Youseff wrote:Overall Kahneman believes people are prone to exaggerating the consistency and meaning of what they see. A tendency for causal thinking also leads people to sometimes see a relationship when there isn’t one.

"just as most of everything is empty space, most of everything we know is uncertain"

jerseyhoya wrote:So three PA polls out today Clinton +4, Clinton +4, Clinton +2. That is closer than it once was.

And Toomey is no longer running ahead of him by any real margin, which seems suboptimal for his chances of reelection.

Also if there's another tape of Trump bragging about sexual assault, now seems like as good of a time as any for it to become public.

jamiethekiller wrote:is that good

CNNVerified account ‏@CNN
'Vote Trump' painted on black church set ablaze in Mississippi http://cnn.it/2feGH3N

JUburton wrote:

RichmondPhilsFan wrote:

TenuredVulture wrote:

JUburton wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

JUburton wrote:Clinton only needs PA out of those states. Wait for the other PA/WI polls out today and dry your sheets

but I want the senate almost as much as the presidency. It's the only way she'll ever get to appoint a justice.

McGinty has been consistently up on Toomey, Bayh is somehow holding on, Hassan seems safe...and who the hell knows what's going to happen in Nevada. The only guarantee is with a super majority and that ain't happening so I don't know how much 50+ matters for the supreme court anyway. I'd still really like dems to get there, of course.

Either way, I think the filibuster is over when it comes to judicial nominations.

Oh yeah. A Dem majority eliminates the filibuster, no doubt.

I think I'm lost. Why is this?

Phred wrote:Can somebody please just re-assure me that he isn't going to win?

I was feeling pretty confident but as the day gets closer I am getting more and more nervous.

My wife is a wreck. She isn't sleeping well and stressed out to the point where she won't put out. If Donald wins, I fear that I am looking at 4 years of celibacy.

Gimpy wrote:How is Shady Katie winning? I heard from a bike messenger with an unstrapped helmet that she's corrupt.

Phred wrote:Can somebody please just re-assure me that he isn't going to win?

I was feeling pretty confident but as the day gets closer I am getting more and more nervous.

My wife is a wreck. She isn't sleeping well and stressed out to the point where she won't put out. If Donald wins, I fear that I am looking at 4 years of celibacy.

MULawPoll ‏@MULawPoll
On Weds and Thurs, 47% favored Clinton, 36% Trump. On Fri, Trump 48%, Clinton 40%. Sat-Mon, Clinton 46%, Trump 40%. #mulawpoll

heyeaglefn wrote:

Phred wrote:Can somebody please just re-assure me that he isn't going to win?

I was feeling pretty confident but as the day gets closer I am getting more and more nervous.

My wife is a wreck. She isn't sleeping well and stressed out to the point where she won't put out. If Donald wins, I fear that I am looking at 4 years of celibacy.

Does it have more of an impact to your wife than everyone else for some reason? Not sure I've ever heard of someone getting that worked up about an election that wasn't somehow directly impacted by it more than others.

heyeaglefn wrote:The thing that worries me the most is the Vegas odds are dropping big time on Clinton, and they usually get things right.

jerseyhoya wrote:

heyeaglefn wrote:The thing that worries me the most is the Vegas odds are dropping big time on Clinton, and they usually get things right.

A lot of dumb money on Trump

jerseyhoya wrote:

heyeaglefn wrote:The thing that worries me the most is the Vegas odds are dropping big time on Clinton, and they usually get things right.

A lot of dumb money on Trump