2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping roles

Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby phorever » Wed Dec 18, 2019 09:18:38

here is a quick summary of the 2018-2019 run-prevention declines by the 4 phillies rotation members that were pretty much healthy both years:
[note: ra is the completely unadjusted stat; note: the last run prevention estimator i list is calculated from b-r's "raa" stat, and includes both an adjustment for opponents and parks, as well as a defensive adjustment completely different from fangraph's;note: can't really use the bullpen for this exercise since ip totals for individuals were low and inconsistent, and the overall pen makeup also was pretty different]
ra-change era-change fip-change bref-adjusted-ra-change player
1.63 1.50 1.02 2.20 nola
0.00 -0.23 1.05 0.72 eflin
0.02 0.06 1.26 1.10 vv
1.15 0.61 1.67 1.75 pivetta
only the ra and era numbers for eflin and vv didn't move at least a half-run per 9ip in the wrong direction.
of these 16 run-prevention numbers, 10 moved a least a full run in the wrong direction.
the advice of the guy who invented war is to deal with defense-corrections to pitching by averaging b-r and fangraphs, and by that standard eflin's worsening by about 0.9 runs / 9ip is the best of the bunch. the ra worsening was good for 45-50 total runs depending on whether you use the innings total of 2019 or 2018, or 4.5 to 5 wins.

the b-r fip adjusts for changes in the overall scoring environment (the ball), which points the finger squarely at the one change that affected all phils pitchers, but not the rest of the league: the pitching coach.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Bill McNeal » Wed Dec 18, 2019 18:09:56

We signed definite real person Mikie Mahtook to a minor league deal with an invite to ST.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby phillychuck » Wed Dec 18, 2019 18:18:31

Bill McNeal wrote:We signed definite real person Mikie Mahtook to a minor league deal with an invite to ST.


Mahtook has had good production four or five times in AAA, but never really carried it over into MLB. He's been awful in the big leagues the last two seasons. Decent signing, guys who can hit in AAA have a puncher's chance to develop into decent MLB hitters. A roll of the dice...
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Stripes » Wed Dec 18, 2019 23:11:54

Every time I see this thread title, I think it's "filling 2 holes" :oops:
(Brandy) only hinted at Halladay's personal issues during her Hall of Fame speech last July, when she said, "Roy would want everyone to know that people are not perfect. We're all imperfect and flawed in one way or another. We all struggle."
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Bucky » Wed Dec 18, 2019 23:23:36

Image

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Wheels Tupay » Wed Dec 18, 2019 23:28:56

Image
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby 06hawkalum » Wed Dec 18, 2019 23:29:35

Stripes wrote:Every time I see this thread title, I think it's "filling 2 holes" :oops:


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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Wheels Tupay » Wed Dec 18, 2019 23:31:01

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Uncle Milty » Thu Dec 19, 2019 08:55:05

If you're inclined to believe that Twitter "insider" the Phillies offered Ryu 2/42
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby SwingOnThis » Thu Dec 19, 2019 08:57:34

Pretty sure 'filling holes and swapping' is a category on pornhub

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby WhiteyFan » Thu Dec 19, 2019 10:20:26

Uncle Milty wrote:If you're inclined to believe that Twitter "insider" the Phillies offered Ryu 2/42


I'd be happy with that. We still need a difference maker on this staff and it's the only way we're going to get one without trading Bohm. If Ryu can give you 160-180 innings, it's a great deal. Only problem is we'll need to rely on someone else (VV, Pivetta, etc) to pickup those extra innings.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Phred » Thu Dec 19, 2019 11:17:02

SwingOnThis wrote:Pretty sure 'filling holes and swapping' is a category on pornhub


No it's not.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Uncle Milty » Thu Dec 19, 2019 11:26:06

definitely a sub on phreddit, tho
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby BigEd76 » Thu Dec 19, 2019 13:22:46


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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Wheels Tupay » Thu Dec 19, 2019 13:34:26

Phanatic snapped their necks for talking shit.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby 06hawkalum » Thu Dec 19, 2019 13:38:06

Phred wrote:
SwingOnThis wrote:Pretty sure 'filling holes and swapping' is a category on pornhub


No it's not.


Sounds like you did a little "research."
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Uncle Milty » Thu Dec 19, 2019 13:56:07

BigEd76 wrote:


The acting skills remind me of

Image
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby Ace Rothstein » Thu Dec 19, 2019 14:20:46

The new protective netting is going to be from RF ball girl to LF ball girl, and the height of the netting will be same (the height the used behind the plate) all the way around

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby CFP » Thu Dec 19, 2019 14:27:40

Damn social justice warriors. I just want to get hit with a screaming line drive in the face

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason 2:Filling holes & swapping ro

Postby 06hawkalum » Thu Dec 19, 2019 14:31:22

Really no point in sitting in the lower level any longer. Gonna be HOF Club or higher for me from now on.
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