The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby CFP » Tue Oct 02, 2018 20:46:07

He finally decided to mock Blasey Ford at a rally tonight

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby thephan » Tue Oct 02, 2018 21:33:42

What yook him so long????

Place ypur bets, does Melania return from Africa or shack up with one of Obama's half brothers?
yawn

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby joboggi » Tue Oct 02, 2018 21:34:55

50-50 in the major poll aggregator sites for the senate.

Some have dem in Missouri, another in Tenn.

Dem in both would be the key number 51.

Prdeicting 52.

Beto messed up in Texas. Doubt there will be 53 Dem seats.

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby joboggi » Tue Oct 02, 2018 21:36:45

Re: SCOTUS

The Senate can vote, but NO outlet is reporting the Rep will confirm Brett.

They do not have the votes.

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby jamiethekiller » Tue Oct 02, 2018 21:41:29

lethal: you got any jam on why this is allowed by the IRS?

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby Wolfgang622 » Tue Oct 02, 2018 21:47:18

joboggi wrote:Re: SCOTUS

The Senate can vote, but NO outlet is reporting the Rep will confirm Brett.

They do not have the votes.


Trump said something today about no one who wants to be on the Supreme Court should lie to Congress, which sounded to me like his passive aggressive way of telling Brett Kavanaugh he was cooked and should withdraw.
"I'm in a bar with the games sound turned off and that Cespedes home run still sounded like inevitability."

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Oct 02, 2018 23:40:37

Seeing GOP response rates on polling in the past week or so that I haven't seen all cycle. Actually having to weight down GOP responses.

Dunno if it lasts (it probably won't), but seems the Kavanaugh stuff has led to some differential response rates in the GOP's favor for the first time since the cycle has been engaged.

I don't think this means a ton for November, unless Kav fails & the base really gets behind the next pick, but would not be surprised at all to see some public polls that don't weight for party swing toward the GOP (in a way that isn't real) as this week moves along.

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby joe table » Wed Oct 03, 2018 03:15:58

jamiethekiller wrote:lethal: you got any jam on why this is allowed by the IRS?


Not a tax practitioner but the entire scheme is very complicated (lot of SPEs and trusts involved), Fred Trump got "reputable" (or at least known) advisors willing to put in a lot of time on their position, and a lot of the valuations in particular would be difficult (or at least very resource intensive) for IRS to independently verify (ie, the reporter has the benefit of subsequent events giving an arms length value to many of the properties, as well as other apparent non public info). Not excuses for the government but difficult to deal with assholes who are willing to take big risks and can throw way more resources at it. And I'm sure a lot of the talented tax nerds who could sniff it out for the IRS would rather work on private side for way more $$ as well

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby joe table » Wed Oct 03, 2018 03:25:45

I did read the whole article and one takeaway is that fred trump jr being a lush who got passed over by his scrooge mcduck unlimited ATM machine father potentially fucked the whole operation up for the U.S.

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Wed Oct 03, 2018 06:33:24

National voter registration day (Sept 25th) got 800,000 new registrants

although this campaign has only been around since 2012, it shatters the record for a midterm- 2014 (155K), well exceeds their estimate of how many they'd get (300K) and even beats the 2016 drive (750K)
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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Wed Oct 03, 2018 06:36:16

jamiethekiller wrote:lethal: you got any jam on why this is allowed by the IRS?


unless they're looking for it they won't know as It was largely hidden in transactions between two business entities

the statute of limitations for the IRS has elapsed

HOWEVER

there is the possibility for fraud charges since the Trumps used these purposely overinflated transactions to apply for rent hikes in rent controlled apartments
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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby pacino » Wed Oct 03, 2018 06:41:06

The Crimson Cyclone wrote:National voter registration day (Sept 25th) got 800,000 new registrants

although this campaign has only been around since 2012, it shatters the record for a midterm- 2014 (155K), well exceeds their estimate of how many they'd get (300K) and even beats the 2016 drive (750K)

probably all people who are #walkingaway from the democRAT party
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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Wed Oct 03, 2018 06:50:32

pacino wrote:
The Crimson Cyclone wrote:National voter registration day (Sept 25th) got 800,000 new registrants

although this campaign has only been around since 2012, it shatters the record for a midterm- 2014 (155K), well exceeds their estimate of how many they'd get (300K) and even beats the 2016 drive (750K)

probably all people who are #walkingaway from the democRAT party


if they werent registered in the first place then how are they walking away exactly?
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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby Phred » Wed Oct 03, 2018 07:44:19

pacino wrote:
The Crimson Cyclone wrote:National voter registration day (Sept 25th) got 800,000 new registrants

although this campaign has only been around since 2012, it shatters the record for a midterm- 2014 (155K), well exceeds their estimate of how many they'd get (300K) and even beats the 2016 drive (750K)

probably all people who are #walkingaway from the democRAT party


or Russians or the recently deceased or people registering for the 2nd or 3rd time
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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby Phred » Wed Oct 03, 2018 07:45:27

joboggi wrote:50-50 in the major poll aggregator sites for the senate.

Some have dem in Missouri, another in Tenn.

Dem in both would be the key number 51.

Prdeicting 52.

Beto messed up in Texas. Doubt there will be 53 Dem seats.


What did he do to mess up? Didn't he just have a rally in Austin with a record breaking turnout?
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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Wed Oct 03, 2018 07:55:28

quite a psa

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby thephan » Wed Oct 03, 2018 08:16:19

Lock Her Up! Lock Her Up! Lock Her Up! - The Good Rally Goers in Mississippi

Who is her?
yawn

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby Slowhand » Wed Oct 03, 2018 08:44:32

thephan wrote:Lock Her Up! Lock Her Up! Lock Her Up! - The Good Rally Goers in Mississippi

Who is her?


Dr. Ford.
How dare you interrupt my Lime Rickey!

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby traderdave » Wed Oct 03, 2018 09:40:16

thephan wrote:Lock Her Up! Lock Her Up! Lock Her Up! - The Good Rally Goers in Mississippi

Who is her?


I realize that MS is backward AF but surely they know it is 2018 and the 2016 election is over?
Last edited by traderdave on Wed Oct 03, 2018 09:55:42, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: The Moz Wave is Nov 6th - POLITICS

Postby Squire » Wed Oct 03, 2018 09:48:48

I don't think Trump is being tactical because he's an idiot. But I do think he really doesn't care about Brett Kavanaugh personally at all ("he's a Bush guy..."). I think Kavanaugh going to be voted down by the full Senate and Trump will try to exploit it to bring out his side in the mid-terms. Just my take.

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