All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Rev_Beezer » Fri Sep 28, 2012 06:01:22

Man, I can see the smear campaigns coming resulting from something like that. You could accuse your opponent of a lot of things!
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Sep 28, 2012 07:12:42

jerseyhoya wrote:Indeed. Studiously avoiding 2Q GDP being revised down to 1.3% on top of the awful durable goods numbers out heightening fears of a double dip recession. That's what the VRWC is doing.

what matters, in the long-run is jobs. more people were hired then previously thought,a nd less claimed unemployment. this is the basis for any strong economy. in the end, growth of 1.7 or 1.3 is fairly meaningless, when what matters is money in the hands of people so they can spend money, since our entire economy is based, rightly or wrongly, on spending. consumer spending lags hiring.

what is needed is move away from austerity. plain and simple, we need to spend more to drive spending in the mean time.

people looked into the numbers and saw what they wanted. gdp growth is less important than jobs, though, just as we've seen cash on hand being essentially meaningless. companies just hold it because they are 'uncertain'. they're uncertain because they haven't hired enough workers to buy their own goods. it's a catch-22.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby jeff2sf » Fri Sep 28, 2012 08:16:41

Bucky,
Think you're basically describing China. You can absolutely be more efficient and enact more things. Some of those things may even be beneficial (for example the emphasis on economic growth in China as well as all the infrastructure improvements) but the loss of transparency is just a bridge too far...

We get the government we deserve, both good and bad.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby thephan » Fri Sep 28, 2012 08:19:48

Saw an open letter supporting the 47% comment from a retiree saying that it is the truth and heinous because he is a retiree, but he earned his. I am still not sure is it is sarcastic or stupid.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby thephan » Fri Sep 28, 2012 08:19:49

Saw an open letter supporting the 47% comment from a retiree saying that it is the truth and heinous because he is a retiree, but he earned his. I am still not sure is it is sarcastic or stupid.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Bucky » Fri Sep 28, 2012 08:21:41

so it's a win/win. We can weaken the parties AND make our own iPads. I'm in!

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby thephan » Fri Sep 28, 2012 08:27:31

SK790 wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Breweries per square mile? What a dumb way to measure it.

tis, but i couldnt find one about per capita. alaska is top 10 in that due to how small their population is, but one could argue that NJ has easier access to PA microbrews than Alaska has to ANY other micros, so land size makes some more sense in that respect.

http://www.brewersassociation.org/pages ... per-capita

you have to go to the link and open the pdf.


BA is the industry representation for the brewing professional community and friend of the home brewer. Understand that as a trade organization they are responsible for creative statistics to support their membership. There are all sort of slices that they bend to make (craft) beer the shining jewel everywhere it can be found. Craft is represented heavily, but the big boys are members too, and thanks to them the industry is paradoxically supported.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Fri Sep 28, 2012 09:31:24

Bucky wrote:still doesn't trump the inherent racism of those who will vote against obama no matter who his opponent is, as long as they're caucasian

As I've said a few times, it doesn't have to affect those people to be effective. It has to (1) prevent the voters with a soft Obama lean from ever wanting to change their mind, (2) discourage true undecideds from breaking towards Romney at the last minute, or (3) discourage soft Romney leans from voting for him (either by switching to Obama or just not voting at all b/c they dislike both candidates). Obama is winning--he just needs to keep his message foremost in people's minds and run out the clock.

This ad is the campaign equivalent of a 20-yard run on 2nd and 8 while up 3 points with 1:50 to play and your opponent has two timeouts left. It's a big play and could be a backbreaker unless something changes quickly.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Fri Sep 28, 2012 09:37:20

From that NY Mag column linked a couple pages back... he describes what I'm talking about:

Worse still, the comments destroy Romney’s fundamental credibility. Here America sees what he says behind closed doors. Nothing he can say in public can possibly overcome the damage of these comments, because voters will quite correctly assume that he is telling them what they want to hear. George W. Bush’s campaign figured out how to do this to both Al Gore and John Kerry — by painting them as liars, Bush destroyed them as a message delivery platform. Romney has, essentially, done it to himself.

The size of the political damage Romney has incurred is beside the point. He was trailing narrowly, but in a polarized electorate with a tiny number of undecided voters. Not only has he turned some of those undecided voters against him, but he’s blown up his bridge to reach them.


Also, Nate Silver is now saying that the polls might be showing an impact as well.

“Ninety percent of ‘game-changing’ gaffes are less important in retrospect than they seem in the moment,” I wrote.

But was this one of the exceptional cases? A week and a half has passed since Mr. Romney’s remarks became known to the public — meaning that there’s been enough time to evaluate their effect on the polls.There’s a case to be made that they did damage Mr. Romney’s standing some.

(snip)

By Sept. 17, the date when the video of Mr. Romney’s remarks was released and received widespread attention, the momentum from Mr. Obama’s convention appeared to have stalled (although not necessarily reversed itself). Mr. Obama led in the popular vote by 4.1 percentage points on that date, according to the “now-cast.”

Since then, however, Mr. Obama has gained further ground in the polls. As of Thursday, he led in the popular vote by 5.7 percentage points in the “now-cast,” a gain of 1.6 percentage points since Mr. Romney’s remarks became known to the public.

It’s hard to tell whether this recent gain for Mr. Obama reflects the effect of the “47 percent” comments specifically. But the most typical pattern after a party convention is that a candidate who gains ground in the polls cedes at least some of it back.


http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/09/28/sept-27-the-impact-of-the-47-percent/

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Fri Sep 28, 2012 09:47:18

pacino wrote: just as we've seen cash on hand being essentially meaningless. companies just hold it because they are 'uncertain'. they're uncertain because they haven't hired enough workers to buy their own goods. it's a catch-22.


i prefer to think they are just greedy assholes
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Soren » Fri Sep 28, 2012 09:48:25

so that bajillion % tax in France got passed. That's a really interesting situation to watch.
Olivia Meadows, your "emotional poltergeist"

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Sep 28, 2012 10:07:55



Don't think West will get reelected, but this is one of my favorite ads of the cycle

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Fri Sep 28, 2012 10:23:38

jerseyhoya wrote:
Don't think West will get reelected, but this is one of my favorite ads of the cycle

Holy crap that's awesome.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Werthless » Fri Sep 28, 2012 10:26:58

jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:They said if I voted for McCain/Palin, there'd be increased warrantless electronic surveillance of Americans, and they were right.

so you should be happy?

and so i should vote, what, romney?, cause he'll fix it. this is why i say we dont have a true liberal party.

On that, yeah. Government needs to be aggressive in performing its primary responsibility. Keeping its citizens safe.

Wish we were still trying to catch terrorists and sending them to third world hell holes or Guantanamo rather than humanely blowing them up with their travelling parties or families with the drones though.


At least Obama is liberal on all the issues that really matter, like gay marriage and support for alternative energy. The right to marriage equality is more important than a right to life, assuming you're foreign.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby MoBettle » Fri Sep 28, 2012 10:46:10

the innocence of muslims guy got arrested for violating his probation. how about that.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/national/ ... story.html
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Fri Sep 28, 2012 10:49:15

It's only a good thing to kill terrorists when there is an R next to your name. Got it.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Wolfgang622 » Fri Sep 28, 2012 10:50:37

Jesus, the race in my parents' congressional district is really getting ugly:

http://www.philly.com/philly/news/homep ... _work.html
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Soren » Fri Sep 28, 2012 11:13:50

this is old but whatever, it's FUCKING AMAZING (plus this person is still an elected official)

http://ac360.blogs.cnn.com/2010/08/11/v ... n-the-u-s/
Olivia Meadows, your "emotional poltergeist"

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Sep 28, 2012 11:20:49

The Nightman Cometh wrote:It's only a good thing to kill terrorists when there is an R next to your name. Got it.

I'll take it over doing nothing. I don't understand the morality behind Guantanamo=evil/anti-American/must be closed, blowing up people (often many to get at a specific bad guy)=just fine.

And it's hard to get actionable intelligence from a crater of body parts.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Fri Sep 28, 2012 11:26:43

jerseyhoya wrote:
The Nightman Cometh wrote:It's only a good thing to kill terrorists when there is an R next to your name. Got it.

I'll take it over doing nothing. I don't understand the morality behind Guantanamo=evil/anti-American/must be closed, blowing up people (often many to get at a specific bad guy)=just fine.

I'm not sure how many people believe those two things simultaneously though. A whole lot of liberals believe that both are bad and are extremely disappointed in the Obama administration on the drone strike issue. There's been a lot of angry discussion on the internet over the past couple of years. It won't stop them from voting for Obama though, because it's not like Romney would be any better.

This is the sort of thing liberals mean when they say that there are no true liberal options out there. A guy like Obama is painted as a Communist, so he moves even further to the right than he already was in 2008 (which, let's face it, wasn't that far left of the middle in the first place) to get reelected.

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