2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby joe table » Sat Jun 18, 2011 16:40:39

I don't think Oswalt's velocity was the problem last night, his offspeed stuff was bad though. Didn't command the change, neither breaking ball was very effective

Rosenthal named Spilborghs as a guy the Phillies could have interest in because of affordability. I don't think he's an upgrade over Francisco (he is another vintage Coors Field guy, career wRC+ on the road is 78, home 121) but if they want to have him replace Gload, I wouldn't be against it

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby z ipper » Sat Jun 18, 2011 18:39:11

lethal wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:Say Madson gets $12MM. They draw 3MM next year. Raise ticket prices by $4 across the board. Pay for Madson. Sign Hamels. Bi-winning.


Think they can get 4MM this season? B-R says 3.77 MM last season. Not sure how they'd get another 3K people per game since every game is sold out though.


b-r appears to be counting the three toronto games, which i don't think technically count. actual 2010 number is 3,647,249.
they're 104.1% full this year and on pace for 3.68m.

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby JFLNYC » Sat Jun 18, 2011 18:51:50

ek wrote:i don't know about worried. his 2nd half record is superb and someone posted that his velocity right now is where it is at this time every year


His K rate is at a career low (by a lot), down over 28% from his career average and down almost 33% from last year.
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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby phdave » Sat Jun 18, 2011 19:25:38

JFLNYC wrote:
ek wrote:i don't know about worried. his 2nd half record is superb and someone posted that his velocity right now is where it is at this time every year


His K rate is at a career low (by a lot), down over 28% from his career average and down almost 33% from last year.


It wasn't bad before that game in Arizona. It's been bad since then.
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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Wolfgang622 » Sun Jun 19, 2011 15:04:47

I didn't realize that Ron Roenicke was another in the long-established pattern of the Phillies having the crappier brother of a pair of brothers: we had Ron instead of Gary.
"I'm in a bar with the games sound turned off and that Cespedes home run still sounded like inevitability."

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby BigEd76 » Sun Jun 19, 2011 23:55:34

Anyone read Shane's book yet?

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby SK790 » Mon Jun 20, 2011 00:03:46

I feel like reading Factorino tweets is a better use of my time.
I like teh waether

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby 1 » Mon Jun 20, 2011 00:04:29

couldn't hold my attention
Fine. You wanna act like you're two? I'll act like I'm one.

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Phan In Phlorida » Mon Jun 20, 2011 03:37:40

The lack of punctuation must've saved 'em a fortune on ink.

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Trent Steele » Mon Jun 20, 2011 09:21:40

Shane is 3rd in the NL in WAR behind only Kemp and Reyes. Love that little moron.
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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Soren » Mon Jun 20, 2011 09:39:39

do defensive metrics take park factors into count for OFers? IOW, does the fact that Shane plays most of his games in a park where there isn't as much ground to cover hurt his defensive numbers therefore his WAR?
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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby jamiethekiller » Mon Jun 20, 2011 09:41:42

Trent Steele wrote:Shane is 3rd in the NL in WAR behind only Kemp and Reyes. Love that little moron.


fangraphs just had a tiny blurb on him. still hate him though.

Shane Victorino
The Flyin' Hawaiian had himself a series in Seattle this weekend. The Phillies centerfielder went 5-12, with a double, triple, two home runs, five runs batted in, and a walk. Though the Phillies lost two of three to the Mariners, Victorino continued to establish himself as a force in the lineup, jumping from a .350ish wOBA over the last four seasons to a mark exceeding .390. While the Phillies offense isn't what it used to be, it is still rather surprising to see Victorino leading the team in wOBA with players like Ryan Howard and Chase Utley still in the lineup. Victorino could be one of the most underrated players in the sport.

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby jamiethekiller » Mon Jun 20, 2011 09:43:34

Soren wrote:do defensive metrics take park factors into count for OFers? IOW, does the fact that Shane plays most of his games in a park where there isn't as much ground to cover hurt his defensive numbers therefore his WAR?


from: UZR Primer
Infield (ground ball) park adjustments are handled by assigning a “factor” to all ground balls in each park, depending upon the speed of the infield, which includes not only the height and texture of the IF grass (or indoor playing surface), but the altitude (and average temperature of the park to some extent). For example, in Colorado, the IF is fast (and the OF is difficult) because of the altitude, and in San Diego, the IF is slow, at least partially because the park is at sea level. Park factors are updated every time a material change occurs to a park or a team moves into a new park.

In the OF, each section, LF, CF, and RF, is divided into two zones, shallow and deep, for park adjustment purposes. Each of those 6 zones per park has their own adjustment factor. For example, the deep zone in LF at Fenway has an adjustment factor of .5, meaning that of all balls hit past a certain distance in LF at Fenway, the overall “catch rate” is only half that of the average major league park. Similarly, in Houston’s LF “short porch,” it is .86. In Seattle, fly balls in all sections of all fields are easier to catch than at an average MLB park, presumably because of the altitude, the cold weather, and the large but not too-large outfield dimensions, and thus have a park factor above 1.0.

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Didn't I? » Mon Jun 20, 2011 11:45:47

I was in Vegas this weekend. Put $100 on the Phils to win the World Series at 2-1 odds. They were 1-1 to win the NL.
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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby jamiethekiller » Mon Jun 20, 2011 13:38:02

Fangraphs article on Victorino VS. Howard. sure to bring Trent's blood to a boil

http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.ph ... an-howard/

Outfielders with more WAR than Victorino, 2006-2011: Matt Holliday, Curtis Granderson, Ryan Braun, Ichiro Suzuki, Jayson Werth, Carl Crawford, Carlos Beltran.

First baseman with more WAR than Howard, 2006-2011: Albert Pujols, Miguel Cabrera, Mark Teixeira, Kevin Youkilis, Adrian Gonzalez, Prince Fielder, Joey Votto, Lance Berkman, Carlos Pena, Justin Morneau, Derrek Lee

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Trent Steele » Mon Jun 20, 2011 14:11:26

haha

I've always like Victorino more than most of BSGosphere. And disliked Howard more than most. Which, I guess, means I agree with Shrek, which makes me unhappy.
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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Barry Jive » Mon Jun 20, 2011 14:12:11

shoulda got Votto in 2006
no offense but you are everything that's wrong with America

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Barry Jive » Mon Jun 20, 2011 14:12:28

we should get Derrek Lee now
no offense but you are everything that's wrong with America

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby Trent Steele » Mon Jun 20, 2011 14:14:53

how many rings does carlos pena have
I know what you're asking yourself and the answer is yes. I have a nick name for my penis. Its called the Octagon, but I also nick named my testes - my left one is James Westfall and my right one is Doctor Kenneth Noisewater.

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Re: 2011 Random Phillies Stuff V: The Umpires Strike Back

Unread postby jamiethekiller » Mon Jun 20, 2011 14:15:11

Barry Jive wrote:we should get Derrek Lee now


this was my conclusion as well

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