Election Day Thread

by **jerseyhoya** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:28:49

kimbatiste wrote:538 calls NC for Hagan, which would be the third pickup.

Hagan is only running a point ahead of Obama right now, so if Hagan is going to win, it would seem Obama is going to carry NC.

I'm not sure that's true, so I'm going to say 538 was a little quick on the trigger, but then Nate Silver is probably a lot more sober than I am right now.

by **VoxOrion** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:31:04

FNC calling PA now.

They were saying that somewhere - it might have been OH, there are upwards of 11 point disparities between exit polls and actual returns so far in certain precincts.

by **BigEd76** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:31:08

ABC: Alabama and Arkansas to McCain

(they also project the Hagan win)

by **VoxOrion** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:32:26

Seriously, I can't believe networks are calling states with 0% returns. Isn't that what created phase 1 (of 95) problems in 2000?

by **VoxOrion** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:33:41

Chamblis in the lead but no one will call it. NPR was saying that it could go run-off because of some independent.

by **Bakestar** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:35:02

VoxOrion wrote:Chamblis in the lead but no one will call it. NPR was saying that it could go run-off because of some independent.

Might be wrong but I think the winning candidate needs 50%, or else the top two have a run-off.

by **VoxOrion** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:36:00

Bakestar wrote:
VoxOrion wrote:Chamblis in the lead but no one will call it. NPR was saying that it could go run-off because of some independent.

Might be wrong but I think the winning candidate needs 50%, or else the top two have a run-off.

Yeah, that's why they were saying the independent could cause a run off.

by **lethal** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:36:39

Warner winning every county in Virginia so far. That's shocking.

by **VoxOrion** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:36:54

White Catholic props in PA LOL

by **swishnicholson** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:37:11

VoxOrion wrote:Seriously, I can't believe networks are calling states with 0% returns. Isn't that what created phase 1 (of 95) problems in 2000?

Well, CNN didn't cal Maine for Obama until he was leading 2 to 1.
I don't mean 2 to 1 percentage-wise, I mean 2 votes to 1 vote. That's some small precinct.

by **jerseyhoya** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:37:54

lethal wrote:Warner winning every county in Virginia so far. That's absolutely expected.

by **VoxOrion** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:37:59

swishnicholson wrote:
VoxOrion wrote:Seriously, I can't believe networks are calling states with 0% returns. Isn't that what created phase 1 (of 95) problems in 2000?

Well, CNN didn't cal Maine for Obama until he was leading 2 to 1.
I don't mean 2 to 1 percentage-wise, I mean 2 votes to 1 vote. That's some small precinct.

Did they call PA yet? FNC did 20 minutes after saying they weren't ready. Who watches ABC news anyway?

by **CFP** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:38:51

Matthews I think just said that basically all suburban areas out here have gone for Barack. Smerconish explaining Bucks County went huge for Obama. No true word on Chester County yet.

by **lethal** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:40:22

jerseyhoya wrote:
lethal wrote:Warner winning every county in Virginia so far. That's absolutely expected.

I grew up in Virginia. I figured that Warner would win big, but every single county? Seriously?

by **kruker** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:40:40

CNN called PA for Obama.

It's over.

by **VoxOrion** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:40:46

CFP wrote:Matthews I think just said that basically all suburban areas out here have gone for Barack. Smerconish explaining Bucks County went huge for Obama. No true word on Chester County yet.

I think NPR said that Chester County was the only Philly suburb to go strong Bush in 2000 and 2004.

by **jerseyhoya** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:42:46

kruker wrote:CNN called PA for Obama.

It's over.

I mean, probably. And I've been the one saying it has been over for a couple of weeks now, but Obama hasn't won a Bush state yet. So maybe a bit of patience is in order. Wait till NC or Florida or VA gets called.

by **CFP** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:43:18

VoxOrion wrote:
CFP wrote:Matthews I think just said that basically all suburban areas out here have gone for Barack. Smerconish explaining Bucks County went huge for Obama. No true word on Chester County yet.

I think NPR said that Chester County was the only Philly suburb to go strong Bush in 2000 and 2004.

It did, but lots of new voter registrations for Democrat since, and quite a few switches from Republican to Democrat as well.

by **kruker** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:46:10

jerseyhoya wrote:
kruker wrote:CNN called PA for Obama.

It's over.

I mean, probably. And I've been the one saying it has been over for a couple of weeks now, but Obama hasn't won a Bush state yet. So maybe a bit of patience is in order. Wait till NC or Florida or VA gets called.

My thing isn't necessarily that he "won" PA, but that it looks like the voting seems to be mirroring the pre-election polls. I figured if there was a state that might get crazy because of the Bradley effect it would be PA, but then again, it might just be because I grew up in the coal region of PA and was anticipating the moronic racism to show itself here.

by **jerseyhoya** » Tue Nov 04, 2008 21:49:59

kruker wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
kruker wrote:CNN called PA for Obama.

It's over.

I mean, probably. And I've been the one saying it has been over for a couple of weeks now, but Obama hasn't won a Bush state yet. So maybe a bit of patience is in order. Wait till NC or Florida or VA gets called.

My thing isn't necessarily that he "won" PA, but that it looks like the voting seems to be mirroring the pre-election polls. I figured if there was a state that might get crazy because of the Bradley effect it would be PA, but then again, it might just be because I grew up in the coal region of PA and was anticipating the moronic racism to show itself here.

OK, but votes still haven't come in there yet. I dunno. I mean, Obama is going to win, but nothing that has happened so far tonight, except maybe Obama in Orange County, FL, has made me feel any more confident of that fact that earlier today.

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