocking judges regardless of ideology AND blocking executive branch appointees over the last five years. This in turn was prompted by the increasing polarization in the Senate--fewer Dick Lugars, more Mike Lees--and the rise of partisan media that would "score" electeds not just for their final vote, but for whether they let a nominee get to a final vote.

It's really unfortunate that this was necessary. But I do think it was necessary, and I'm pretty certain that McConnell in Reid's position would have done the same thing.

As I think I've written here before, IMO Congress keeps ceding its own power, usually to the executive, by virtue of its near total unwillingness or inability to do the stuff it's supposed to do.

I think it's a good idea for the Democrats. Frist should have done it back in 2005. It seems like there's been an ever increasing willingness of the party outside the White House to use more extreme tactics to prevent the president's nominees from getting through. It's all a bit partisan depending on where you sit on who deserves more of the blame, but I'm writing so we'll start it at Bork, which seemed to really ignite the idea that voting someone down for ideological reasons was something the Senate ought to consider. Then it increases under Clinton, with Republicans using their majority on the Judiciary Committee to keep nominees they didn't like from ever seeing the floor. Then another ratchet up under Bush, with Democrats using the filibuster to target more than a few nominees, but usually for specific reasons (too conservative or worse yet, conservative AND appealing/Supreme Court material). Now under Obama another step up, with Republicans filibustering lots of people they seemingly don't even have specific objections to, they just don't want Obama to be able to appoint them.

Eventually one side was going to pull the trigger on this. No reason to think Democrats under the next GOP president wouldn't have kept these tactics going, leading a GOP majority of less than 60 to invoke the nuclear option themselves. Might as well be the first ones to get to take advantage of it (and especially important for them to do it now in case the GOP wins the Senate in 2014 and can just vote down whoever with 51 votes).

Both sides (outside of Levin and McCain) are total hypocrites on it, which is to be expected in a partisan, process fight.


You'd have to add Pryor to that list I think, but he's not much of a Senator.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 23, 2013 15:14:38

drsmooth wrote:
td11 wrote:
JEFF MERKLEY: You bet.

The tradition has been up-and-down votes with rare exception. But what we have had instead is, in the history of the United States of America, there have been 23 filibusters of district court nominees; 20 of those have been by the Republican minority during President Obama's presidency, 20 out of 23 in our entire history.


so td, your computer numbers just confirm what jerz has already said: both sides are doing it

If that's what you got from what I wrote, jesus christ

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Sat Nov 23, 2013 15:30:11

I think an important but not much asked question here is at what point "advance a partisan policy agenda" became the biggest thing you wanted out of a judicial nominee.

What was different about bork was that he so clearly saw that as his mission. Granted that Ike regretted appointing Warren and Brennan, and JFK might have rued putting Whizzer White on the Court, Bush 41 with Souter etc. But even the likes of Roberts and Kagan, both of whom had held serious political jobs, at least simulated humility and objectivity during the process. When you don't even have that fig leaf with a Bork or Janice Rogers Brown, the incentive to block them goes up sharply.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 23, 2013 15:34:38

TenuredVulture wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Both sides (outside of Levin and McCain) are total hypocrites on it, which is to be expected in a partisan, process fight.


You'd have to add Pryor to that list I think, but he's not much of a Senator.

Yeah, I forgot him, though not sure how much of that is genuine conviction that this is how the Senate ought to work like Levin and McCain and how much is needing to win reelection in a conservative state in 12 months.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Sat Nov 23, 2013 15:49:09

jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
td11 wrote:
JEFF MERKLEY: You bet.

The tradition has been up-and-down votes with rare exception. But what we have had instead is, in the history of the United States of America, there have been 23 filibusters of district court nominees; 20 of those have been by the Republican minority during President Obama's presidency, 20 out of 23 in our entire history.


so td, your computer numbers just confirm what jerz has already said: both sides are doing it

If that's what you got from what I wrote, jesus christ


well you did, in so many words. you wrote that it's been an escalating game that both parties have played and that the republican tactics now are merely a natural and expected move in that progression. but i'd disagree that

jerseyhoya wrote:Now under Obama another step up, with Republicans filibustering lots of people they seemingly don't even have specific objections to, they just don't want Obama to be able to appoint them.


is in any way a reasonable escalation of what had been going on. it's a huge jump to go from actually having objections to a candidates ideology/background/whatever to what republicans are doing now
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Sat Nov 23, 2013 15:49:24

jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
td11 wrote:
JEFF MERKLEY: You bet.

The tradition has been up-and-down votes with rare exception. But what we have had instead is, in the history of the United States of America, there have been 23 filibusters of district court nominees; 20 of those have been by the Republican minority during President Obama's presidency, 20 out of 23 in our entire history.


so td, your computer numbers just confirm what jerz has already said: both sides are doing it

If that's what you got from what I wrote, jesus christ


relax, that's not all that i got from what you wrote

are you going to respond to the 2nd part of what I wrote, that I suggested you respond to, that you haven't responded to yet?
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 23, 2013 16:33:58

td11 wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
td11 wrote:
JEFF MERKLEY: You bet.

The tradition has been up-and-down votes with rare exception. But what we have had instead is, in the history of the United States of America, there have been 23 filibusters of district court nominees; 20 of those have been by the Republican minority during President Obama's presidency, 20 out of 23 in our entire history.


so td, your computer numbers just confirm what jerz has already said: both sides are doing it

If that's what you got from what I wrote, jesus christ


well you did, in so many words. you wrote that it's been an escalating game that both parties have played and that the republican tactics now are merely a natural and expected move in that progression. but i'd disagree that

jerseyhoya wrote:Now under Obama another step up, with Republicans filibustering lots of people they seemingly don't even have specific objections to, they just don't want Obama to be able to appoint them.


is in any way a reasonable escalation of what had been going on. it's a huge jump to go from actually having objections to a candidates ideology/background/whatever to what republicans are doing now

First, of course the GOP has objections to the ideology of the judges they've been blocking. They don't want Obama to have a free hand in appointing a bunch of liberal justices to the bench. The distinction I was trying to make is the Democrats loudly made specific, issue/ruling level objections for the people they filibustered: "OMG this person is anti-abortion!" "she's pro big business!" etc. Some of judges the GOP have been blocking have gotten that treatment, but for the most part it seems like the Senate GOP has taken a less public approach to the battle, with explanations not getting far beyond 'we don't want Obama packing the courts with liberals.'

But I don't really see how anyone can think the recent GOP tactics are a weird outlier in the escalation. From 1967-2002, there had been six filibusters that resulted in blocking a nominee total for judicial nominations. After losing the Senate in 2002, the Democrats successfully filibustered 12 Bush nominees in the 108th Congress. They doubled the number of filibustered judges from the previous 18 Congresses in one two year window, inventing the concept of the widespread usage of the filibuster to block judges the party doesn't like. The GOP got pissed at this and threatened to invoke the nuclear option. A compromise was reached to let some of the blocked judges through during the 109th Congress, and Democrats won the Senate soon after that so didn't need to filibuster Bush nominees to block them any more anyway. After the 2010 elections, the GOP revived the tactic Democrats basically invented eight years earlier and used it a bunch more than they did.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Nov 23, 2013 16:45:22

drsmooth wrote:relax, that's not all that i got from what you wrote

are you going to respond to the 2nd part of what I wrote, that I suggested you respond to, that you haven't responded to yet?

The New York Times is free to change its mind for whatever reason it wants. But since it is the self-styled paper of record, and it sure as hell thinks it has dignity, I'll make fun of it regardless of the actual reason it changed its mind and regardless of whether we should expect media outlets to act in a dignified manner.

I don't really care whether they flipped because of the whims of the market or because they're unmitigated Democratic Party hacks (or if they're total hacks because of the market).

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Wheels Tupay » Sat Nov 23, 2013 23:48:32

Deal struck. Hopefully both sides respect the agreement and relations begin to warm.

http://news.yahoo.com/iran-nuclear-deal ... 22943.html
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Sun Nov 24, 2013 06:37:48

I doubt that it will last or work as intended, but I guess it's a good thing that Iran won't be trying to get the nukes. To be honest, I don't see why they shouldn't be able to. They have a nation in Israel that would just as soon blow it off the map and the US supporting that country. They should have a right to defend themselves, same as everyone else. More importantly, most energy experts are saying we need to increase nuclear to meet the growing energy needs and combat global warming. Why shouldn't Iran have access to cheap, relatively clean energy?

Anyway, the nuclear nations are like some sick club that refuses to let anyone else join. Meanwhile, they show the same sorts of behaviors that supposedly make a nation unworthy of having the weapons in the first place. I really would prefer that we have as few nuclear weapons around the world as possible, I just hate the hypocrisy.
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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby kimbatiste » Sun Nov 24, 2013 08:10:59

Monkeyboy wrote:I doubt that it will last or work as intended, but I guess it's a good thing that Iran won't be trying to get the nukes. To be honest, I don't see why they shouldn't be able to. They have a nation in Israel that would just as soon blow it off the map and the US supporting that country. They should have a right to defend themselves, same as everyone else. More importantly, most energy experts are saying we need to increase nuclear to meet the growing energy needs and combat global warming. Why shouldn't Iran have access to cheap, relatively clean energy?



Putting aside the false equivalence between Iran and Israel, the deal does allow them to have cheap nuclear energy while putting restrictions/monitoring in place to ensure it is solely for civilian use. Iran has a long and well-documented history of aiding terrorists, I'm not sure how you can't see them getting a nuke is a bad thing.

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Re: Last I Checked, It's still 2013 - Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Sun Nov 24, 2013 08:25:17

The US and Israel also have a long history of aiding terrorists. Who you see as the terrorists depends what side you're on.

Netanyahu has come out with some pretty provocative comments about what he'd like to see done to Iran. Again, put yourself in Iran's shoes and read his comments or look at who we helped into power in the region. We helped Hussein get into power and he was brutal to shiite groups.

Just to be clear, I'm not saying I want Iran to have them. And I'm not saying it's a good thing for them to have them -- in fact, I think it's most likely bad. I'm just saying that I think it's their right to have them, just as it is our right or Israel's right. If you were Iran, would you trust Israel not to go nuclear with asswipes like Netanyahu in power or would you want to also have nukes to ensure a balance of power?
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