Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby jamiethekiller » Mon Oct 03, 2016 12:59:56

pacino wrote:Slate reached out to crew members of The Apprentice:
“There was a fat contestant who was a buffoon and a fuckup,” recalls the midlevel producer. “And he would fuck up week after week, and the producers would figure that he’d screwed up so badly that Trump would have to fire him. But Trump kept deciding to fire someone else. The producers had to scramble because of course Trump can never be seen to make a bad call on the show, so we had to re-engineer the footage to make a different contestant look bad. Later, I heard a producer talk to him, and Trump said, ‘Everybody loves a fat guy. People will watch if you have a funny fat guy around. Trust me, it’s good for ratings.’ I look at Chris Christie now and I swear that’s what’s happening.”

The AP has one about all his lewd comments, but I found the above funnier and less sad


incredible

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby Woody » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:03:20

That actually might be the most insightful thing Donald Trump has ever said

(the funny fat guy thing, not the veteran suicide thing)
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:07:57

Clinton up 49%-38% in a Monmouth Colorado poll.

Quinnipiac polls coming out this afternoon in the big four states Trump needs - FL, NC, OH, PA

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby Woody » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:16:09

Trump Foundation ordered to stop fundraising in NY
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:17:41

Woody wrote:Trump Foundation ordered to stop fundraising in NY


NY AG says no more.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics ... &tid=ss_tw

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby Youseff » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:28:44

Eric Schneiderman. Guy is legit.
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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby Eem » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:33:37

jerseyhoya wrote:Clinton up 49%-38% in a Monmouth Colorado poll.

Quinnipiac polls coming out this afternoon in the big four states Trump needs - FL, NC, OH, PA

I haven't followed on this level, but if Trump doesn't get both OH and FL, he basically has no prayer right?
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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:40:12

Eem wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Clinton up 49%-38% in a Monmouth Colorado poll.

Quinnipiac polls coming out this afternoon in the big four states Trump needs - FL, NC, OH, PA

I haven't followed on this level, but if Trump doesn't get both OH and FL, he basically has no prayer right?

Yeah. It's basically impossible to build a map for Trump that doesn't include FL AND OH. Trump's path without all four of those states is extremely narrow - would need to pick up Iowa, Nevada, the 2nd Congressional District of Maine then one more state - CO/NH/MI/VA/WI - none of which look promising for him at the moment. Not that PA looks promising, either.

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:42:04

I read somewhere that if Hillary wins VA and FL, it's over.

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby JUburton » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:51:15

Doll Is Mine wrote:I read somewhere that if Hillary wins VA and FL, it's over.
Not exactly, but it would be quite close. This isn't a perfect tool (missing MI, ME-02) but it's useful to see the different permutations.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016 ... ctionfront

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Mon Oct 03, 2016 13:58:50

saw 538 had a scenario that if Johnson somehow won New Mexico (polled there at 24% recently ) that it's plausible there could be no winner at 270

then congress gets to vote Trump in as president
Last edited by The Crimson Cyclone on Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:05:07, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby JUburton » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:02:48

270 but Silver also said that it's like a 0.15% chance in their sims. 269-269 tie is 0.5%.

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:05:56

JUburton wrote:270 but Silver also said that it's like a 0.15% chance in their sims. 269-269 tie is 0.5%.


typo on the 270, fixed it

and yes it's very unlikely, JOhnson winning New Mexico is very unlikely to begin with
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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby JUburton » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:11:29

Eem wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Clinton up 49%-38% in a Monmouth Colorado poll.

Quinnipiac polls coming out this afternoon in the big four states Trump needs - FL, NC, OH, PA

I haven't followed on this level, but if Trump doesn't get both OH and FL, he basically has no prayer right?
timely article here

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/tru ... n-florida/

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby Youseff » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:30:48

Trump should pick Kaitlyn Jenner as VP, crazy idea yes, but he would out-left the Left. Would love to see Libtards do their best to be tolerant while attacking the people they claim to be standing up for.
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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:32:21

Quinnipiac:
Four-way races which list both presidential and vice-presidential candidates, except North Carolina, where Green Party candidate Jill Stein is not on the ballot, show:
Florida: Clinton 46, Trump 41, Johnson 5
North Carolina: Clinton 46, Trump 43, Johnson 7; Clinton had 42 to Trump's 38 September 8;
Ohio: Trump 47, Clinton 42, Johnson 6, Stein 1
Pennsylvania: Clinton 45, Trump 41, Johnson 5, Stein 2; Clinton was up 44 - 39 percent September 8.

Ohio going bye-bye for Clinton and Democrats up and down the ticket. Florida has turned around and not having Stein on the ballot in NC is probably making a small difference, because it's the only one that doesn't see her lead narrow when they go from head-to-head to the full matchup:
Head-to-head matchups among likely voters show:
Florida: Clinton over Trump 49 - 44 ;
North Carolina: Clinton at 49 to Trump's 46;
Ohio: Trump at 49 to Clinton's 46;
Pennsylvania: Clinton leads Trump 48 - 43.

swing states might have less 3rd party voter interest than non-swing states. Perhaps in states where it's close people feel a need to vote for one of the two who will actually win? margin of error is about 4%.
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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby JUburton » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:41:36

fuckin ohio

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:43:01

based off the crosstabs, the difference between PA and Ohio appears to simply be that there are 5% Latinos in PA and 1% in Ohio. All the other breakdowns are pretty similar between the two states.


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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby CalvinBall » Mon Oct 03, 2016 14:43:08

wtf ohio. so many rural ass hicks there.

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Re: Donald fails the sniff test (politics)

Postby drsmooth » Mon Oct 03, 2016 15:11:15

Youseff wrote:Trump should pick Kaitlyn Jenner as VP, crazy idea yes, but he would out-left the Left. Would love to see Libtards do their best to be tolerant while attacking the people they claim to be standing up for.


selecting not one but two veeps would be an innovative power move
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