MoBettle wrote:

drsmooth wrote:

MoBettle wrote:

drsmooth wrote:

MoBettle wrote:Georgia has the most black people in the country

hmmm. NY, FL, TX have greater #s of AAs; MS is more African American %wise

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of ... population

No?

sorry, I consulted US Census figures, rather than the obviously more authoritative Wikipedia

http://www.census.gov/prod/cen2010/brie ... 0br-06.pdf

Most by black alone or in some combination. Not by black alone.

drsmooth wrote:drumpf's economics speech:

hahahahahahaHAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAhahahahahahahahaha.hahahahah. ahahahaha. hah.


ahhh, holy #$!&@ #$!&@, my ribs


do you need to be intelligent to do a deft parody of intelligence?

pacino wrote:

drsmooth wrote:drumpf's economics speech:

hahahahahahaHAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAAAAHAHAHAHAhahahahahahahahaha.hahahahah. ahahahaha. hah.


ahhh, holy #$!&@ #$!&@, my ribs


do you need to be intelligent to do a deft parody of intelligence?

he thinks 93 million people are out of work

drsmooth wrote:Oh, plus, I gotta admit, you were right at first, Mo - I was being a dick about it. A little, tiny dick

Monkeyboy wrote:

SK790 wrote:it's most likely going to swing back slightly toward trump if and when he stops saying really dumb things at an incredible rate. what's weird is that there's a better than normal chance that Hillary's lead will continue to grow or just stabilize due to Trump being a crazy person.

it's incredible there's a 13 point lead in a presidential election. We're so evenly split as a nation that even small margins can be seen as a pretty big lead.

SK790 wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

SK790 wrote:it's most likely going to swing back slightly toward trump if and when he stops saying really dumb things at an incredible rate. what's weird is that there's a better than normal chance that Hillary's lead will continue to grow or just stabilize due to Trump being a crazy person.

it's incredible there's a 13 point lead in a presidential election. We're so evenly split as a nation that even small margins can be seen as a pretty big lead.

13 by some polls. the national average is still something like 4-5%, irrc?

SK790 wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

SK790 wrote:it's most likely going to swing back slightly toward trump if and when he stops saying really dumb things at an incredible rate. what's weird is that there's a better than normal chance that Hillary's lead will continue to grow or just stabilize due to Trump being a crazy person.

it's incredible there's a 13 point lead in a presidential election. We're so evenly split as a nation that even small margins can be seen as a pretty big lead.

13 by some polls. the national average is still something like 4-5%, irrc?

Nate Silver ‏@NateSilver538
Why was Monmouth a big deal?
- Very recent
- Likely voter screen helped Clinton (unusual for a Dem)
- Highly-rated pollster
- Clinton at 50%

pacino wrote:

SK790 wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

SK790 wrote:it's most likely going to swing back slightly toward trump if and when he stops saying really dumb things at an incredible rate. what's weird is that there's a better than normal chance that Hillary's lead will continue to grow or just stabilize due to Trump being a crazy person.

it's incredible there's a 13 point lead in a presidential election. We're so evenly split as a nation that even small margins can be seen as a pretty big lead.

13 by some polls. the national average is still something like 4-5%, irrc?

up to 7

RCP Poll Average 47.5 40.5 Clinton +7.0
Favorability Ratings -10.1 -27.0 Clinton +16.9
Betting Odds 76.0 24.0

Pennsylvania 49.3 41.3 Clinton +8.0
Michigan 41.8 35.2 Clinton +6.6
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Florida 44.7 42.0 Clinton +2.7
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
North Carolina 44.0 43.5 Clinton +0.5

SK790 wrote:

pacino wrote:

SK790 wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:

SK790 wrote:it's most likely going to swing back slightly toward trump if and when he stops saying really dumb things at an incredible rate. what's weird is that there's a better than normal chance that Hillary's lead will continue to grow or just stabilize due to Trump being a crazy person.

it's incredible there's a 13 point lead in a presidential election. We're so evenly split as a nation that even small margins can be seen as a pretty big lead.

13 by some polls. the national average is still something like 4-5%, irrc?

up to 7

RCP Poll Average 47.5 40.5 Clinton +7.0
Favorability Ratings -10.1 -27.0 Clinton +16.9
Betting Odds 76.0 24.0

Pennsylvania 49.3 41.3 Clinton +8.0
Michigan 41.8 35.2 Clinton +6.6
Ohio 42.6 41.8 Clinton +0.8
Florida 44.7 42.0 Clinton +2.7
Iowa 41.3 40.8 Clinton +0.5
Wisconsin 44.3 38.7 Clinton +5.6
North Carolina 44.0 43.5 Clinton +0.5

i remembered i was going off the 538 chat from 2 days ago so the margin probably did get bigger, but 7% is pretty surprising. the next 2 weeks will tell the real story, imo.