All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Thu Sep 27, 2012 16:59:13

dajafi wrote:I know this probably won't be the case just because the polls are so tough to move... but this Obama ad I linked to in the last thread feels like a kill shot to me.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/ ... marks.html

Yeah I posted about this on the first page. I showed it to some conservative coworkers and it even made them feel uncomfortable. I don't know about kill shot, but it's a brutal brutal ad and incredibly well done.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:01:39

jeff2sf wrote:what do you find so powerful about that ad, daj? To me a person in the middle is going to look at that and largely say they don't identify with the faces. The main exception might be those old veterans in there.

That's an incredibly important exception. Plus the ad hammers home the point that Romney's 47% represents a true cross-section: young, old, male, female, white, brown, black, blue collar, white collar.

Besides, Romney's the one that needs to play catch-up here, not Obama. All Obama has to do is keep him from gaining ground. I think this ad plants enough seeds of doubt in people to do that.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:05:19

I don't think Jeff knows many swing voters or people in the 47%. Maybe the guy who mows his yard or cleans his pool. His comments on what counts as work dovetail nicely with his comments about the people in the ad.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:07:53

The Obama campaign seized on TPC’s finding that Romney’s tax plan, even under very generous assumptions, raises taxes on the middle class, citing the paper in attack ads and stump speeches. The Romney campaign in turn dismissed the report, and numerous conservative economists and think tanks have written responses disputing its conclusions. The Heritage Foundation’s Curtis Dubay’s attempted debunking yesterday is just the latest.

It’s all a bit much for a technical report with the dry-as-bone title, “On the Distributional Effects of Base-Broadening Income Tax Reform.” So let’s take a step back. Given what the report actually said, have any of the studies responding to it debunked its conclusions? Not really. If anything, they highlight the priorities that Romney is going to have to compromise on to get tax reform done.



Wonkblog’s comprehensive guide to the debate over Romney’s tax plan
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby jeff2sf » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:10:14

TenuredVulture wrote:I don't think Jeff knows many swing voters or people in the 47%. Maybe the guy who mows his yard or cleans his pool. His comments on what counts as work dovetail nicely with his comments about the people in the ad.


I mow my lawn and I'm not in the video. I belong to a community pool and I submit (as would you if you saw it) that there is no cleaner to that pool.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:19:46

Doll Is Mine wrote:
RichmondPhilsFan wrote:Seriously, this conversation is ridiculous. Can we all agree that waiting tables is a (somewhat) physically demanding job and a difficult job for people who aren't good at multitasking, and leave it at that?


This.



It really depends where you work. There are easy places and I've worked in a few of those (usually you don't make much money), but there are also places where you work from 8am to 2am without a break or anything to eat, literally. And I've worked in a few of those (the money is significantly better). It's definitely an industry where working hard pays very immediate dividends. Most jobs aren't like that.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby dajafi » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:20:35

jeff2sf wrote:what do you find so powerful about that ad, daj? To me a person in the middle is going to look at that and largely say they don't identify with the faces. The main exception might be those old veterans in there.

I usually don't appreciate ads like that which turn out to be really powerful/great, so I clearly know that I don't know.


I guess it depends who you think is sitting there in "the middle."

My major personal reaction to the "47 percent" comment (and I apologize if I've posted something like this in the last thread) was that it oversimplified a complicated reality to an absurd and insulting degree. It did this in two ways.

One, we're all "makers" and we're all "takers." Someone working two jobs to support her family, on food stamps, not earning enough to pay income tax is a mooch in the Romney/Ryan taxonomy... even though seemingly every speaker at the Republican convention described a mom or a grandparent who had a similar story. If that person "makes it"--achieves a career-track job at a higher wage, no longer needs Medicaid or food stamps, and starts paying taxes--suddenly they're Howard Roark, suitable for deification. Then at the point they retire, they become a mooch again. This isn't selflessness and parasitism; it's the fucking social contract, and it's fueled the most successful civilization with the most broadly based prosperity in human history.

Two--and this is really the one where the Republicans should know better--people vote their values as well as their self-interest. jeff, you and I are both currently in the John Galt/Howard Roark hero class: we're paying taxes and not getting any social welfare programs. (We are, or at least I am and I'm guessing you are, benefitting from the mortgage tax deduction--and why that is thought of differently than food stamps, in terms of a government giveaway, I can't explain with any answer that wouldn't make Bill O'Reilly very angry. This goes double and then some for that atrocity of a carried interest rate.) But I think we're both glad that those social welfare programs exist, because they align to our values. I don't want to live in a country where we have a handful of billionaires, a professional class (that's us) that does pretty well but lives within certain limits, and then a majority of people who get the worst of everything and whose fates are all but decided by the circumstances of their birth.

I didn't personally identify with anyone in the ads. The vets could have been my grandfathers, I guess. But the rest are all representative of archetypes I care about and want to see succeed, to the point where I'm actively happy at the idea of my hard-earned tax dollars going to support their opportunities and their dignity.

edit: Jonathan Chait explains better than I did why the ad is devastating.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Monkeyboy » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:21:38

mozartpc27 wrote:I
Monkeyboy, I of course agree with your politics in a broad way, but your hatred of Romney sometimes reaches fever pitch. That's fine, but I think you have to accept it, own it, and understand that others may occasionally call you out on it.


Most of the time I'm mocking the right's ridiculous attacks on Obama, though I do think Romney seems like a dick.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby SK790 » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:32:43



And then, finally, there is a poetic justice in the substance of Romney’s self-immolation. This is not a random gaffe, a joke gone bad, or even a terrible brain freeze. It is Romney exposed for espousing a worldview that is at the heart of his party’s mania. The idea he summed up at that fund-raiser was a combination of right-wing fever dreams I’ve been analyzing since Obama took office — the Ayn Randism, the fact-free class warfare, the frantic rage at a changing America. The Republican Party is going down because its candidate was seen advocating exactly the beliefs that make the party so dangerous and repellant.
I like teh waether

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Bucky » Thu Sep 27, 2012 17:47:33

still doesn't trump the inherent racism of those who will vote against obama no matter who his opponent is, as long as they're caucasian

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Wolfgang622 » Thu Sep 27, 2012 18:00:58

SK790 wrote:


And then, finally, there is a poetic justice in the substance of Romney’s self-immolation. This is not a random gaffe, a joke gone bad, or even a terrible brain freeze. It is Romney exposed for espousing a worldview that is at the heart of his party’s mania. The idea he summed up at that fund-raiser was a combination of right-wing fever dreams I’ve been analyzing since Obama took office — the Ayn Randism, the fact-free class warfare, the frantic rage at a changing America. The Republican Party is going down because its candidate was seen advocating exactly the beliefs that make the party so dangerous and repellant.


Not an Obama campaign ad (a Priorities USA SuperPac ad), but I think this one hits where it hurts:

"I'm in a bar with the games sound turned off and that Cespedes home run still sounded like inevitability."

-swish

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Thu Sep 27, 2012 18:14:18

#Harvest

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Phan In Phlorida » Thu Sep 27, 2012 18:56:04

Image

On one hand, he's insulting a giant swath of the R base. On the other hand, the R base is voting for him no matter what.
▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ஜ۩۞۩ஜ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Thu Sep 27, 2012 19:56:30

Image

basically, even with the errors of using 'density' based on land mass, the south basically doesnt like microbrews
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Thu Sep 27, 2012 19:58:46

Breweries per square mile? What a dumb way to measure it.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Thu Sep 27, 2012 20:00:48

open secrets article:

Among the top five alcohol-related political contributors during the 2010 election cycle, no one donated a greater percentage of cash to Democrats than E. & J. Gallo Winery, the Center finds. Individuals connected to the massive Sonoma County winery, famous for such brands as Gallo and Turning Leaf, uncorked more than $256,700 in the 2010 election cycle, a full 93 percent of which went to Democratic candidates or party committees.

Gallo winery employees are also notably the top donor to House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) over her career.

Democrats can in large part thank the Gallo family itself for the lift. Individuals from the family, which has owned the company since the 1940s, have given $1.58 million to Democratic candidates during the past two decades. The top donor from the family is the company's current president and chief executive, Joseph Gallo, the son of co-founder Ernest Gallo. Joseph Gallo has contributed nearly $400,000 of the family's total.

Through their employees and political action committees, other notable California wineries such as Puma Springs Vineyards, Hall Winery, Sutter Home and even the Wine Institute, an advocacy group representing California vineyards, have all contributed hundreds of thousands of dollars to Democratic interests in recent years.


In particular, Molson Coors Brewing, which oversees the Molson and Coors beer brands has deep connections to the Republican Party. Of the more than $1.73 million the company has contributed to federal-level candidates and campaigns, 80 percent, or about $1.4 million, has benefited the Republican Party since the 1990 election cycle.

For the GOP, it's the brothers Coors, and in particular Pete Coors, the current chairman of the board for Molson Coors, that have their hand on the tap. During the past two decades, the brothers have combed to contribute about $309,500 to the Republican Party. About $290,000 of that amount came from Pete Coors, who once ran for U.S. Senate in Colorado as the GOP nominee, but lost to Democrat Ken Salazar in 2004.


these guys just want to keep the juice flowin':
Anheuser-Busch InBev is the multinational corporation that lays claim to the Budweiser, Becks, Stella Artois, Michelob, Labatt and Natural Light beer franchises. It's also the all-time producer of alcohol-related cash in the beer, wine and liquor industry, and the company has given fairly evenly to Democrats and Republicans during the past two decades . The company's strongest Republican years were between the 1998 election cycle and the 2006 election cycle, when the company's giving ranged between 51 percent to 62 percent. The company has since veered toward Democrats, giving 55 and then 60 percent of contributions to the party during the 2008 and 2010 election cycles.

And then there's Brown-Forman Corp., which owns two popular brands in Jack Daniels whiskey and Southern Comfort liqueur. The Louisville, Ky.-based company with operations throughout Appalachia has contributed slightly more to Democrats in recent years, but a wider look at the company's giving shows it has actually preferred Republicans in the long run. Sixty-seven percent of the company's PAC and employee-related contributions have supported federal-level Republican causes -- about $3.04 million since the 1990 election cycle.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Thu Sep 27, 2012 20:01:28

jerseyhoya wrote:Breweries per square mile? What a dumb way to measure it.

tis, but i couldnt find one about per capita. alaska is top 10 in that due to how small their population is, but one could argue that NJ has easier access to PA microbrews than Alaska has to ANY other micros, so land size makes some more sense in that respect.
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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Thu Sep 27, 2012 20:08:39

whoever this lady is on current TV right now a very pretty redhead reporter
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby Barry Jive » Thu Sep 27, 2012 20:38:14

interesting
no offense but you are everything that's wrong with America

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Re: All things good in MODERATION: Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Thu Sep 27, 2012 20:39:48

is mitt going to be the first person to lose four of five home states? is he the first person to have five home states (michigan, massachusetts, rhode island, california, utah)? just an interesting thing. i guess gore was the first to lose his home state but win the most votes.
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