Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby CFP » Fri Aug 09, 2019 10:36:15

You just spent the entire post speculating, then said it's pointless to speculate. Coulda saved me a lot of time there, wii

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby wiivile » Fri Aug 09, 2019 10:39:29

CFP wrote:You just spent the entire post speculating, then said it's pointless to speculate. Coulda saved me a lot of time there, wii


that was the point. came up with a bunch of speculations that all could be completely feasible to prove that there's no reason to speculate because we don't have enough data, and we as sports fans are wasting our time analyzing shit we don't know enough about.

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby azrider » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:05:47

good work title... kinda summed everything up there.

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby wiivile » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:08:53

Titlehungry wrote:move on from Cesar... sorry wiiville...


oh trust me, i've wanted kingery at 2B and cesar in yankees pinstripes or mets blue+orange for as long as i can remember :P

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby MoBettle » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:10:18

I don’t think they were that overrated... if you projected them for 90 wins that was before Cutch and the whole bullpen got hurt.

I think the only thing that was really overrated was the back end of the rotation, and if Phillies fans overrated them so did a lot of national people with all the computer numbers projecting them as breakout candidates.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby Grotewold » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:12:57

Was also pretty unlikely for basically everyone but Kingery to underperform at the plate

That's my biggest concern moving forward

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby CFP » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:13:52

Probably shouldn't have gone 6-7 vs. the Marlins this year either

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby Titlehungry » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:19:59

MoBettle wrote:I don’t think they were that overrated... if you projected them for 90 wins that was before Cutch and the whole bullpen got hurt.

I think the only thing that was really overrated was the back end of the rotation, and if Phillies fans overrated them so did a lot of national people with all the computer numbers projecting them as breakout candidates.


I guess I meant more like myself and others like me overrating their chances as the season went on to right the ship because of initial expectations... I'll admit that up until a week or two ago, I kept thinking they are gonna go on a nice run and get back to the top of the division and be hot when the playoffs roll in and ready for a matchup with LA but that was never realistic with the bullpen injuries, lack of starting pitching, lack of hitting consistency, and odd managerial maneuvers... this current team as constructed with all the holes and injuries would have been solidly predicted as a 4th place team and that's probably where they will end up... hopefully next year is better
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby wiivile » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:21:50

MoBettle wrote:I think the only thing that was really overrated was the back end of the rotation, and if Phillies fans overrated them so did a lot of national people with all the computer numbers projecting them as breakout candidates.


to be fair, they're all still young. including nola. but eflin/pivetta are super young. and eflin especially showed signs of dominance earlier in the year. IMO it's too early to just give up on them. but it's hard to keep trotting them out there when your team is otherwise wanting to win.

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby MoBettle » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:27:42

wiivile wrote:
MoBettle wrote:I think the only thing that was really overrated was the back end of the rotation, and if Phillies fans overrated them so did a lot of national people with all the computer numbers projecting them as breakout candidates.


to be fair, they're all still young. including nola. but eflin/pivetta are super young. and eflin especially showed signs of dominance earlier in the year. IMO it's too early to just give up on them. but it's hard to keep trotting them out there when your team is otherwise wanting to win.


Well they’ll all be 26-28 years old next year. It’s not impossible for any of them to still figure it out but it’s definitely getting late in the game.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby BatFlipsFTW » Fri Aug 09, 2019 11:29:53

McCutchen going down threw the lineup off kilter. We were so excited to have a consistent everyday lineup to start the year.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby The B1G Piece » Fri Aug 09, 2019 12:16:30

Stripes wrote:
The B1G Piece wrote:Cesar is player A and has been straight trash for over a year.


got our only hit last night

Not picking on you, but help me understand this logic.

- They send Franco down because they're tired of shit, which moves Kingery to a position that he cannot play. So we keep Kingery in the lineup everyday at the expense of Franco, only to play him out of position and just ignore the current 2B, the one position Kingery can really play, has been below average hitter over his last 800 PAs.
- Haseley is the odd man out at the expense of Roman Quinn, another below average hitter with little value other than his defense.
- We're going to play Jay Bruce and Corey Dickerson in the same outfield because we want their bats in the lineup at the same time

As others have said, it is so freaking obvious Kapler and crew value veterans with 'position' flexibility, but we will play most games during the rest of the season with two players out of position. It is mind-boggling mental gymnastics and we're a complete clown show right now.

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby GrizzledVeteran » Fri Aug 09, 2019 12:49:19

I think management is counting on the DH being in the National League next season and wanting to let Bruce and Dickerson sample life in Philadelphia.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby JFLNYC » Fri Aug 09, 2019 12:56:25

Nola hasn’t been very good this season either. Just sayin’.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby wiivile » Fri Aug 09, 2019 13:16:41

JFLNYC wrote:Nola hasn’t been very good this season either. Just sayin’.


10-3 and 3.67 is very good

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby Uncle Milty » Fri Aug 09, 2019 13:43:49

McCutchen, at least as far as the lineup, is a cop out. There was a regular on the roster who proved he can handle the lead-off spot. Cesar struggled after the broken foot last year but there's every reason to expect an OBP similar to what Cutch provided.

My impression is this staff uses sample sizes that are too small in their decision making.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby MoBettle » Fri Aug 09, 2019 13:58:40

Uncle Milty wrote:McCutchen, at least as far as the lineup, is a cop out. There was a regular on the roster who proved he can handle the lead-off spot. Cesar struggled after the broken foot last year but there's every reason to expect an OBP similar to what Cutch provided.

My impression is this staff uses sample sizes that are too small in their decision making.


Cesar has been disappointing too (on top of Herrera’s stuff and Franco being bad) but Cutch getting hurt sort of opened the flood gates in terms of guys that don’t belong in the majors like Williams and Quinn getting regular starts. Especially when guys like Bruce and Haseley got hurt themselves.

I guess it’s sort of a combination of everything though. If any of Cesar/Odubel/Franco have a career year or even just their best past season Cutch isn’t as big of a loss.
Last edited by MoBettle on Fri Aug 09, 2019 14:05:33, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby Slowhand » Fri Aug 09, 2019 14:05:01

wiivile wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:Nola hasn’t been very good this season either. Just sayin’.


10-3 and 3.67 is very good


It's certainly not bad, but I wouldn't call it very good, especially for Nola. He's been inconsistent and should be better than this.
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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby azrider » Fri Aug 09, 2019 14:19:41

nola was awful in april and that's about it. he was unlucky if anything in june, but he's had a very good year minus the first month.

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Re: Phillies 2019 Discussion III: The Dog Days of Bummer

Postby kruker » Fri Aug 09, 2019 14:28:55

I haven't been a big Gabe supporter or detractor, but I'm fully on board with ditching him. Bring me Showalter. Hell, bring me Baker, just don't let him have Nola go more than 100 pitches.
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