11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby drsmooth » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:32:01

I'm picturing Jerz rubbing his hands together, gleefully preparing to drop a perfectly rational and broadly acceptable alternative to current early voting practice on us all

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby The Savior » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:33:16

I'm guessing JH mostly meant that results from early voting mostly stupid. You don't get a ton of context and it's not representative of the population necessarily.

Comparing early voting surges in NV for example could be completely explainable in a way that doesn't mean Dems are in good to great shape.

I certainly don't read a ton into early voting. These are the people who have decided, likely long ago. It's the undecided folks especially this year that will drive much of the outcome.
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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby td11 » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:34:31

The Savior wrote:I'm guessing JH mostly meant that results from early voting mostly stupid. You don't get a ton of context and it's not representative of the population necessarily.

Comparing early voting surges in NV for example could be completely explainable in a way that doesn't mean Dems are in good to great shape.

I certainly don't read a ton into early voting. These are the people who have decided, likely long ago. It's the undecided folks especially this year that will drive much of the outcome.

Early voting can be predictive and has been for the last few elections
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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby CalvinBall » Sun Nov 06, 2016 10:52:30

Gore in Colorado tomorrow for HRC

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby td11 » Sun Nov 06, 2016 11:18:33

Thrilling news for republicans

@electproject
NC only state where Afr-Am decline in total 2012 number. May be due more to illegal purging, polling place locations, etc. than enthusiasm
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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Sun Nov 06, 2016 11:59:38

td11 wrote:
The Savior wrote:I'm guessing JH mostly meant that results from early voting mostly stupid. You don't get a ton of context and it's not representative of the population necessarily.

Comparing early voting surges in NV for example could be completely explainable in a way that doesn't mean Dems are in good to great shape.

I certainly don't read a ton into early voting. These are the people who have decided, likely long ago. It's the undecided folks especially this year that will drive much of the outcome.

Early voting can be predictive and has been for the last few elections


I wonder the the gap between the polls and early voting numbers in NV aren't explained by the GOTV efforts, where the Dems are going to have huge advantages.
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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby pacino » Sun Nov 06, 2016 12:06:05

td11 wrote:Thrilling news for republicans

@electproject
NC only state where Afr-Am decline in total 2012 number. May be due more to illegal purging, polling place locations, etc. than enthusiasm

That's exciting!!!
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby threecount » Sun Nov 06, 2016 13:13:58

Two new polls have Ohio as a one point race, so things may not be impossible there for Hillary, especially after a Cleveland rally today with Lebron James.

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Nov 06, 2016 13:17:54

Go Ohio! Do the right thing!

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Nov 06, 2016 13:20:11

td11 wrote:Thrilling news for republicans

@electproject
NC only state where Afr-Am decline in total 2012 number. May be due more to illegal purging, polling place locations, etc. than enthusiasm


Hopefully, they'll still come out on election day.

Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn
Last day of NC early vote was strong for Clinton, esp on black turnout:
192k
White 62.5, Black 27.9
D 41.3, R 29.6
18-29: 21.9
>65: 10.5


Nate Cohn ‏@Nate_Cohn
NC early vote, near final tallies:
3.098m
D 41.7, R 31.9
W 70.7, B 22.2
F 55.5, M 42.2
18-29: 13.1
65+ 27.6

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby CalvinBall » Sun Nov 06, 2016 13:26:17

Are those good? There isn't much context there

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Nov 06, 2016 13:29:34

CalvinBall wrote:Are those good? There isn't much context there


From what I can tell, more Dems and women than Republicans and men have voted. Yay.

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby td11 » Sun Nov 06, 2016 13:42:00

td11 wrote:Trump and his son are beating the "it was an assassination attempt" drum on twitter and elsewhere. It is the height of irresponsible... the damage they're doing to the American political process and trust of the people is insane. The Republican base is one of the most misinformed blocks of people anywhere

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby pacino » Sun Nov 06, 2016 16:20:13

New letter from Comey says nevermind about all that.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby JUburton » Sun Nov 06, 2016 16:29:49

wow, very surprising turn of events

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby pacino » Sun Nov 06, 2016 16:31:51

Sucks if we lose the senate because of that
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby pacino » Sun Nov 06, 2016 16:34:27

There's some weiiiiird ad with a fake Clinton using a hammer and a chainsaw to go at a laptop while she cackles
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby threecount » Sun Nov 06, 2016 16:38:46

Just sucks how this was affected with early voting however the last week..

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby momadance » Sun Nov 06, 2016 16:43:23

pacino wrote:There's some weiiiiird ad with a fake Clinton using a hammer and a chainsaw to go at a laptop while she cackles


Amazed someone spent money for that.

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Re: 11/8/16 Election Day Reckoning Political thread

Postby PTOITWCFTPP » Sun Nov 06, 2016 16:43:29

Unbelievable. He has to go for this
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Tom Brady bereft on the turf, it has literally been ripped from his grasp

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