CalvinBall wrote:

jerseyhoya wrote:Frank LoBiondo reportedly retiring. That's a big one.

Wonder if Jeff Van Drew will finally run for that seat.

Not many GOP state legislators in the district, though probably a lot of countywide elected folks. I guess Chris Brown might run, especially if he wins today? A lot of counties in the district, Atlantic the largest at ~1/3 of it.

does the Dem have a chance?

jerseyhoya wrote:

CalvinBall wrote:

jerseyhoya wrote:Frank LoBiondo reportedly retiring. That's a big one.

Wonder if Jeff Van Drew will finally run for that seat.

Not many GOP state legislators in the district, though probably a lot of countywide elected folks. I guess Chris Brown might run, especially if he wins today? A lot of counties in the district, Atlantic the largest at ~1/3 of it.

does the Dem have a chance?

Yeah. It'll be one of the top takeover targets nationwide. Though it was the biggest swing toward Trump in the state. Obama won the district by 8 in 2012. Trump won it by 4 last year.

jerseyhoya wrote:Some steady, though not terrible, rain in NoVa right now. Should be raining here most of the time until polls close. Most of the rest of the state looks dry. If Gillespie wins a squeaker, could be the weather that wins it for him.

“Ralph Northam will allow crime to be rampant in Virginia,” Trump wrote on Twitter. If the Republican wins, Trump said, “MS-13 and crime will be gone.”

Hunter Patterson, also 29, was turned off by a negative ad, the Latino Victory Fund campaign’s spot against Gillespie.

“I wanted to send a clear message that not all Republicans” are racists, he said.

Michelle Villado, 44, a government contractor from Arlington, said she, too, felt compelled to vote against Northam because he “didn’t speak against” the Latino Victory Fund ad.

“I wasn’t going to come vote,” said Villado, a libertarian who did not vote in 2016, but “I felt the need to vote for the other guy.”

Villado is not Latino, but her ex-husband and his family are. The ad was “inflammatory, putting everyone . . . in this horrendous group who would unconscionably mow over children because of their race,” she said.

Robert Kinsler, 33, a business owner in Alexandria, was also incensed by the Latino Victory Fund ad.

“I thought the ad was very despicable and pushed me over the edge. It played to the common refrain from the left that the right is evil,” Kinsler said as he finished voting at Alexandria Fire Station #204. “It’s just very low.”

Kinsler’s vote for Gillespie was driven in part by his opposition to sanctuary cities.

Barbara Cottman, 73, a retired nurse and Trump supporter, said the same.

“I believe in make America first,” said Cottman, who is African American and lives in Woodbridge. Sanctuary cities, she said, are “spitting in the president’s face.”

pacino wrote:Those people weren't voting for Northam anyway.

This is why you run a campaign designed to get out voters willing to vote for you.

thephan wrote:46% voter turn out so far in Fairfax county.

slugsrbad wrote:

thephan wrote:46% voter turn out so far in Fairfax county.

Probably not great?

Christina Freundlich‏ @christinafreund
Fairfax County, Arlington County and Alexandria have all broken 2013 vote totals. Let's keep breaking records Virginians! #GameOnVA

Ryan Struyk‏ @ryanstruyk
Vote among women in Virginia via @CNN exit polls -->

2017: Northam +19
2016: Clinton +17
2014: Warner +12
2013: McAullife +9