Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby JUburton » Thu Sep 24, 2020 13:16:29

stevemc wrote:I respect your post JUburton. It's insensitive of me to project in this way. Bad coping on my part. The changing of the court will damage women and especially the poor when you consider the inevitable repeal of the ACA.

I still hope for change.
no worries, i didnt mean to personally attack anyone for trying to find some bright side in this shit world we live in. i dont think that you or moz or anyone here truly thinks that 'maybe this is good overall!' though i know that there are pundits out there spouting this.

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Houshphandzadeh » Thu Sep 24, 2020 13:28:38

plenty of pro-choice advocates have been arguing for decades that Roe vs Wade is a really flimsy protection and that it would have been better, and would be better now, to argue the case state by state. it isn't a new idea

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Slowhand » Thu Sep 24, 2020 13:32:02

Florida Republicans see surge in voter registration

In August, Republicans added a party record of almost 58,000 new voters — a 91 percent increase compared to August 2016, the Florida election data show. The number of new Republicans added in August is 41 percent more than the number of new Democrats who registered. Democratic registration, meanwhile, was 6 percent lower than the total racked up in August 2016.

“We’ve turned our focus to voter registration in a more meaningful way than before. Everyone said you can’t do it — get the gap between Republicans and Democrats to such a small number. Well, you can do it,” Susie Wiles, the Florida campaign director for Trump, told POLITICO.

“We did it through the mail, but the main way we had success was at the doors,” she said. “And because the Democrats aren’t meeting people at their doors like our campaign is doing, we are having great success.”


Booooo
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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby JUburton » Thu Sep 24, 2020 13:41:30

Houshphandzadeh wrote:plenty of pro-choice advocates have been arguing for decades that Roe vs Wade is a really flimsy protection and that it would have been better, and would be better now, to argue the case state by state. it isn't a new idea

agreed that it's fairly flimsy (as evidenced by states with like, one functioning abortion clinic) but what good does this do in full republican states? its not like an overturned roe is going to be replaced with a stronger precedent by this court. is there a primer on this somewhere?

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Gimpy » Thu Sep 24, 2020 13:57:17

Aren't there a ton of people who vote R solely due to their pro-life stance? If Roe v Wade is overturned, do those people lose interest or do they keep reliably voting R so that they can keep the fight going?

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Augustus » Thu Sep 24, 2020 14:27:22

Gimpy wrote:Aren't there a ton of people who vote R solely due to their pro-life stance? If Roe v Wade is overturned, do those people lose interest or do they keep reliably voting R so that they can keep the fight going?


I think there are a few who are true one issue voters, but many pro-life folks are also reliably racist, misogynistic, homophobic, transphobic, etc. Plenty of reason for them to keep supporting Republicans.
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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby heyeaglefn » Thu Sep 24, 2020 14:27:40

Gimpy wrote:Aren't there a ton of people who vote R solely due to their pro-life stance? If Roe v Wade is overturned, do those people lose interest or do they keep reliably voting R so that they can keep the fight going?

I know many older people that will always vote R because of pro life. They don't really like Trump but that is why they do it. They are also all catholic.

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Quagland » Thu Sep 24, 2020 14:35:00

My mom, a devout Catholic, was a consistent Republican voter at the Presidential level up through W's first term, mainly because of Roe v. Wade. She's a solid blue voter now, though.

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Wolfgang622 » Thu Sep 24, 2020 15:40:22

It is a Catholic thing. Take Roe v. Wade out and I think you would see a blue shift in Catholic voting. I of course am Catholic which is why it weighs so heavily on my mind. Despite its sexual politics, the theology of the Catholic Church is more in keeping with main line Protestantism - Lutherans, Episcopals, UCC, Methodists, and the like - and has a social just bent to it, which should predict a bluer vote than it does.

Of course a lot of that has changed as (white) Catholics have become less of an immigrant population and more a part of the comfortably middle class in the collar counties around Philly, or still of a working class sort in the Appalachian influenced parts of the state around Pittsburgh. One is trending blue broadly and the other red, so maybe religion isn't a deciding factor here.

Either way RBG is dead and I forgot about the consequences for the ACA and everything is ruined forever.
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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby TenuredVulture » Thu Sep 24, 2020 15:40:42

Pretty sure this is not true, but Barnes and Noble Education Inc. did a poll of Gen Z, and claims that 94% of registered Gen Z voters (or those who will be registered soon) plan to vote. 60% of those surveyed were D, 33% R.

https://investor.bned.com/investor-rela ... fault.aspx
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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby heyeaglefn » Thu Sep 24, 2020 15:52:43

What was it like 65% in 2016 voted college age or around that age?

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby 06hawkalum » Thu Sep 24, 2020 16:17:26

Gen Zers are more conservative than Millennials.
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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Gimpy » Thu Sep 24, 2020 16:26:37

The Zoomers weren’t old enough to experience the Bush years and don’t remember (or didn’t exist for) life pre-9/11. I think being high school/college aged for the Bush presidency into the Obama/rise of the Tea Party years pushed millennials to the left. Millennials also had to deal with the fallout from the 2008 financial crisis as they hit the workforce.

I wouldn’t be shocked if Zoomers head left in the next decade as fallout from the Trump administration impacts their lives.

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby momadance » Thu Sep 24, 2020 16:31:02

Lindsey with a moment of desperation on Fox News today.

https://twitter.com/ProjectLincoln/stat ... 2187585538

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby traderdave » Thu Sep 24, 2020 16:31:11

Fucking pathetic that this was a necessary step:

A day after Trump appeared to call into question a bedrock democratic principle, the chamber passed, by unanimous consent, a resolution that “reaffirms its commitment to the orderly and peaceful transfer of power called for in the Constitution of the United States; and intends that there should be no disruptions by the President or any person in power to overturn the will of the people of the US."

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Stay_Disappointed » Thu Sep 24, 2020 18:29:57

Jaime Harrison asking for contributions- heading over to his site
I would rather see you lose than win myself

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby thephan » Thu Sep 24, 2020 18:45:09

TenuredVulture wrote:For many poor women in rural states, a legal abortion is already effectively unavailable. The only legal abortion provider in Arkansas is I believe in Little Rock.


FYP because you know dangerous, illegal abortions that put lives at risk are ongoing
yawn

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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Monkeyboy » Thu Sep 24, 2020 19:02:37

TenuredVulture wrote:
Monkeyboy wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:
Squire wrote:Trump won 2016 by obliterating Hillary in one demographic (non college educated white voters (64-28). That demographic made up 45% of the electorate in 2016 and has shrunk to 41% in 2020. Also, I am thinking you are going to see an uptick in 18-22 college enrolled voters this year because many of them are at home in their home districts rather than on campus.


I spend a lot of time with the 18-22 year old group. They are pretty unhappy with the way things are going.



but will they drag their asses to the polls? Do you get the sense more of them are going to vote?

Anguish is useless if it doesn't lead to action.


I think so. Some are really cynical though.



We need every one of them. My only concern with young people is they haven't been around long enough to realize how fucked up this all is. I would think they'd be more susceptible to Trump normalizing illegal behavior, though I guess the numbers show something different.
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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Monkeyboy » Thu Sep 24, 2020 19:10:32

TenuredVulture wrote:
slugsrbad wrote:
stevemc wrote:Interesting "Daily" podcast yesterday with a politically connected pro-life advocate. The discussion centered around how this organization has been building to this moment for 25 years and now that it is at hand, they are pushing all the chips in. She was very composed, picked her words carefully and she was extremely diplomatic in the approach. She emphasized the most important thing on her agenda and should be for every Republican is to get the Supreme Court in a position to overturn Roe v Wade. Suggesting everything else should be cast aside in order to achieve this goal. Host Michael Babaro pointed out how RGB actually did not like the Roe v Wade verdict bc it went so far and was so absolute that it left too many adversaries and that it would lead to this moment in time. He asked the advocate if taking this measure of a quick appointment may have the same result. She didn't think so but she said it ultimately didn't matter as long as the end goal is achieved. It will leave abortion rights to the states.

This left me thinking that as painful as it may be to lose Roe v Wade and the suffering it will cause for so many people, it may also ultimately bring about the end of the Republican party as we know it. The idea being Republican politicians will foresake most of their agenda in order to focus on this sole position in order to win. As pointed out in the podcast, the majority of America is pro-choice. When left to states' rights, there are many states that have Republican control of state government with the electorate not necessarily in lock-step with the pro-life leaning of the state house. It seems to me these states could turn more and more blue due to this issue and eventually vote out the pro-life supporters. Wait until a moderately Republican state loses the right to choose. It's a long process but one that may eventually bring about change. Believe me, I don't want to see what appears to be inevitable over these ensuing weeks. My silver lining is that this next month could be the catalyst for the significant change our democracy really needs even if the change is a slow burn with a long timespan to fruition.


Moz had a similar post prior to RBG's passing that was a little more... I can't think of the correct adjective and I do not want to step on Moz' toes when I don't mean to. I just think there are so many unintended consequences that we cannot comprehend. Poor women in states that outlaw abortion will either be forced to travel 100+ miles or take a less safe course of action. Also this could lead to shuttering women's clinics who may have abortion options but also provide other woman's health services that might not be available in rural <insert state here>.


For many poor women in rural states, a legal abortion is already effectively unavailable. The only abortion provider in Arkansas is I believe in Little Rock.


Yes, I know one of our students in TN had to go to Atlanta. The states have already made it really difficult and many of the people who might want an abortion the most are in the worst position to actually get one.

But anyone willing to give up basic decency and a functioning democracy to end abortion can take a flying leap as far as I'm concerned, and I'm someone who has been fairly sympathetic to their cause.
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Re: Biden in Plain Sight: Politics

Unread postby Monkeyboy » Thu Sep 24, 2020 19:13:27

Slowhand wrote:Florida Republicans see surge in voter registration

In August, Republicans added a party record of almost 58,000 new voters — a 91 percent increase compared to August 2016, the Florida election data show. The number of new Republicans added in August is 41 percent more than the number of new Democrats who registered. Democratic registration, meanwhile, was 6 percent lower than the total racked up in August 2016.

“We’ve turned our focus to voter registration in a more meaningful way than before. Everyone said you can’t do it — get the gap between Republicans and Democrats to such a small number. Well, you can do it,” Susie Wiles, the Florida campaign director for Trump, told POLITICO.

“We did it through the mail, but the main way we had success was at the doors,” she said. “And because the Democrats aren’t meeting people at their doors like our campaign is doing, we are having great success.”


Booooo



Russian bots get a vote in FL. Seriously, I do not trust those numbers.
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