Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby phillychuck » Wed Feb 21, 2018 18:40:07

I honestly think Foles is a prototypical, excellent pro pocket QB with great years in front of him. He's not mobile, but neither were Manning and Brady. He's clever and elusive in the pocket, throws a really catchable ball, and is, most importantly in the pro game, accurate and smart. I disagree with Napalm--if he's given a decent team (say Minnesota), I think he has zero chance of flaming out, and a good chance of keeping the Eagles out of the Super Bowl by beating them in the NFC champ game, possibly repeatedly.

If I'm Howie, I'd much rather trade him to the AFC because I think he's that good.

I think I'd have to be pretty confident in Wentz's recovery to trade him, but if a team backs up the truck full of draft picks you have to think. about it, especially since rumors are the Eagles are also high on Sudfeld.
Last edited by phillychuck on Wed Feb 21, 2018 18:42:08, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby TenuredVulture » Wed Feb 21, 2018 18:41:41

I think there's also the mentality surrounding draft picks among fans--they don't seem to understand that in most cases, the #1 qb in any draft class, a guy who will be gone before the 5th pick is around a 50-50 proposition, and they're not likely to get the next Drew Brees. Foles by contrast has a ceiling of Superbowl MVP and a floor of above average NFL starter.

If I were an NFL GM, I'd spend a lot of time trading draft picks for NFL players instead of trying to figure out which 20 yo might be able to contribute.
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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby mcare89 » Wed Feb 21, 2018 18:50:59

TenuredVulture wrote:I think there's also the mentality surrounding draft picks among fans--they don't seem to understand that in most cases, the #1 qb in any draft class, a guy who will be gone before the 5th pick is around a 50-50 proposition, and they're not likely to get the next Drew Brees. Foles by contrast has a ceiling of Superbowl MVP and a floor of above average NFL starter.

If I were an NFL GM, I'd spend a lot of time trading draft picks for NFL players instead of trying to figure out which 20 yo might be able to contribute.

When it comes to QB's, I agree, but the one problem you run into with trading picks is that draft picks come with cheap rookie contracts. The reason I loved Howie's deals this year, specifically Darby and Ajayi was that he dealt picks for guys who were on rookie scale deals, lessening the blow of losing those cheap contracts.

I agree that trades might be a market inefficiency though. The fact that a guy like Jernigan only cost trading down 20 picks in the third round is pretty crazy to me.

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby heyeaglefn » Wed Feb 21, 2018 18:52:06

How many QB's though say in the last 20 years have won a SB for a team that didn't draft them? Manning, Brees, Brad Johnson? Forgot Dilfer too.

Everyone is looking for their Big Ben, Brady, Manning.

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby mcare89 » Wed Feb 21, 2018 18:54:47

heyeaglefn wrote:How many QB's though say in the last 20 years have won a SB for a team that didn't draft them? Manning, Brees, Brad Johnson?

That's kind of a flawed stat though. Good QB's don't become available through free agency or trades often. When teams find a good QB, they hold onto them for as long as possible. They pay them top dollar so they never leave, even if they aren't necessarily worth top dollar, because they're hard to replace. That's why every decent QB who signs a contract now becomes the highest-paid player ever.

How often do teams have two good QB's at a time, or choose to let their starting QB walk in free agency. It's a rarity, which is why that stat exists.

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby heyeaglefn » Wed Feb 21, 2018 18:58:51

mcare89 wrote:
heyeaglefn wrote:How many QB's though say in the last 20 years have won a SB for a team that didn't draft them? Manning, Brees, Brad Johnson?

That's kind of a flawed stat though. Good QB's don't become available through free agency or trades often. When teams find a good QB, they hold onto them for as long as possible. They pay them top dollar so they never leave, even if they aren't necessarily worth top dollar, because they're hard to replace. That's why every decent QB who signs a contract now becomes the highest-paid player ever.

How often do teams have two good QB's at a time, or choose to let their starting QB walk in free agency. It's a rarity, which is why that stat exists.

I am talking more about teams acquiring QB's at the time they think will lead them to the SB, but fail.

Carson Palmer to the Raiders for a 1st and 2nd, Bradford to Vikings for a 1st and 4th, Jay Cutler I think 2 1sts and a 3rd are all recent examples of trades that seemed fine at the time but when you look back at them they were disasters. Bledsoe was traded for a 1st in 2003 at 30 years old and he was a 3 time pro bowler.

You can say draft picks have big bust potential, but trading for a QB and giving up big assets doesn't seem to work out very often for teams.

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby Napalm » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:14:05

phillychuck wrote:I honestly think Foles is a prototypical, excellent pro pocket QB with great years in front of him. He's not mobile, but neither were Manning and Brady. He's clever and elusive in the pocket, throws a really catchable ball, and is, most importantly in the pro game, accurate and smart. I disagree with Napalm--if he's given a decent team (say Minnesota), I think he has zero chance of flaming out, and a good chance of keeping the Eagles out of the Super Bowl by beating them in the NFC champ game, possibly repeatedly.

If I'm Howie, I'd much rather trade him to the AFC because I think he's that good.

I think I'd have to be pretty confident in Wentz's recovery to trade him, but if a team backs up the truck full of draft picks you have to think. about it, especially since rumors are the Eagles are also high on Sudfeld.

my god, could you imagine

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby phillychuck » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:26:58

heyeaglefn wrote:How many QB's though say in the last 20 years have won a SB for a team that didn't draft them? Manning, Brees, Brad Johnson? Forgot Dilfer too.

Everyone is looking for their Big Ben, Brady, Manning.


Favre?
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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby phillychuck » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:27:50

Napalm wrote:
phillychuck wrote:I honestly think Foles is a prototypical, excellent pro pocket QB with great years in front of him. He's not mobile, but neither were Manning and Brady. He's clever and elusive in the pocket, throws a really catchable ball, and is, most importantly in the pro game, accurate and smart. I disagree with Napalm--if he's given a decent team (say Minnesota), I think he has zero chance of flaming out, and a good chance of keeping the Eagles out of the Super Bowl by beating them in the NFC champ game, possibly repeatedly.

If I'm Howie, I'd much rather trade him to the AFC because I think he's that good.

I think I'd have to be pretty confident in Wentz's recovery to trade him, but if a team backs up the truck full of draft picks you have to think. about it, especially since rumors are the Eagles are also high on Sudfeld.

my god, could you imagine


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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby Gimpy » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:29:34

How often do Super Bowl MVP quarterbacks win it on their fourth stop as a pro, which also happens to be with the team that drafted them?

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby Woody » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:30:05

Gimpy wrote:How often do Super Bowl MVP quarterbacks win it on their fourth stop as a pro, which also happens to be with the team that drafted them?


once every 52 years
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby phillychuck » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:30:30

Gimpy wrote:How often do Super Bowl MVP quarterbacks win it on their fourth stop as a pro, which also happens to be with the team that drafted them?


Never would happen, never.
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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby Gimpy » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:30:33

phillychuck wrote:
heyeaglefn wrote:How many QB's though say in the last 20 years have won a SB for a team that didn't draft them? Manning, Brees, Brad Johnson? Forgot Dilfer too.

Everyone is looking for their Big Ben, Brady, Manning.


Favre?


That was 21 years ago

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby heyeaglefn » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:31:00

Not when he went to the Jets lol. Favre to Packers to me is more like a Jimmy G trade. It was also 27 years ago.

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby phillychuck » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:31:00

Time flies when you're winning the big one.
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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby Napalm » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:39:00

lots of years going by on this page. somewhere the PTK bag signal just rose

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby heyeaglefn » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:39:22

Maybe if the Jets strike out with Cousins they will call the Eagles.

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby Woody » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:42:36

Napalm wrote:lots of years going by on this page. somewhere the PTK bag signal just rose


really need some multivariate* analysis of every player ever to play on the eagles roster compared to their draft position and relative contribution


*46 paragraphs
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:53:18

It took half a century to find a QB to lead the Eagles to a Super Bowl win. Nobody here would dream of trading Wentz no matter how good the (realistic) offer because we see him as a franchise QB for the next 10 years, potentially leading the team to multiple Super Bowls. But the chance of Wentz not returning to his pre-injury form is non-zero.

We know Foles can lead the team to a Super Bowl championship. Until I'm certain that Wentz is fully healthy and back to his pre-injury form, I'm not trading the guy who may be able to lead us to additional Super Bowls for the next 5 or 6 years. How incredibly stupid would it be to trade Foles only to find out Wentz is not the pre-injury Wentz and that we've traded Foles meaning we have to go back to square one in the search for a QB capable of leading the team to another championship?
Last edited by JFLNYC on Wed Feb 21, 2018 20:04:18, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Super Bowl MVP QB Nick Foles

Postby Napalm » Wed Feb 21, 2018 19:59:45

Woody wrote:
Napalm wrote:lots of years going by on this page. somewhere the PTK bag signal just rose


really need some multivariate* analysis of every player ever to play on the eagles roster compared to their draft position and relative contribution


*46 paragraphs

Nick Foles is the torch that set a dumpster fire to mountains of data. All your base are belong to him

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