Discuss Poker Here Thread(OT)

Postby jemagee » Thu May 31, 2007 12:15:26

I think to make newbies welcomed that all threads should be locked at midnight and restarted the next eday...it's the only way to guarantee they don't feel left out.

Or maybe every 108 minutes
jemagee
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 13918
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:44:04
Location: What's it to ya?

Postby seke2 » Thu May 31, 2007 12:37:43

Since TRT picked on me relentlessly at the last live game for this, I figured I'd post a good explanation. This is copied from a post by one of the many well-respected poker posters on two plus two.


Reverse Implied Odds

It’s the first hand of a NLHE tournament. You have AA UTG. Villain has 22 on the button. Who’s in a profitable situation? Villain is. You are never going to win a big pot unless you make set over set, but you will lose a big pot virtually every time he makes his set.

This seems obvious, but it’s an important thing to think about when you have a big hand. Just because you have the nuts doesn’t mean you want any and all action. You want to play big pots against second best hands, not against speculative hands that will either lose small pots or win big ones. I see so many players making tiny raises and re-raises with their rockets, seemingly giving little or no thought to what kinds of hands they want in the pot and what kinds they don’t. Conveniently enough, the kinds of hands that will pay you off big on the right flop are also the sort that can take a fair amount of action pre-flop: other big pairs and broadway hands that can make top pair good kicker.
Letting Roy Halladay loose against the National League this year was like locking a hungry wolf inside a garage full of kittens. - Neyer

seke2
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 6801
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 09:34:10
Location: Sir Twinkie McCheeseburger

Postby The Red Tornado » Thu May 31, 2007 12:44:03

seke2 wrote:Since TRT picked on me relentlessly at the last live game for this,


2 jokes is relentlessly?!

I kid because I love.
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby The Red Tornado » Thu May 31, 2007 12:51:33

seke2 wrote:Since TRT picked on me relentlessly at the last live game for this, I figured I'd post a good explanation. This is copied from a post by one of the many well-respected poker posters on two plus two.


Reverse Implied Odds

It’s the first hand of a NLHE tournament. You have AA UTG. Villain has 22 on the button. Who’s in a profitable situation? Villain is. You are never going to win a big pot unless you make set over set, but you will lose a big pot virtually every time he makes his set.

This seems obvious, but it’s an important thing to think about when you have a big hand. Just because you have the nuts doesn’t mean you want any and all action. You want to play big pots against second best hands, not against speculative hands that will either lose small pots or win big ones. I see so many players making tiny raises and re-raises with their rockets, seemingly giving little or no thought to what kinds of hands they want in the pot and what kinds they don’t. Conveniently enough, the kinds of hands that will pay you off big on the right flop are also the sort that can take a fair amount of action pre-flop: other big pairs and broadway hands that can make top pair good kicker.


BTW that scenario isnt the same as the example you cited when you first used the term.
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby seke2 » Thu May 31, 2007 13:05:47

I don't even remember what the situation was when I first mentioned it.

Basically, it's just the inverse of implied odds. Your hand has good implied odds when you will usually only win a large pot or lose a small one. Like baby pairs when you're playing most for set value, low suited connectors, etc. Most of the time, you whiff the flop and you're done with the hand. Occasionally, you hit the flop hard and will win a big pot most of the time.

So when you have a hand that will often either lose a big pot or win a small one (which is often the case with big pairs, or top pair/overpair on a draw-heavy flop), you have bad ("reverse") implied odds. You have great pot odds, but you're unlikely to continue winning a lot of chips on later streets because most of the time, your opponents will only continue with the hand if they flop a strong hand. And many times when that happens, you still have a good hand (like you have AA/KK against 55 on a Q85 board) and you will LOSE a lot of chips postflop (there's the reverse, because now you're losing chips, not gaining them).

That same principle can be extrapolated to a lot of situations, and while I don't remember what my example was, it was probably in the same ballpark.
Letting Roy Halladay loose against the National League this year was like locking a hungry wolf inside a garage full of kittens. - Neyer

seke2
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 6801
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 09:34:10
Location: Sir Twinkie McCheeseburger

Postby philliesr98 » Thu May 31, 2007 13:12:40

seke2 wrote:I don't even remember what the situation was when I first mentioned it.

Basically, it's just the inverse of implied odds. Your hand has good implied odds when you will usually only win a large pot or lose a small one. Like baby pairs when you're playing most for set value, low suited connectors, etc. Most of the time, you whiff the flop and you're done with the hand. Occasionally, you hit the flop hard and will win a big pot most of the time.

So when you have a hand that will often either lose a big pot or win a small one (which is often the case with big pairs, or top pair/overpair on a draw-heavy flop), you have bad ("reverse") implied odds. You have great pot odds, but you're unlikely to continue winning a lot of chips on later streets because most of the time, your opponents will only continue with the hand if they flop a strong hand. And many times when that happens, you still have a good hand (like you have AA/KK against 55 on a Q85 board) and you will LOSE a lot of chips postflop (there's the reverse, because now you're losing chips, not gaining them).

That same principle can be extrapolated to a lot of situations, and while I don't remember what my example was, it was probably in the same ballpark.


seke your explanation here is gold.... I didn't quite understand you previous explanation, I think you brought up Negraneau in it I believe....

good post....
None of you have probably ever eaten steak with me or rice and beans with me to understand what the man is about. -pedro

philliesr98
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 9227
Joined: Sat Dec 30, 2006 22:11:45
Location: an island somewhere

Postby The Red Tornado » Thu May 31, 2007 13:12:54

seke2 wrote:I don't even remember what the situation was when I first mentioned it.

Basically, it's just the inverse of implied odds. Your hand has good implied odds when you will usually only win a large pot or lose a small one. Like baby pairs when you're playing most for set value, low suited connectors, etc. Most of the time, you whiff the flop and you're done with the hand. Occasionally, you hit the flop hard and will win a big pot most of the time.

So when you have a hand that will often either lose a big pot or win a small one (which is often the case with big pairs, or top pair/overpair on a draw-heavy flop), you have bad ("reverse") implied odds. You have great pot odds, but you're unlikely to continue winning a lot of chips on later streets because most of the time, your opponents will only continue with the hand if they flop a strong hand. And many times when that happens, you still have a good hand (like you have AA/KK against 55 on a Q85 board) and you will LOSE a lot of chips postflop (there's the reverse, because now you're losing chips, not gaining them).

That same principle can be extrapolated to a lot of situations, and while I don't remember what my example was, it was probably in the same ballpark.


No it was when you folded a hand in the SB when you couldve limped with a crap hand like 94o and you claimed it had reverse implied odds.
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby seke2 » Thu May 31, 2007 13:14:36

The Red Tornado wrote:
seke2 wrote:I don't even remember what the situation was when I first mentioned it.

Basically, it's just the inverse of implied odds. Your hand has good implied odds when you will usually only win a large pot or lose a small one. Like baby pairs when you're playing most for set value, low suited connectors, etc. Most of the time, you whiff the flop and you're done with the hand. Occasionally, you hit the flop hard and will win a big pot most of the time.

So when you have a hand that will often either lose a big pot or win a small one (which is often the case with big pairs, or top pair/overpair on a draw-heavy flop), you have bad ("reverse") implied odds. You have great pot odds, but you're unlikely to continue winning a lot of chips on later streets because most of the time, your opponents will only continue with the hand if they flop a strong hand. And many times when that happens, you still have a good hand (like you have AA/KK against 55 on a Q85 board) and you will LOSE a lot of chips postflop (there's the reverse, because now you're losing chips, not gaining them).

That same principle can be extrapolated to a lot of situations, and while I don't remember what my example was, it was probably in the same ballpark.


No it was when you folded a hand in the SB when you couldve limped with a crap hand like 94o and you claimed it had reverse implied odds.

Hmm, that might have been retarded of me if that's what I said. But you still should fold 94o.
Letting Roy Halladay loose against the National League this year was like locking a hungry wolf inside a garage full of kittens. - Neyer

seke2
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 6801
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 09:34:10
Location: Sir Twinkie McCheeseburger

Postby seke2 » Thu May 31, 2007 15:40:21

seke2 wrote:Yes, now you fold any 2 assuming the BB is forced in, I'm pretty sure.

I had some fellow poker nerds take on this hypothetical too. I was close, but the consensus was that mathematically, you can play AA/KK in any of these spots. Those are the only 2 hands that will have greater than 67% equity 3-way, which is why you can play them.

In the scenario where the bigstack can win the all-in but Hero can still win 2nd if he beats the other shortie (equal stacks, hand strength matters between all players), you can call pretty wide, close to top 50%.
Letting Roy Halladay loose against the National League this year was like locking a hungry wolf inside a garage full of kittens. - Neyer

seke2
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 6801
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 09:34:10
Location: Sir Twinkie McCheeseburger

Postby The Red Tornado » Thu May 31, 2007 15:44:23

You posted my flukey scenario on 2+2?
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby seke2 » Thu May 31, 2007 15:45:43

The Red Tornado wrote:You posted my flukey scenario on 2+2?

Yes, and I was mocked for it, but I got some answers including a couple from posters I actually respect. A few people did actually think it was interesting too. It's more interesting than most WSOP bizarre hypotheticals (which usually involve AA on the first hand and lots of people moving all in, or you have QQ on the first hand and another player moves all in and exposes that he has AK)
Letting Roy Halladay loose against the National League this year was like locking a hungry wolf inside a garage full of kittens. - Neyer

seke2
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 6801
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 09:34:10
Location: Sir Twinkie McCheeseburger

Postby The Red Tornado » Thu May 31, 2007 15:48:12

yup found the thread
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby The Red Tornado » Thu May 31, 2007 15:53:30

I see that they finally wnet to a much more user friendly bulletin board at 2+2, what a pain in the ass it was reading threads in the old usenet style. I would love to post there but I know I'd get my ass laughed outta there in less than 2 days.
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby seke2 » Thu May 31, 2007 15:53:32

The Red Tornado wrote:yup found the thread

Yeah...Jurollo is real good, he responded. Nicok isn't real well known but he's not a tard. Don't know anything about jgunnip who did the good math response but he's been around 2p2 since 2004 and has 3k posts so he probably is good.
Letting Roy Halladay loose against the National League this year was like locking a hungry wolf inside a garage full of kittens. - Neyer

seke2
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 6801
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 09:34:10
Location: Sir Twinkie McCheeseburger

Postby seke2 » Thu May 31, 2007 15:54:42

The Red Tornado wrote:I see that they finally wnet to a much more user friendly bulletin board at 2+2, what a pain in the ass it was reading threads in the old usenet style. I would love to post there but I know I'd get my ass laughed outta there in less than 2 days.

eh, that's what i did. but i hung with it and i'm like a 200x better player than i would have been otherwise for it.

plus the various community forums (Other Other Topics, BBV4Life, etc.) are usually good sources of hilariousness and entertainment to help the work day go by faster.
Letting Roy Halladay loose against the National League this year was like locking a hungry wolf inside a garage full of kittens. - Neyer

seke2
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 6801
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 09:34:10
Location: Sir Twinkie McCheeseburger

Postby pacino » Thu May 31, 2007 17:37:04

seke, I was busting balls, I know the guy is good. Still, he came off like a douche to an entire group of people who know nothing about him. Probably just his exuberance for the game(and his game) that came out, but he looked rather douchey.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

pacino
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 75831
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:37:20
Location: Furkin Good

Postby The Red Tornado » Thu May 31, 2007 19:18:19

Im sure they editted the interviews to make him look overconfident and co cky as well. Besides if youre a teen and one of the best internet poker players in the world Id think youd'd be a bit co cky at times as well.


Co cky isnt a bad word dammit!!
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby Woody » Thu May 31, 2007 19:25:37

Let me ax a hypothetical

What's to stop 5 people from joining the same, say, $1000 6 person Sit and Go, knocking out 1 guy, and then splitting his entry cash?

What if they then did the same thing once a week on 5 different poker sites?

Does this sort of stuff happen? I'm sure there are measures in place to prevent things of that nature, but it would have to happen on occassion, no?
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

Woody
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 52472
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 17:56:45
Location: captain of the varsity slut team

Postby The Red Tornado » Fri Jun 01, 2007 15:17:56

Woody wrote:Let me ax a hypothetical

What's to stop 5 people from joining the same, say, $1000 6 person Sit and Go, knocking out 1 guy, and then splitting his entry cash?

What if they then did the same thing once a week on 5 different poker sites?

Does this sort of stuff happen? I'm sure there are measures in place to prevent things of that nature, but it would have to happen on occassion, no?


collusion does happen, but probably not that high scale. They monitor to see if certain people are always playing at the same table to help cut down on that.
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

Postby The Red Tornado » Fri Jun 01, 2007 15:18:51

WSOP starts today!!


Woohoo!!


The big fad be a big fade?


I recommend checking cardplayer.com for updates and coverage, it's an excellent site.
The Red Tornado
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 12717
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 07:21:16

PreviousNext