Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby choco » Tue Dec 17, 2013 15:02:48

Grotewold wrote:I can put that question right back at you, though -- would we have been golden post-2015 with the returns on Lee and Utley and Ruiz last July, and/or are those or other moves impossible this July? Would not spending any money on Byrd and Ruiz this year have helped post-2015?


Where would we be if we made the deal with the Dodgers instead of the Red Sox?

Cliff Lee and Ryan Howard (maybe they would've wanted Victorino too) for James Loney, Allen Webster, Ivan De Jesus, Rubby De La Rosa and Jerry Sands.

Would you trust Amaro with all that money to spend? Josh Hamilton would be in our OF right now.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Phred » Tue Dec 17, 2013 15:28:10

The Nightman Cometh wrote:Honestly, what they must be counting on is Howard. If he regains 2011 form, this offense at least has a heartbeat. At that point you might be able to get rid of him if you eat a modest amount of $.


If Howard regains 2011 form, there is no way that Amaro trades him.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby stevelxa476 » Tue Dec 17, 2013 15:31:35

choco wrote:
Grotewold wrote:I can put that question right back at you, though -- would we have been golden post-2015 with the returns on Lee and Utley and Ruiz last July, and/or are those or other moves impossible this July? Would not spending any money on Byrd and Ruiz this year have helped post-2015?


Where would we be if we made the deal with the Dodgers instead of the Red Sox?

Cliff Lee and Ryan Howard (maybe they would've wanted Victorino too) for James Loney, Allen Webster, Ivan De Jesus, Rubby De La Rosa and Jerry Sands.

Would you trust Amaro with all that money to spend? Josh Hamilton would be in our OF right now.


I think the Phillies should always avoid trades that involve us receiving Ivan DeJesus.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Grotewold » Tue Dec 17, 2013 16:08:51

choco wrote:
Grotewold wrote:I can put that question right back at you, though -- would we have been golden post-2015 with the returns on Lee and Utley and Ruiz last July, and/or are those or other moves impossible this July? Would not spending any money on Byrd and Ruiz this year have helped post-2015?


Where would we be if we made the deal with the Dodgers instead of the Red Sox?

Cliff Lee and Ryan Howard (maybe they would've wanted Victorino too) for James Loney, Allen Webster, Ivan De Jesus, Rubby De La Rosa and Jerry Sands.

Would you trust Amaro with all that money to spend? Josh Hamilton would be in our OF right now.


That's the thing -- I would trust very few GMs with that kind of money in this market.

It's all about developing talent, as we did in the early to mid 2000s, and then supplementing when the right guy comes along. And even then, you can get burned on half of it (eg, Halladay).

I totally understand the people who wanted a tear down. I'm just higher on our "puncher's chance" this year (especially with one more piece added) to the extent that I'm willing to at least wait until July to re-evaluate

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Tue Dec 17, 2013 16:28:58

Also, at some point it's not overpaying. If that what the market says players are worth, than that's what you have to pay.

Feel like the market is inflating much quicker than fans are adjusting to it.

Edit: and with our unwillingness to surpass the luxury tax, it's also killing the Phillies monetary advantage essentially.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Trent Steele » Tue Dec 17, 2013 16:40:48

zzzzzzzzzzzzzz
I know what you're asking yourself and the answer is yes. I have a nick name for my penis. Its called the Octagon, but I also nick named my testes - my left one is James Westfall and my right one is Doctor Kenneth Noisewater.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Woody » Tue Dec 17, 2013 16:42:21

SERIOUSLY IS THIS OUR SHITTY TEAM FOR 2014 WHAT THE HELL THEY'RE SO SHITTY
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby ReadingPhilly » Tue Dec 17, 2013 18:02:38

Crasnick says Jason Knapp is attempting a comeback. Fastball is back in the 90s.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Phred » Tue Dec 17, 2013 20:36:43

stevelxa476 wrote:
choco wrote:
Grotewold wrote:I can put that question right back at you, though -- would we have been golden post-2015 with the returns on Lee and Utley and Ruiz last July, and/or are those or other moves impossible this July? Would not spending any money on Byrd and Ruiz this year have helped post-2015?


Where would we be if we made the deal with the Dodgers instead of the Red Sox?

Cliff Lee and Ryan Howard (maybe they would've wanted Victorino too) for James Loney, Allen Webster, Ivan De Jesus, Rubby De La Rosa and Jerry Sands.

Would you trust Amaro with all that money to spend? Josh Hamilton would be in our OF right now.


I think the Phillies should always avoid trades that involve us receiving Ivan DeJesus.


I don't know. I would trade Bowa for him right now.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Wed Dec 18, 2013 01:28:01

It would seem that most of the posts around here lately are focused on trashing Ruben Amaro. But really, he did a great job of putting this team in a position to win the World Series 2009-2011 (although he should have never traded away Cliff Lee to the Mariners ). It was the players that choked. The PLAYERS should not have lost to the Giants in 2010. Nobody on this board thought they should have. Same in 2011 against the Cardinals. The Phillies could have had 3 World Championships with this group of players but they didn't do it. Is that Ruben Amaro's fault? He went all in during those years and Cody fucking Ross and Chris Carpenter ruined it for us.

We all knew 2013 and beyond was going to be a problem because we ransomed the future during the glory years. What else did we expect the Phillies to look like in 2014?
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Rev_Beezer » Wed Dec 18, 2013 04:46:54

I think the other thing is, to be honest, that if the Phillies were to even get to the World Series in 2010 and 2011, Ruben would have justification to sign bigger names again and spend more money. He responded to their being bounced from the playoffs by being relatively conservative and holding up the status quo (okay, maybe that doesn't apply to 2010, but certainly does to the aftermath of 2011). The Pence trade didn't' pay off, and the trades the next year of Pence and Victorino did not net a good return. Quite frankly, how he handled those trades makes me leery of him trading Lee because I'm not sure that the return would be worth it. It seems that when the Phillies want to get someone via trade, they have to sell the farm, but when they trade someone, they barely get usable pieces. Maybe I'm full of crap on that, I don't know- someone who knows better will correct me, I'm sure.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Phan In Phlorida » Wed Dec 18, 2013 06:15:20

Warszawa wrote:It would seem that most of the posts around here lately are focused on trashing Ruben Amaro. But really, he did a great job of putting this team in a position to win the World Series 2009-2011 (although he should have never traded away Cliff Lee to the Mariners ). It was the players that choked. The PLAYERS should not have lost to the Giants in 2010. Nobody on this board thought they should have. Same in 2011 against the Cardinals. The Phillies could have had 3 World Championships with this group of players but they didn't do it. Is that Ruben Amaro's fault? He went all in during those years and Cody fucking Ross and Chris Carpenter ruined it for us.

We all knew 2013 and beyond was going to be a problem because we ransomed the future during the glory years. What else did we expect the Phillies to look like in 2014?

Amaro inherited much of the 2009-2011 rosters from his predecessors. Of the everyday players, the only change in 2009 from 2008 was Ibanez replacing Burrell. In 2010, Mr Peanut replaced Happy Pete. In 2011, Brown/Mayberry/BenFran replaced Wertz and later were replaced by Pence in the lineup. In 2012, Howard and Utley missed half a season each (which is not on Amaro, although the bullpen of fail was), and Victorino and Pence were dealt at the deadline. With the gradual turnover of position players, 2013 is essentially when Amaro's stamp on the team superceeds his predecessors.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby stevelxa476 » Wed Dec 18, 2013 08:24:38

Rev_Beezer wrote:I think the other thing is, to be honest, that if the Phillies were to even get to the World Series in 2010 and 2011, Ruben would have justification to sign bigger names again and spend more money. He responded to their being bounced from the playoffs by being relatively conservative and holding up the status quo (okay, maybe that doesn't apply to 2010, but certainly does to the aftermath of 2011). The Pence trade didn't' pay off, and the trades the next year of Pence and Victorino did not net a good return. Quite frankly, how he handled those trades makes me leery of him trading Lee because I'm not sure that the return would be worth it. It seems that when the Phillies want to get someone via trade, they have to sell the farm, but when they trade someone, they barely get usable pieces. Maybe I'm full of crap on that, I don't know- someone who knows better will correct me, I'm sure.


I think the first Lee trade could also be an indication as well.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby The B1G Piece » Wed Dec 18, 2013 09:21:27

Warszawa wrote:It would seem that most of the posts around here lately are focused on trashing Ruben Amaro. But really, he did a great job of putting this team in a position to win the World Series 2009-2011 (although he should have never traded away Cliff Lee to the Mariners ). It was the players that choked. The PLAYERS should not have lost to the Giants in 2010. Nobody on this board thought they should have. Same in 2011 against the Cardinals. The Phillies could have had 3 World Championships with this group of players but they didn't do it. Is that Ruben Amaro's fault? He went all in during those years and Cody fucking Ross and Chris Carpenter ruined it for us.

We all knew 2013 and beyond was going to be a problem because we ransomed the future during the glory years. What else did we expect the Phillies to look like in 2014?

Just because none of us thought the Giants or Cardinals could beat the Phillies doesn't absolve Amaro and this team in the current state.

Shit happens and the playoffs are a total crap-shoot. The Rangers were one out away from winning the World Series in 2011 and the Giants were one game from elimination twice in a row in 2012 and ended up winning the World Series. I don't think anyone here can argue the Cardinals or the Giants aren't better setup for the future than the Phillies. That's the problem, Amaro went all-in during 2009-2011 and we are paying the price now.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Dec 18, 2013 09:32:05

I think that's a really good point. There's no reason a team can't win today while still planning for the future. The Cardinals are an excellent example of a team which contends on a yearly basis (with a smaller payroll), but still manages to develop young talent consistently despite drafting low. During the Braves 14-year stretch of division championships, they gradually but consistently turned over roster positions, substituting younger players for aging veterans. I'm not saying it's easy, but a team with the resources of the Phillies ought to be able to figure it out.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Grotewold » Wed Dec 18, 2013 09:49:30

JFLNYC wrote:I think that's a really good point. There's no reason a team can't win today while still planning for the future. The Cardinals are an excellent example of a team which contends on a yearly basis (with a smaller payroll), but still manages to develop young talent consistently despite drafting low. During the Braves 14-year stretch of division championships, they gradually but consistently turned over roster positions, substituting younger players for aging veterans. I'm not saying it's easy, but a team with the resources of the Phillies ought to be able to figure it out.


But a lot of teams with resources don't figure it out. And very few of the ones that do stay on top for more than five years.

There's a middle ground between the Cardinals' situation and Amaro being a mouth breather

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Dec 18, 2013 09:51:31

Grotewold wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:I think that's a really good point. There's no reason a team can't win today while still planning for the future. The Cardinals are an excellent example of a team which contends on a yearly basis (with a smaller payroll), but still manages to develop young talent consistently despite drafting low. During the Braves 14-year stretch of division championships, they gradually but consistently turned over roster positions, substituting younger players for aging veterans. I'm not saying it's easy, but a team with the resources of the Phillies ought to be able to figure it out.


But a lot of teams with resources don't figure it out. And very few of the ones that do stay on top for more than five years.

There's a middle ground between the Cardinals' situation and Amaro being a mouth breather
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Grotewold » Wed Dec 18, 2013 09:58:37

You wrote stuff after that, though

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Dec 18, 2013 10:02:42

Maybe that can be Amaro's motto: It's not my fault, winning is hard. May we all be blessed with bosses as forgiving.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Dec 18, 2013 10:10:47

Grotewold wrote:You wrote stuff after that, though


And I believe it. The point is that it can be done and it is done by teams with less resources than the Phils. I'm not in favor of shrugging our shoulders and saying, "Oh, well. It's hard and not every team can do it, so I'll give the Phillies a pass." The franchise has the resources and the opportunity. If they don't have the right people in place to get it done, they owe it to their investors and fans to find the right people to get it done. This is not Little League where everybody gets a trophy just for showing up.
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