"Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoughts

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby JFLNYC » Fri Dec 21, 2012 17:11:41

Doll Is Mine wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:I'm sure I'm in the minority (maybe a minority of one), but I'd rather have Bastardo than Porcello.


From a baseball standpoint?


Gotta be so careful how you say things around here.
Jamie

"A man who tells lies . . . merely hides the truth. But a man who tells half-lies has forgotten where he put it."

JFLNYC
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 34322
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 13:16:48
Location: Location, Location!

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Doll Is Mine » Fri Dec 21, 2012 17:15:57

JFLNYC wrote:
Doll Is Mine wrote:
JFLNYC wrote:I'm sure I'm in the minority (maybe a minority of one), but I'd rather have Bastardo than Porcello.


From a baseball standpoint?


Gotta be so careful how you say things around here.


:mrgreen:

Doll Is Mine
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 27502
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 20:40:30

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sat Dec 22, 2012 18:51:10

Chris Branch...

Kubel and many of the other options still available would be best-suited to platoon roles. Scott Hairston, a free agent, hits left-handed pitching quite well. But that’s about it. The Phillies are also reportedly considering a trade for the Angels’ Vernon Wells, but I won’t touch on that much. Mainly because it would be a nonsensical pickup. Wells is aging, has put up awful numbers the last two seasons and wouldn’t merit something in return, even if the Angels picked up most of his colossal salary.

So your 2013 Phillies lineup will likely include some combination of Domonic Brown, Darin Ruf, Laynce Nix, John Mayberry Jr. and possibly a late offseason addition. But don’t expect an everyday outfielder to fall into Amaro’s lap.

And that, actually, might be the best thing for the Phillies.


http://blogs.delawareonline.com/philled ... re-likely/

Doll Is Mine
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 27502
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 20:40:30

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby dajafi » Tue Dec 25, 2012 00:11:44

So we all hate the idea of Delmon Young, right? Because he's 27 and kills lefties, and nobody seems interested in him. Basically he's what we hope Ruf turns out to be. Brutal defense, sun-dial speed, occasionally will mash.

Also still out there is Carlos Lee, who might be the least split-prone hitter ever: career OPS is .821 or .822, and he's done one of those numbers vs LHP and the other vs RHP.

That I haven't heard a word about either guy suggests they might come cheaper than Hairston, and probably are as-good bets to do something useful in 2013. (Though in Young's case I guess it could mean he has insane demands he won't come down from.)

dajafi
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 24567
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 20:03:18
Location: Brooklyn

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby swishnicholson » Tue Dec 25, 2012 00:30:46

Delmon Young walked 20 times and struck out 112 in 608 PA last year. Taht's just about the same as his career averages.

My optimism about Darin Ruf is pretty well tempered, but even I hope he becomes better then that.
"No woman can call herself free who does not control her own body."

swishnicholson
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 39187
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 22:56:15
Location: First I was like....And then I was like...

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby LongDrive » Tue Dec 25, 2012 08:49:51

Isn't Delmon Young a creep?

LongDrive
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 11070
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 20:33:25

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby The Savior » Tue Dec 25, 2012 08:59:30

we gon win it all this year. embrace it.
On a scale of 1 to Chris Brown, how pissed is he?

The Savior
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 30452
Joined: Thu Jul 09, 2009 09:53:42

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Barry Jive » Tue Dec 25, 2012 09:52:50

LongDrive wrote:Isn't Delmon Young a creep?


Anti-Semite. Also, he might be the worst player in baseball.

Barry Jive
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 37856
Joined: Wed Dec 26, 2007 21:53:43
Location: I'm Doug, solamente Doug.

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Bucky » Tue Dec 25, 2012 12:50:26

I do not hope Darin Ruf turns into an anti-semite

Bucky
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 58018
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 19:24:05
Location: You_Still_Have_To_Visit_Us

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby bury me » Tue Dec 25, 2012 12:58:09

i wonder what the Hamels are up to today

bury me
There's Our Old Friend
There's Our Old Friend
 
Posts: 2651
Joined: Thu May 24, 2012 20:34:48
Location: Fooling myself about how to exist, you came and showed me what happiness is

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby FTN » Tue Dec 25, 2012 15:14:14

the phillies should call the blue jays and ask what they'd want for bonifacio. right now, it appears he'll just be a bench player for them and won't play much. he was hurt for most of last year, so his numbers look bad, but he hit .296/.360/.393 in 2011 in 641 PA and he can adequately play SS, 2B, 3B, CF, and LF. hes been a little better against lefties in his career (hes a switch hitter, which im sure you already know) and he has great speed.

he'd be a utility player here too, but when utley or rollins inevitably gets hurt, he'd be a nice guy to plug in. not to mention, he plays centerfield, and we don't currently have a backup CF on the roster other than mayberry. he'll probably make around $3m this year, and he's under control for both 2013 and 2014, and he doesn't turn 28 until the end of april.

FTN
list sheriff
 
Posts: 47429
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:42:28
Location: BE PEACE

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Barry Jive » Tue Dec 25, 2012 15:15:35

FTN wrote:the phillies should call the blue jays and ask what they'd want for bonifacio. right now, it appears he'll just be a bench player for them and won't play much. he was hurt for most of last year, so his numbers look bad, but he hit .296/.360/.393 in 2011 in 641 PA and he can adequately play SS, 2B, 3B, CF, and LF. hes been a little better against lefties in his career (hes a switch hitter, which im sure you already know) and he has great speed.


is this a double entendre

i like that idea. he's basically Michael Martinez if Michael Martinez were good at anything
no offense but you are everything that's wrong with America

Barry Jive
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 37856
Joined: Wed Dec 26, 2007 21:53:43
Location: I'm Doug, solamente Doug.

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby smitty » Tue Dec 25, 2012 15:58:26

Well, he's better than Martinez so there's that. Last seasons awfulness fits in nicely with his career numbers.

smitty
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 45450
Joined: Sat Dec 30, 2006 03:00:27
Location: Federal Way, WA --Spursville

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Bill McNeal » Wed Dec 26, 2012 14:35:33

Trollnley with an article titled "Philly could regret keeping Cliff Lee"




Today in the Philadelphia Daily News, Ryan Lawrence takes stock of Ruben Amaro's offseason moves.

The Philadelphia Phillies are kind of in an odd place on the baseball landscape right now. It would've been a mistake for Amaro to throw some pricey older free agents onto a roster that's already older and too expensive. But at the same time, Philadelphia has too many good players -- Roy Halladay, Cliff Lee and Cole Hamels, in particular -- to completely retreat.

So Amaro has worked within the parameters defined by the team's budget limitations. Because of the salary obligations to Lee (owed at least $87.5 million over the next three seasons), Ryan Howard (owed at least $105 million over the next four seasons), Hamels (who will make about $24 million annually over the next six seasons) and Chase Utley (who is entering the final year of his contract, and will make $15 million), the Phillies went for more modest upgrades.

Amaro traded for Michael Young to play third base (most of his salary will be paid by the Texas Rangers), traded for center fielder Ben Revere and signed reliever Mike Adams. So they look something like this:

1B: Ryan Howard
2B: Chase Utley
3B: Michael Young
SS: Jimmy Rollins
OF: John Mayberry Jr. (the Phillies could add a lefty-hitting complement)
CF: Ben Revere
OF: Domonic Brown/Darin Ruf
C: Carlos Ruiz (who will open 2013 with a 25-game suspension.)
SP: Roy Halladay
SP: Cliff Lee
SP: Cole Hamels
SP: Kyle Kendrick/Tyler Cloyd
SP: John Lannan
SU: Mike Adams
CL: Jonathan Papelbon

It's a roster good enough for success; on paper, they aren't as good as the Washington Nationals or the Atlanta Braves. The Phillies were at one of the most interesting crossroads in baseball last August, and you do wonder, with the benefit of 20-20 hindsight, how different Philadelphia would be if the Phillies had found a way to take advantage of the Los Angeles Dodgers' hyper aggression.

Remember the first weekend after the trade deadline -- a few weeks before the blockbuster deal that L.A. made with Boston for Adrian Gonzalez, Carl Crawford and Josh Beckett -- when the Dodgers placed a waiver claim on Cliff Lee? The Phillies never seriously considered the idea of allowing Lee to go to the Dodgers, choosing to pull the left-hander back from waivers.

But what if the Phillies had taken that opportunity, as the Red Sox later did, to reduce their salary obligations?

What if the Phillies had told the Dodgers: Look, you can have Cliff Lee, but you'll also have to take Howard and maybe Papelbon as well.

Which is what the Red Sox effectively did with Gonzalez: Yes, you can have him, but you also have to take Crawford and Beckett.

For Howard, 2012 was the first year of the five-year, $125 million extension he had signed with Philadelphia. If the Phillies had been able to shed all or most of that contract, as well as that of Lee and Papelbon (who is the game's highest-paid closer now, at $13 million annually, through 2015), it would have given them an immediate and incredible opportunity to remake the roster. Whether the Phillies had been able to package Howard with Lee, or Howard and Papelbon with Lee, Philadelphia might have gained payroll flexibility and set itself to move ahead with a younger roster.

There's no telling what the Dodgers' response would've been, of course. They valued Gonzalez partly because of his Mexican heritage and his Southern California roots, and perhaps they were more aggressive in the Red Sox deal than they ever would've been with the Phillies.

But they had been turned down by the Red Sox just before the July 31 trade deadline, and the Dodgers' ownership was devoted to the idea of making the team better, whatever the cost -- and they clearly had targeted Lee, repeatedly, and they did so again once his name popped up on waivers in early August.

At the time, some rival executives thought the Phillies' best play would've been to simply dump Lee's contract -- "A no-brainer," said one -- and that was before the industry was fully aware of how much money the Dodgers were willing to take on.

Maybe it would have been possible for the Phillies to move Lee, Howard and Papelbon; maybe not. There's really no way of knowing, because those decisions are made in real time.

The Phillies didn't really explore the Dodgers' interest in Lee after he was claimed on waivers, choosing to keep the pitcher. The Dodgers moved in another direction a few weeks later, in a big way, leaving the Lee claim as one of the great what-ifs lingering from the 2012 season.


Not sure I'd have given away paplebon, but lee/Howard woulda been interesting, but what would it have really changed? We woulda thrown money at Hamilton and grinke, and basically been in the same boat we are in now. Meh.

Bill McNeal
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 27673
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 21:05:24
Location: A Place To Be Somebody

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby ReadingPhilly » Wed Dec 26, 2012 14:45:09

probably a miniscule chance the dodger would've taken on howard's contract. not like the red sox did jack shit with their new found flexibility.

ReadingPhilly
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 59729
Joined: Tue Apr 10, 2007 15:32:14

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby dajafi » Wed Dec 26, 2012 15:14:34

It's an interesting thought exercise, though negated by the first half of his column. You've already got Halladay, Hamels (who'd just re-signed), Utley and Rollins. Lee's still top shelf, earning his money, as is Papelbon. Howard might or might not bounce back. Have the Red Sox really done so much with the flexibility they created that we'd trade places with them? (edit: I see RP made this point.) If the idea is to contend in 2013, I'm pretty sure Lee/Howard/Papelbon *or* Gonzalez/Beckett/Crawford is a better hand to play than Victorino/Napoli/Hanrahan/Dempster.

I won't make my now-standard argument about where the Phils are and why Amaro's moves make sense in that context yet again. (It's here if anyone wants to see it.) But it seems like Olney grasps that in the first half of his musing here, then forgets it so he can fill column space.

Goth hipster Murphy takes the opposite starting point but reaches the same conclusion in his piece today. He thinks they missed huge on Swisher; I'm thrilled they didn't overpay and cede their pick for a good/not-great OF on the wrong side of 30.

dajafi
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 24567
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 20:03:18
Location: Brooklyn

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby phdave » Wed Dec 26, 2012 16:20:57

What is this fucker's obsession with getting the Phillies to a $0 payroll? I would much rather have Lee and Pap's contracts than have to compete for FAs to replace them given the way this off season signings went. I seriously doubt anyone would have just taken Howard's contract without us giving a lot back. I don't get why Olney is so obsessed with this.
The Phillies: People trading People to People.

phdave
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 11601
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 21:25:57
Location: Ylvania

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Monkeyboy » Wed Dec 26, 2012 16:36:06

phdave wrote:What is this fucker's obsession with getting the Phillies to a $0 payroll? I would much rather have Lee and Pap's contracts than have to compete for FAs to replace them given the way this off season signings went. I seriously doubt anyone would have just taken Howard's contract without us giving a lot back. I don't get why Olney is so obsessed with this.



I really haven't read his past articles, I don't think, but is that really what he's saying here? Is he saying we should get our payroll way down or is he saying that maybe we could have gotten a few pieces from the Dodgers and then added some other pieces with the money we saved from Lee/Howard/Papelbon, and that combination may make us better off than we are right now (younger and possibly better in the short term). I think it would have depended on who we got from the Dodgers and who we may have gotten from FA or trades.

I keep seeing a false dichotomy here, the idea that the choice was go for it with guys like Young and punchless Revere OR blow it up and not be good for a number of years. I don't think those were the only two options, but maybe I'm getting old and senile.
Agnostic dyslexic insomniacs lay awake all night wondering if there is a Dog.

Monkeyboy
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 28452
Joined: Sat Feb 17, 2007 21:01:51
Location: Beijing

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Grotewold » Wed Dec 26, 2012 16:40:21

phdave wrote:What is this fucker's obsession with getting the Phillies to a $0 payroll? I would much rather have Lee and Pap's contracts than have to compete for FAs to replace them given the way this off season signings went. I seriously doubt anyone would have just taken Howard's contract without us giving a lot back. I don't get why Olney is so obsessed with this.


Really.

The 'no better than this time last year' thing is dumb, too. We were odds-on favorites despite serious injuries and question marks.

The Nats have improved. Get a dog.

Grotewold
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 51642
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 09:40:10

Re: "Still have our 1st-rd pick!" & other random Phils thoug

Postby Wheels Tupay » Wed Dec 26, 2012 16:49:52

I want to know why national writers think the Braves have a better roster than us. I dont see it.
"That’s the Southwest Philly floater, man."
Now imagine that everything you ever imagined... is possible. - Hinkieology
EDP 2020

Wheels Tupay
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 30615
Joined: Wed Dec 16, 2009 16:35:17
Location: Keepin' it Gritty.

PreviousNext