Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:21:14

JUburton wrote: the problem is that republican policies do not fix these issues and will not suddenly bring back the glory manufacturing days.


I'm not sure that any government built for incremental change is prepared to confront the radical reconception of 'sustainable' allocation of rewards to capital & labor - of the very nature of ownership itself in a "post-labor" future - that must be not only confronted but acted on to avoid a more brutal 'resolution' of the chief economic problem our future holds.

Certainly not one in which most of the authorized decisionmakers believe slogans are policies and have actively resisted engaging in governance for the better part of a decade.
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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby Grotewold » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:22:11

PSUsarge wrote:
Grotewold wrote:
pacino wrote:This is an issue, certainly. There is a lost generation of people stemming from the 2008 crash. There are no Republican solutions, but we both know that. Beefing up college availability, along with technical schools, was a good start to preventing a future generation from being stuck. Expanding UC, social security, medicaid, etc could help those who simply will not find a job equivalent to their old $40 an hour no skills job.

Now? I have no clue how people like this will be helped.


I don't follow this stuff as closely as most of you, so forgive me if this is facile, but couldn't Hillary have campaigned way harder on the rising inequality in America and the dire need to protect those programs? Would that have cost her votes? Bumper sticker #$!&@ like under 200K, tax cut, over 200K, tax increase. #200K

Feel like all I really heard from her from the past two months were those Trump soundbite commercials

Many in the regions that carried this election remember Obama's comments about "clinging to guns and religion" plus HRC's comments about coal. HRC won among those with the lowest incomes.

What this election was about, IMO, boils down to the anxiety of the white working class for what lies ahead. They're not as worried about the income aspect as they are simply about losing comfort in majority status.

Their employment options require more education & "social capital", their towns are becoming more diverse, and their kids are increasingly at risk to substance abuse (the amount of heroin-related headlines in Scranton, Harrisburg, etc. news sources is unreal). More help or government programs aren't what they want - they want to go back in time, essentially.


Damn, yeah, I appreciate your insights

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:22:27

Good stuff, psusarge
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:24:22

JUburton wrote:we're all mmqbing here (as we should to some degree) but i dont know how well the message comes from hillary clinton, or more precisely, the caricature of hillary clinton that now exists. shes a millionaire who cashed in on her politics with bill and gives secret speeches to goldman sachs. i believe she cares a lot about everyday americans but good luck convincing the people who need it most.

Yeah, it was tough. I mean she did get more votes though (woo :/).

It's over now. Third Way is dead. DEAD. It was for another time.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:25:07

Dems do need to look into these Russian ties.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby PSUsarge » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:27:29

Thanks all, happy to share insights from spending the past two years in hardcore Trump country.

I do feel for these people, though, because they are in for a big letdown, I think.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:30:36

I don't want anyone to suffer.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby Houshphandzadeh » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:33:12

pretty scary article in the NYRB reviewing Arlie Hochchild's book where she tries her damnedest to empathize with people in rural Louisiana. these people are literally dying from corporate pollution, in ways that are physically manifest like rotting teeth from fumes, and they still vote Tea Party every time

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:36:42

Apparently Bill Clinton wanted to visit white working class areas and higher ups in the campaign nixed it.

He did talk a lot about these areas when I saw him.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby Houshphandzadeh » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:38:23

pacino wrote:Apparently Bill Clinton wanted to visit white working class areas and higher ups in the campaign nixed it.

can't even wrap my head around that

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby Squire » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:39:20

This probably won't be well received but you really don't know for sure who would have won the popular vote in a system where both candidates devise their media and campaign strategy to win the electoral college. If you think that media and campaign visits matters to vote totals at all then in an election where you are just trying to win the popular vote, Trump probably spends more in NY and CA and Hillary doesn't ignore the Midwest/South.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby Youseff » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:41:18

Houshphandzadeh wrote:the campaign went all in on identity politics. most of us agree that stuff is really important but I have no clue why they just ignored the economy for the most part

they didn't even bother to say, "Look, Dem president, economy good, Republican pres, economy bad, Dem president, economy getting better again!"


if they ran someone that wasn't a war hawk they could have just beat the, hey last time you idiots elected a GOP asshole they started an illegal war that cost 3 trillion dollars and killed our troops and set the stage for ISIS. also you stupid fucks wars cost money that's why there are taxes, fuckos.
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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:41:53

Lotta elitism in the Democratic leadership. Republicans are worse but they play populist better.
Be Bold!

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby thephan » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:44:10

pacino wrote:Dems do need to look into these Russian ties.


Yes, but... there is naturally some of this in every election where countries work to engage the candidates to determine how to forward their agenda. They need to try to engage for their own stability. Perhaps the only country that can be cavalier is the US because [most] everyone needs some level of interaction with us. So not only could it be simple, it might have even been sanctioned and well understood inside of the USG making it a non-story.

All that said, transparency is warranted since it has been turned into a potential issue.
yawn

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:45:33

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My mom literally just texted me "don't wear the Hijab please" and she's the most religious person in our family. I wasn't gonna cry over this election, but to know my mom is ready to sacrifice her beliefs for me, to protect me, yeah I'm off guys, night.

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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby BoonePhillie » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:46:44

PSUsarge wrote:
JUburton wrote:the problem is that republican policies do not fix these issues and will not suddenly bring back the glory manufacturing days.

Agreed, and I honestly believe that many of the white working class agree too, which shows you how desperate that demographic truly is right now. They are willing to deceive themselves into believing that someone can stem the tide of automation and globalization and somehow return them to the 1950s.

I finished Hillbilly Elegy today, and one of the most striking points was about many in the white working class who simply refuse to look in the mirror and accept reality. It's easier to blame anyone - Obama, "the illegals", etc. vs. accepting the scary truth that the lives their grandparents and parents relied on thanks to large, stable, generous manufacturing corporations simply is not a realistic option moving forward.

I also think the anxiety comes from the brain drain within these fiercely loyal areas. I lived in a small town in NEPA for parts of last year and saw this firsthand - most in my generation who left for college did not return, many now living in greater Philadelphia. Most of those who never left are not in position to improve the town, meanwhile changing demographics are causing anxiety for those whose families have lived there for generations.

It's some scary #$!&@. I get the anxiety. And to paraphrase a previous post here, I think many voted for Trump simply because he was the only voice speaking for them, regardless of the collateral damage that a Trump presidency may cause.

Meanwhile, protestors in urban America, many of whom probably don't know a single person who voted for Trump, are shocked that Trump could somehow be president without considering how a wounded animal will react if you back it into a corner.

Just shows you how divided the U.S. is right now, and I can't blame either side because they have absolutely zero interaction with each other and no actual reason to foster interaction.


I keep meaning to buy Hillbilly Elegy but there's always some other book that takes priority. A similar book is Hollowing Out the Middle. It was written by a couple who moved to a small NE Iowa town to study the loss of population and the changing demographics of rural areas. I live in a similarly small town in central Iowa (population's a little higher) and I've seen this for the 17 years I've lived here. My county had voted democratic for president in every election since at least 1992, I believe, and this year it went for Trump. It doesn't surprise me as the people I see everyday are just like the ones talked about in Wisconsin, NEPA, Michigan etc. They're scared for their future and don't believe either party really cares about them other than in election years. They also don't like minorities.

Every year the best and brightest graduate high school and go off to college and most never come back. I have three kids in college and there's absolutely no way they'll have any interest in coming back which is fine as I've encouraged them to see what else is out there. The graduates and non-graduates who stay have trouble finding work beyond menial jobs unless their family or someone they know owns a service business. My wife is a teacher in the middle school and she sees all types of kids, those with highly educated parents, those with lowly educated parents who just show up to school because they have to and those kids from lowly educated parents who are striving to achieve and make something of themselves. Unfortunately, many of that last group of kids trying to keep their heads above water get sucked down by those who aren't striving to get better. I despise Trump but I understand those who voted for him in rural areas were pinning their hopes on him to make things better for them and their town. I just don't think it's going to work out that way.
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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby drsmooth » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:57:57

PSUsarge wrote:Their employment options require more education & "social capital"


I'm with you about 95% but adamantly disagree on this point, as I have done monotonously for years around here, to howls of derision.

Fuck "jobs". Fuck "education".

The economic future, if there is one, will not pivot on jobs. or education, unless maybe, for a limited time, by "more" education, you mean different education.

People need to not think about "the economy" as "jobs".

When tv talking heads talk about "most economic gains are going to the top 1%", they're not talking fundamentally, or most significantly, about the paychecks individuals in that cohort collect. Most of those jobs for which paychecks are cut amount to bribes that buy compliance of that cohort with the desires of capital. That's essentially the function of bankers and other "financial services professionals"; to justify, to rationalize, the appropriation of productivity's economic rewards to capital, rather than to the humans whose diminishing roles in economic activity actually have 'earned' it in any recognizable way.

Who owns that accounting product that results, almost magically, in 'surplus' - in profit? Mostly, it should be no surprise, it is those who own the ability to maintain or revise those definitions; definitions whose homes are in contracts, and laws, and regulations, and court decisions.

Hmmm. Maybe that group of individuals could be broadened a bit. To something like, y'know, "we the people". The old heads didn't call their study of the workings and implications of commerce on actual human beings and their existences the study of economics - they called it political economics. There are reasons for that. The conventions of commercial activity are conventions we make up. Among those conventions are the stakes participants 'qualify for', or are 'entitled to', or 'get out of it' - and what the terms of qualification consist of.

And the balance is tricky - the numbskulls who howl that capital will simply go where governments lick its boots more slavishly aren't totally wrong, but they are way too simplistic about how 'capital 'will react, because guess what, Mitt Romney was right, "corporations" (read: "capital manipulation devices") are people, my friend - and the terms of what a corporation is, can be, and what its stake is, etc, are stuff we make up.

And the education we need more of us to have consists increasingly of thinking about that realm of ideas in very granular terms, pragmatic terms, actionable terms, and about what we all might want, together, to do differently about them.
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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Fri Nov 11, 2016 11:58:39

Houshphandzadeh wrote:pretty scary article in the NYRB reviewing Arlie Hochchild's book where she tries her damnedest to empathize with people in rural Louisiana. these people are literally dying from corporate pollution, in ways that are physically manifest like rotting teeth from fumes, and they still vote Tea Party every time


this is the main issue that dems have to grapple with. Bannon and co pretty clearly decided that they didn't need to appeal to anyone but these rural whites and that's it and they were right. the bloomberg article that had come out a few weeks ago about the Trump data team talked about how they were confident if they could suppress the young people and minority vote just a little bit, they were going to turn out enough rural whites to win. the question for liberals/dems now is-- do we reach out to these people and try to bring them under our tent?
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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby td11 » Fri Nov 11, 2016 12:00:17

Doll Is Mine wrote:
jannatinㅤ ‏@harryonmen
My mom literally just texted me "don't wear the Hijab please" and she's the most religious person in our family. I wasn't gonna cry over this election, but to know my mom is ready to sacrifice her beliefs for me, to protect me, yeah I'm off guys, night.


literally thousands of stories like this and most of them are worse. thank you republicans.
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Re: Your New President Donald J trump Politics Thread

Postby PSUsarge » Fri Nov 11, 2016 12:01:52

Houshphandzadeh wrote:the campaign went all in on identity politics. most of us agree that stuff is really important but I have no clue why they just ignored the economy for the most part

they didn't even bother to say, "Look, Dem president, economy good, Republican pres, economy bad, Dem president, economy getting better again!"

It definitely is odd, but I honestly don't think the economy matters as much to working class white America.

I think there is a certain entitlement that was established by the Boomer and Greatest generations always being able to rely on having a career at local ABC Corporation. The combination of those jobs declining in availability and wages with the push from the boomer generation to want something different/better for their kids made those jobs unattractive to Gen X and Gen Y.

In turn, Gen X/Y knew they either needed to work hard to get to (and to pay for) college or stay around and get whatever job (not career, job) they could find until...who knows. Add that the previous two generations had little to no exposure to what the college process actually entails and the explosion of heroin and fentanyl in these areas and you have the potential for disaster.

Add that this demographic is expecting consumer prices to fall when that can't happen when stuff is "MADE IN USA" and there is a stark contradiction.

JMO, of course, but I'm not sure a good economy changes any of this, so Trump chose to manipulate it and Hillary kind of just ignored it I guess?

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