jamiethekiller wrote:25% of the voting population voted for him. I'd be amazed if he got 25% again.

JUburton wrote:I think the prevailing thinking is that as of today Biden is the favorite. Which wasn't the case not that long ago. It's also true, however, that polls aren't super predictive right now.

That said, Harry Enten says that Dems are favored to take the Senate (barely) and cook political report said that their edge in keeping the house is growing and its no longer a foregone conclusion that they'll lose seats.

Gimpy wrote:We’d probably join the Axis powers with Trump at the helm. “Hitler made very powerful assurances. Very strong. I have no reason to believe he isn’t telling the truth.”

CalvinBall wrote:

JUburton wrote:I think the prevailing thinking is that as of today Biden is the favorite. Which wasn't the case not that long ago. It's also true, however, that polls aren't super predictive right now.

That said, Harry Enten says that Dems are favored to take the Senate (barely) and cook political report said that their edge in keeping the house is growing and its no longer a foregone conclusion that they'll lose seats.

There are so many juicy senate seats in play. Colorado, Maine, and Arizona seem all but certain to flip. North Carolina is there too. If Ds can keep the Loeffler GA seat, the Iowa seat, and the Montana seat in play we have a decent shot.

pacino wrote:The Democratic candidate could win by up to 8% and still lose

TenuredVulture wrote:JH can probably help with this some, but looking at recent general election polls, the variation seems to be mostly in Biden's support. Trump hasn't broken 46% at all this year, and recent polls have him getting 40-42%. (There's a Harvard Harris poll out there that seems to have pushed everyone to make a choice--it had Trump 46 and Biden 53.) I just can't imagine Trump getting over 45% in the general election--how many people who aren't supporting him now can be convinced to do so?

Bucky wrote:

CalvinBall wrote:

JUburton wrote:I think the prevailing thinking is that as of today Biden is the favorite. Which wasn't the case not that long ago. It's also true, however, that polls aren't super predictive right now.

That said, Harry Enten says that Dems are favored to take the Senate (barely) and cook political report said that their edge in keeping the house is growing and its no longer a foregone conclusion that they'll lose seats.

There are so many juicy senate seats in play. Colorado, Maine, and Arizona seem all but certain to flip. North Carolina is there too. If Ds can keep the Loeffler GA seat, the Iowa seat, and the Montana seat in play we have a decent shot.

i want kentucky

MFP wrote:

Bucky wrote:

CalvinBall wrote:

JUburton wrote:I think the prevailing thinking is that as of today Biden is the favorite. Which wasn't the case not that long ago. It's also true, however, that polls aren't super predictive right now.

That said, Harry Enten says that Dems are favored to take the Senate (barely) and cook political report said that their edge in keeping the house is growing and its no longer a foregone conclusion that they'll lose seats.

There are so many juicy senate seats in play. Colorado, Maine, and Arizona seem all but certain to flip. North Carolina is there too. If Ds can keep the Loeffler GA seat, the Iowa seat, and the Montana seat in play we have a decent shot.

i want kentucky

Absolutely.