Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby threecount » Sun Jul 10, 2016 16:50:12

Trump has scheduled an event for Indiana this week, leading to speculation he may make his VP announcement there(Mike Pence).

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby Stay_Disappointed » Sun Jul 10, 2016 16:58:16

JFLNYC wrote:
The thing about us businesspeople is that we love our customers rich and our employees poor. So for as long as there has been capitalism, capitalists have said the same thing about any effort to raise wages. We’ve had 75 years of complaints from big business—when the minimum wage was instituted, when women had to be paid equitable amounts, when child labor laws were created. Every time the capitalists said exactly the same thing in the same way: We’re all going to go bankrupt. I’ll have to close. I’ll have to lay everyone off. It hasn’t happened. In fact, the data show that when workers are better treated, business gets better. The naysayers are just wrong.


It makes perfect sense if you think about it: If a worker earns $7.25 an hour, which is now the national minimum wage, what proportion of that person’s income do you think ends up in the cash registers of local small businesses? Hardly any. That person is paying rent, ideally going out to get subsistence groceries at Safeway, and, if really lucky, has a bus pass. But she’s not going out to eat at restaurants. Not browsing for new clothes. Not buying flowers on Mother’s Day.

Is this issue more complicated than I’m making out? Of course. Are there many factors at play determining the dynamics of employment? Yup. But please, please stop insisting that if we pay low-wage workers more, unemployment will skyrocket and it will destroy the economy. It’s utter nonsense. The most insidious thing about trickle-down economics isn’t believing that if the rich get richer, it’s good for the economy. It’s believing that if the poor get richer, it’s bad for the economy.


The Pitchforks Are Coming... For Us Plutocrats


Good article. Nick Hanauer is a pretty smart dude also
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby Werthless » Sun Jul 10, 2016 23:07:09

TenuredVulture wrote:Well, it seems to me that while it's a good idea to raise the minimum wage, the question is by how much--is $15 really optimum? What if it were $12? or $18? I mean, at some point you would have to think business couldn't operate profitably.

I do think we absolutely somehow index the minimum wage to inflation.

There is a huge difference between doubling the federal minimum wage and having and state governments raising the minimum wage as appropriate for their geography and COL. Yeah, we should be indexing all long term govt policies to inflation, and minimum wage certainly falls under that.

A doubling of the fed minimum wage is bad policy. It's blunt, and the policy is simply pandering to youn Sanders voters. It would never be considered in the house, luckily, since it would hurt disproportionately hurt the district's of majority party.

I like how people opposing a doubling of the minimum wage are asked to make am argument against it. I'm impressed someone didn't link to Amazon for an econ 101 book. :) Sometimes I'm tempted to write a farcical book called The "magical multiplier effect" just so that it could be cited by eager Keynesians in these arguments.

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby SK790 » Sun Jul 10, 2016 23:43:31

so another post of "trust us, it would be bad". that's almost a half dozen now.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby SK790 » Sun Jul 10, 2016 23:50:12

http://scholarship.sha.cornell.edu/chrreports/2/

results of this study confirm previous findings, namely, that the relatively modest mandated increases in employees’ regular and tipped minimum wages in the past twenty years have not had large or reliable effects on the number of restaurant establishments or restaurant industry employment levels, although those increases have raised restaurant industry wages overall. Even when restaurants have raised prices in response to wage increases, those price increases do not appear to have decreased demand or profitability enough to sizably or reliably decrease either the number of restaurant establishments or the number of their employees. Although minimum wage increases almost certainly necessitate changes in restaurant prices or operations, those changes do not appear to dramatically affect overall demand or industry size. Furthermore, there is strong evidence that increases in the minimum wage reduce turnover, and good reason to believe that it may increase employee productivity as well.


http://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/ ... 1-is-wrong

For example, Econ 101 theory tells us that minimum wage policies should have a harmful impact on employment... That’s theory. Reality, it turns out, is very different. In the last two decades, empirical economists have looked at a large number of minimum wage hikes, and concluded that in most cases, the immediate effect on employment is very small.


Another example is welfare. Econ 101 theory tells us that welfare gives people an incentive not to work. If you subsidize leisure, simple theory says you will get more of it.

But recent empirical studies have shown that such effects are usually very small.


It's almost like the world is more complicated than Econ 101...
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby JUburton » Mon Jul 11, 2016 08:23:21

Clinton and Sanders will hold a rally together in Portsmouth, NH tomorrow. I would assume that this is the endorsement.

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby JFLNYC » Mon Jul 11, 2016 08:28:46

SK790 wrote:It's almost like the world is more complicated than Econ 101...


I don't want our economic policy to be guided by those who think a quick reference to Econ 101 suffices for analysis.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby JUburton » Mon Jul 11, 2016 08:29:52

idk, i think we can do this with a supply/demand curve and be done with it

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby JFLNYC » Mon Jul 11, 2016 08:30:07

Graham Brady, chairman of the 1922 committee of Conservative lawmakers, said that there was “no need to rerun the election,” and that Ms. May was now the only candidate to lead the party — and therefore succeed David Cameron as prime minister.


This guy has seen it all!

(I wonder if he knows what Periscope is)
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby drsmooth » Mon Jul 11, 2016 08:37:36

Werthless wrote:I like how people opposing a doubling of the minimum wage are asked to make am argument against it.


Again, fixating on the dollar figure used as the concept's marketing slogan is insipid thinking on the part of advocates as well as opponents. Please stop doing it. That will make you appear intelligent, rather than merely truculent
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby Luzinski's Gut » Mon Jul 11, 2016 08:42:48

Been on leave for the last two weeks.

If any regular guy or gal did ANYTHING like HRC did, they would be slapped with loss of clearance and probably face criminal charges for negligence.

I have similar clearances. Just had my reinvestigation last year for TS/SCI and higher.

The one thing that pisses me off are the people who try and compare this to the military. Military members are under the UCMJ, which is a much different legal code, with a lot broader charges (conduct unbecoming of an officer, for example). It's comparing apples and rocks.

To me, this is very troubling.


momadance wrote:
smitty wrote:LG's opinion in regards to this issue would be very valuable as he is up to date on this stuff.


It would be:

A) I'm too lazy
B) His clearance is probably closer to Hillary's. His SSBI is higher.
C) I'm honestly tired of dealing with the clearance shit. So are my family and neighbors.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby Werthless » Mon Jul 11, 2016 08:58:16

drsmooth wrote:
Werthless wrote:I like how people opposing a doubling of the minimum wage are asked to make am argument against it.


Again, fixating on the dollar figure used as the concept's marketing slogan is insipid thinking on the part of advocates as well as opponents. Please stop doing it. That will make you appear intelligent, rather than merely truculent

But that's why it's bad, because it's so large. It's not indexing to inflation, or other moderate changes. It's doubling it. So the linked studies that show that "the immediate effect on employment is very small" should be placed in that context. A $15/hr minimum wage would have minimal effect on restaurant employment in high COL cities, but places like Reading would make a bad situation worse.

Very interesting that the supporters of Clinton's position want me to ignore the specifics of the position.

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby pacino » Mon Jul 11, 2016 09:40:28

If we had previously indexed min wage to inflation it'd be in the 20s by now
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby drsmooth » Mon Jul 11, 2016 10:04:28

Werthless wrote:
Very interesting that the supporters of Clinton's position want me to ignore the specifics of the position.


it's not "interesting", it's frustrating that you fixate on the "slogan" of the policy proposal rather than the intent of policies that try to address floor wage levels. "The" position is NOT "the minimum wage must always and everywhere absolutely be $15 and no alternative will ever be considered anywhere" - unless YOU infer that. Policymaking is negotiation - it's about beautiful deals, praise drumpf. So deal.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby Soren » Mon Jul 11, 2016 10:11:49

think I might work from home Friday
Olivia Meadows, your "emotional poltergeist"

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby Woody » Mon Jul 11, 2016 10:12:16

If the working poor in this country start to earn more money who will I be able to look down upon as the butt of my classist jokes?
you sure do seem to have a lot of time on your hands to be on this forum? Do you have a job? Are you a shut-in?

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby JFLNYC » Mon Jul 11, 2016 10:14:13

Don't underestimate yourself.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby The Nightman Cometh » Mon Jul 11, 2016 10:20:18

TNC favorite Evan Bayh is considering a run for Senate again. Has 10 million in his campaign account still.

Better chance we flip the Senate now.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby td11 » Mon Jul 11, 2016 10:36:53

Woody wrote:If the working poor in this country start to earn more money who will I be able to look down upon as the butt of my classist jokes?


i'm sick and tired of seeing ripped poor people at gas stations
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Unread postby Werthless » Mon Jul 11, 2016 11:12:44

pacino wrote:If we had previously indexed min wage to inflation it'd be in the 20s by now

That's not correct... but it has failed to keep up with inflation in the last few decades. I agree it should be pegged to inflation.

http://money.cnn.com/interactive/econom ... ince-1938/

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