phorever wrote:fangraphs has the phils playoff odds ever so slightly higher (89.4%) than they were before the mets series (89.0%), but a disappointingly big step lower than they were (93.4%) after winning the 1st of the four games. the scary thing is that the mets are, on paper, the 2nd or 3rd best team in the league (lad and maybe atl are better), and we have to play them three more times right after the insane baseball marathon against the fish. i'm almost positive that neither the fangraphs nor 538 playoff odds factor in the extra challenge of the phils having to play more september games than any of their september opponents or main playoff rivals. even though our chance of the playoffs looks better than it did entering the stretch run of 2007 , i feel like actually getting there will be almost as amazing as it was in 2007.

phorever wrote:fangraphs has the phils playoff odds ever so slightly higher (89.4%) than they were before the mets series (89.0%), but a disappointingly big step lower than they were (93.4%) after winning the 1st of the four games. the scary thing is that the mets are, on paper, the 2nd or 3rd best team in the league (lad and maybe atl are better), and we have to play them three more times right after the insane baseball marathon against the fish. i'm almost positive that neither the fangraphs nor 538 playoff odds factor in the extra challenge of the phils having to play more september games than any of their september opponents or main playoff rivals. even though our chance of the playoffs looks better than it did entering the stretch run of 2007 , i feel like actually getting there will be almost as amazing as it was in 2007.

MoBettle wrote:Losing 14-1 to a team you are directly competing with probably hurts your computer numbers.

swishnicholson wrote:We would be 2.5 games out of a regular wild card spot in the usual format, so I'm okay with this year's formula.

Ace Rothstein wrote:

swishnicholson wrote:We would be 2.5 games out of a regular wild card spot in the usual format, so I'm okay with this year's formula.

Wouldn’t they be the 2nd WC team behind the Padres?

slugsrbad wrote:

Ace Rothstein wrote:

swishnicholson wrote:We would be 2.5 games out of a regular wild card spot in the usual format, so I'm okay with this year's formula.

Wouldn’t they be the 2nd WC team behind the Padres?

Correct. So we're currently a playoff team in both the expanded wild card and covid rules. #gous

Also, it is weird to me that 2 wild cards have been a thing since 2012. Also the Phillies and Rockies are the NL teams to never qualify as Wild Card teams.

Slowhand wrote:I will only be happy with us sweeping the 7 game series. I do not think I am asking for much.

Titlehungry wrote:Seven game series and still somehow miss Dontrelle Willis

1 wrote:

Titlehungry wrote:Seven game series and still somehow miss Dontrelle Willis

Charlie Hough is pitching game 6

phorever wrote:formerly phils-only prospect specialist and now the lead prospect analyst for fg, eric longenhaden, has posted updates on the nl prospects in the majors of special training camps. most intriguing update is for possible jtr successor marcan. both bat and glove have taken steps forward. still far from a top prespect, but a 21 year old catcher doing well at the upper-minors-ish level is not a bad thing.