Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby bleh » Tue Nov 26, 2013 11:01:30

Rockinghorse wrote:Curious how his miss rate on pitches IN the strike zone compares to others. Looks kinda bad

78% Z-contact. 38th out of 42 first basemen with 300 PA last year:
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?p ... sort=7%2cd

Of those 42 only Chris Carter was worst at out of zone contact.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Soren » Tue Nov 26, 2013 11:05:49

Ryan Howard 1b
5 years/$125M (2012-16), plus 2017 option

5 years/$125M (2012-16), plus 2017 option
signed extension with Philadelphia 4/26/10
12:$20M, 13:$20M, 14:$25M, 15:$25M, 16:$25M, 17:$23M club option ($10M buyout)
award bonuses: $25,000 for All Star. $0.1M for MVP ($75,000 for second in vote, $50,000 for third)
perks: right to purchase 8 season tickets for Philadelphia home games
most favored nation no-trade protection (excluding contracts later acquired through trade or assignment) (may block deals to 21 clubs each season, matching no-trade protection extended to Cliff Lee)


14:$25M, 15:$25M, 16:$25M, 17:$23M club option ($10M buyout)

14:$25M, 15:$25M, 16:$25M, 17:$23M club option ($10M buyout)

14:$25M, 15:$25M, 16:$25M, 17:$23M club option ($10M buyout)

14:$25M, 15:$25M, 16:$25M, 17:$23M club option ($10M buyout)



Image
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby CFP » Tue Nov 26, 2013 11:17:13

That's no Beltran-tennis ball contract

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby rolex » Tue Nov 26, 2013 11:42:23

JFLNYC wrote:So other than not being able to hit anything high or anything low, he's good to go.

On another note:

These aren't Charlie and Ruben's Phillies anymore

Decent article but it didn't acknowledge one important thing: Charlie was not Amaro's hire. Amaro came on board after Manuel and Gillick had set the tone for the team with the power hitters. Then, for some reason, as stated in the column, (PEDs?) the Phillies changed to a pitching first team. IMO, Amaro has wanted to change the direction of the team but was unable to do it because of contracts already handed out, and Manuel's preference for hard hitting players, usually veterans. With some of those contracts coming off of the books so that resources can be reallocated, we'll see what Amaro can do.
The Tigers seem to be in the place where the Phillies were two seasons ago with their wanting to go with arms over bats. Hence the trade of Fielder in order to free up the money to re-sign Scherzer. It looks like that is the formula for success in this era of non PED baseball. Now if the Tigers had a BP......

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby stevemc » Tue Nov 26, 2013 12:14:07

bleh wrote:35% miss when it's down and in, why doesn't he just drop the bat head on it?


Because of the shift and no doubles defense.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby SK790 » Tue Nov 26, 2013 12:53:48

rolex wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:So other than not being able to hit anything high or anything low, he's good to go.

On another note:

These aren't Charlie and Ruben's Phillies anymore

Decent article but it didn't acknowledge one important thing: Charlie was not Amaro's hire. Amaro came on board after Manuel and Gillick had set the tone for the team with the power hitters. Then, for some reason, as stated in the column, (PEDs?) the Phillies changed to a pitching first team. IMO, Amaro has wanted to change the direction of the team but was unable to do it because of contracts already handed out, and Manuel's preference for hard hitting players, usually veterans. With some of those contracts coming off of the books so that resources can be reallocated, we'll see what Amaro can do.
The Tigers seem to be in the place where the Phillies were two seasons ago with their wanting to go with arms over bats. Hence the trade of Fielder in order to free up the money to re-sign Scherzer. It looks like that is the formula for success in this era of non PED baseball. Now if the Tigers had a BP......

they went after pitching aggressively because they didn't expect the hitting to absolutely fall off a cliff. it's why most of us are frustrated that they doubled down on pitching when it looked like it was going to be real good for years to come. i don't see how anyone can really fault them for the overall strategy. their error was giving massive contracts to old, declining players, plain and simple.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby rolex » Tue Nov 26, 2013 13:30:31

SK790 wrote:
rolex wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:So other than not being able to hit anything high or anything low, he's good to go.

On another note:

These aren't Charlie and Ruben's Phillies anymore

Decent article but it didn't acknowledge one important thing: Charlie was not Amaro's hire. Amaro came on board after Manuel and Gillick had set the tone for the team with the power hitters. Then, for some reason, as stated in the column, (PEDs?) the Phillies changed to a pitching first team. IMO, Amaro has wanted to change the direction of the team but was unable to do it because of contracts already handed out, and Manuel's preference for hard hitting players, usually veterans. With some of those contracts coming off of the books so that resources can be reallocated, we'll see what Amaro can do.
The Tigers seem to be in the place where the Phillies were two seasons ago with their wanting to go with arms over bats. Hence the trade of Fielder in order to free up the money to re-sign Scherzer. It looks like that is the formula for success in this era of non PED baseball. Now if the Tigers had a BP......

they went after pitching aggressively because they didn't expect the hitting to absolutely fall off a cliff. it's why most of us are frustrated that they doubled down on pitching when it looked like it was going to be real good for years to come. i don't see how anyone can really fault them for the overall strategy. their error was giving massive contracts to old, declining players, plain and simple.

I think what everyone means when they mention " old, declining players" is Howard. If he is what he has been for the last two and a half years while he has been hurt, then you're correct. Maybe, now that he's healthy, he can pull off a Byrd and re-invent his approach at the plate and not be a bust.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby JFLNYC » Tue Nov 26, 2013 13:38:05

I can't speak for "everyone," but I include Rollins in that group, too. And, frankly, although Utley had a remarkable turnaround last year, he could fall into the group at almost any moment, too.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Grotewold » Tue Nov 26, 2013 13:43:09

If we're talking coulds, Rollins could bounce back at least a little bit. But even if not, it's not like that money is precluding any other moves or that signing Cuddyer and slotting Galvis in there in 2012 would have us better positioned

Howard and the second half of Halladay (which I don't regret obvs) is what's hurt
Last edited by Grotewold on Tue Nov 26, 2013 13:52:50, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby D2S » Tue Nov 26, 2013 13:46:39

Trent Steele wrote:Image

I'd like to see a whiff/per swing/per pitch.

I don't care if Howard wiffs on 25 of 25 pitches somewhere out of the zone if he sees 100 pitches there and doesn't swing at 75 of them.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby SK790 » Tue Nov 26, 2013 13:48:19

the point is that i keep hearing about how "doubling down" on pitching was a mistake and we should have got batttttttttsssss, but all i heard from 2005-2008 is that we didn't have the pitching to win in the playoffs. there is no hard and fast rule on how to build a good baseball team.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby joe table » Tue Nov 26, 2013 14:37:32

bleh wrote:
Rockinghorse wrote:Curious how his miss rate on pitches IN the strike zone compares to others. Looks kinda bad

78% Z-contact. 38th out of 42 first basemen with 300 PA last year:
http://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.aspx?p ... sort=7%2cd

Of those 42 only Chris Carter was worst at out of zone contact.


Yeah well it was 81% (vs 89% league average) in 2006 when he was hiting like roided Bonds too. Don't really think that's the troubling stat

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby etched Chaos » Tue Nov 26, 2013 14:44:46

SK790 wrote:the point is that i keep hearing about how "doubling down" on pitching was a mistake and we should have got batttttttttsssss, but all i heard from 2005-2008 is that we didn't have the pitching to win in the playoffs. there is no hard and fast rule on how to build a good baseball team.


Actually there is, the opposite of whatever Rube does :P.
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Trent Steele » Tue Nov 26, 2013 14:50:27

D2S wrote:
Trent Steele wrote:Image

I'd like to see a whiff/per swing/per pitch.

I don't care if Howard wiffs on 25 of 25 pitches somewhere out of the zone if he sees 100 pitches there and doesn't swing at 75 of them.


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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Trent Steele » Tue Nov 26, 2013 15:01:35

Image
I know what you're asking yourself and the answer is yes. I have a nick name for my penis. Its called the Octagon, but I also nick named my testes - my left one is James Westfall and my right one is Doctor Kenneth Noisewater.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Woody » Tue Nov 26, 2013 15:08:00

are we to surmise that Ryan Howard swings at a lot of bad pitches?
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby my cousin mose » Tue Nov 26, 2013 15:58:09

this all looks too much like tetris for my liking. i'm a dr. mario man, myself
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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby dajafi » Tue Nov 26, 2013 16:56:50

Actually, Manuel was Wade's hire.

In 2006 before they got hot, the speculation was that Gillick would fire charlie and bring in "his guy."

rolex wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:So other than not being able to hit anything high or anything low, he's good to go.

On another note:

These aren't Charlie and Ruben's Phillies anymore

Decent article but it didn't acknowledge one important thing: Charlie was not Amaro's hire. Amaro came on board after Manuel and Gillick had set the tone for the team with the power hitters. Then, for some reason, as stated in the column, (PEDs?) the Phillies changed to a pitching first team. IMO, Amaro has wanted to change the direction of the team but was unable to do it because of contracts already handed out, and Manuel's preference for hard hitting players, usually veterans. With some of those contracts coming off of the books so that resources can be reallocated, we'll see what Amaro can do.
The Tigers seem to be in the place where the Phillies were two seasons ago with their wanting to go with arms over bats. Hence the trade of Fielder in order to free up the money to re-sign Scherzer. It looks like that is the formula for success in this era of non PED baseball. Now if the Tigers had a BP......

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby Grotewold » Fri Nov 29, 2013 13:51:46

Steaks wrote:Baseball sources say the Phillies have been very active in proposing trades. Hamels is an untouchable. So is Lee, but check back in July.

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Re: Random Thoughts of the Wrong Brothers

Postby swishnicholson » Fri Nov 29, 2013 14:24:10

SK790 wrote:the point is that i keep hearing about how "doubling down" on pitching was a mistake and we should have got batttttttttsssss, but all i heard from 2005-2008 is that we didn't have the pitching to win in the playoffs. there is no hard and fast rule on how to build a good baseball team.


Of course, the problem is we'll never know since the pitching sucked this past year and doesn't necessarily look too great coming up. The ceiling for the offense was always a little better than average, but maybe strong starting pitching and a solid bullpen would have been enough.Or not.

Injuries certainly played into the failure of the starting pitching but I thought the bullpen had a chance to be very good and it was historically bad so I'm not even going to try to make any blanket judgments.
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