Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby Werthless » Sat Jul 09, 2016 07:46:30

SK790 wrote:it's so dumb the studies that have been done in places where $15/hr has already been put in place have shown it to be wildly successful. i'm sure you have plenty of talking points about how prices are going to rise and employment will go down(which directly contradicts the studies).

Do you believe that a doubling of the minimum wage will help jobs in rural areas?

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby JFLNYC » Sat Jul 09, 2016 08:16:10

The thing about us businesspeople is that we love our customers rich and our employees poor. So for as long as there has been capitalism, capitalists have said the same thing about any effort to raise wages. We’ve had 75 years of complaints from big business—when the minimum wage was instituted, when women had to be paid equitable amounts, when child labor laws were created. Every time the capitalists said exactly the same thing in the same way: We’re all going to go bankrupt. I’ll have to close. I’ll have to lay everyone off. It hasn’t happened. In fact, the data show that when workers are better treated, business gets better. The naysayers are just wrong.


It makes perfect sense if you think about it: If a worker earns $7.25 an hour, which is now the national minimum wage, what proportion of that person’s income do you think ends up in the cash registers of local small businesses? Hardly any. That person is paying rent, ideally going out to get subsistence groceries at Safeway, and, if really lucky, has a bus pass. But she’s not going out to eat at restaurants. Not browsing for new clothes. Not buying flowers on Mother’s Day.

Is this issue more complicated than I’m making out? Of course. Are there many factors at play determining the dynamics of employment? Yup. But please, please stop insisting that if we pay low-wage workers more, unemployment will skyrocket and it will destroy the economy. It’s utter nonsense. The most insidious thing about trickle-down economics isn’t believing that if the rich get richer, it’s good for the economy. It’s believing that if the poor get richer, it’s bad for the economy.


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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby Grotewold » Sat Jul 09, 2016 08:42:06

Yeah I never got the thing about the pizza shop owner who will go under if he pays two dollars more per hour. Might he be running on too tight a margin, then? Is he entitled to own that business forever?

And if he *were* to close, wouldn't that mean the next pizza shop over would make more profit, some of which could be passed along to workers?

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby Gimpy » Sat Jul 09, 2016 08:55:58

CalvinBall wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Dems put a $15 minimum wage in their platform. Good thing platforms don't become law because yeesh that's fucking dumb.


What's your suggestion to help people that work their assess off yet still can't get by?


Keep having taxpayers subsidize the employees' living expenses. Higher taxes are way better than higher wages, right?

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby drsmooth » Sat Jul 09, 2016 09:08:59

isn't the main point that, essentially, the policy solution offered as an alternative to diddling with the minimum wage is "here, have a cricket"?

Probably because everyone knows there are plenty of crickets to be had "in rural areas" ffs
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby JFLNYC » Sat Jul 09, 2016 09:10:40

Grotewold wrote:Yeah I never got the thing about the pizza shop owner who will go under if he pays two dollars more per hour. Might he be running on too tight a margin, then? Is he entitled to own that business forever?

And if he *were* to close, wouldn't that mean the next pizza shop over would make more profit, some of which could be passed along to workers?


If that pizza shop owner has 3 employees, that's $6 more per hour, which works out to about $15K more a year. For a small business owner, an additional $15K/year is a substantial amount of money. BUT, opponents of a higher minimum wage never bother to do the other half of the equation: If everybody's minimum wage goes up, all the other minimum wage workers can afford to buy more pizza, so revenues go up, too.

The best countervailing argument is that all that extra money in the hands of minimum wage workers will not only jumpstart the economy, but could lead to inflation. My response to that would be that, with an economy hovering dangerously close to deflation, a little bit of inflation would probably be a good thing and the chances of raising the wage for minimum wage workers causing runaway inflation are extremely small and, given the overall benefits to the economy and less people needing government assistance, it's worth the risk of some inflation.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby TenuredVulture » Sat Jul 09, 2016 09:40:27

Well, it seems to me that while it's a good idea to raise the minimum wage, the question is by how much--is $15 really optimum? What if it were $12? or $18? I mean, at some point you would have to think business couldn't operate profitably.

I do think we absolutely somehow index the minimum wage to inflation.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby drsmooth » Sat Jul 09, 2016 09:50:55

TenuredVulture wrote:Well, it seems to me that while it's a good idea to raise the minimum wage, the question is by how much--is $15 really optimum? What if it were $12? or $18? I mean, at some point you would have to think business couldn't operate profitably.

I do think we absolutely somehow index the minimum wage to inflation.


Don't get caught up in the threshold figures dodge, the tactical weeds, TV.

The issue is redistribution; some can't figure out that "free markets" redistribute, occasionally to the virtuous, more often essentially at random ('Hey, Bill Gates DESERVES to be the planet's almost richest human for cut/pasting some PC operating code! It's god's WILL!"), & that alternate methods are equally (or unequally) as "valid".

But let's have a conversation about what to do, systemically, to enable more people to live with some dignity, & not have to come hat in hand to hedge fund swindlers, who are obviously entitled, because they have expropriated so much more and not been garrotted for it yet, to MUCH more of a say in how it all happens
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby JFLNYC » Sat Jul 09, 2016 09:51:43

Ideally the minimum wage would vary by region in accordance with the cost of living in each region. I think that (plus phasing it in over time) has pretty much been HRC's position, but now she's been pulled further to the left on the issue in exchange for Bernie's endorsement. Unfortunately American politics in general and party platforms in particular don't allow for much nuance.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby drsmooth » Sat Jul 09, 2016 10:21:08

again, forget the details - leading a nation's all about making the greatest deals, dig
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby SK790 » Sat Jul 09, 2016 11:10:57

Polar Bear Phan wrote:
SK790 wrote:it's so dumb the studies that have been done in places where $15/hr has already been put in place have shown it to be wildly successful. i'm sure you have plenty of talking points about how prices are going to rise and employment will go down(which directly contradicts the studies).


Really? You have any citations for this in academic journals?

[For reference, this is in contrast to what PolitiFact found only a couple of months ago.]

From the super liberals at Goldman Sachs:

http://cepr.net/blogs/cepr-blog/2014-jo ... nimum-wage
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby SK790 » Sat Jul 09, 2016 11:13:58

Werthless wrote:
SK790 wrote:it's so dumb the studies that have been done in places where $15/hr has already been put in place have shown it to be wildly successful. i'm sure you have plenty of talking points about how prices are going to rise and employment will go down(which directly contradicts the studies).

Do you believe that a doubling of the minimum wage will help jobs in rural areas?

Do you want to build a strawman?
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby SK790 » Sat Jul 09, 2016 11:17:46

Grotewold wrote:Yeah I never got the thing about the pizza shop owner who will go under if he pays two dollars more per hour. Might he be running on too tight a margin, then? Is he entitled to own that business forever?

And if he *were* to close, wouldn't that mean the next pizza shop over would make more profit, some of which could be passed along to workers?

You can usually tell a lot about someone when they talk about the plight of the ownership class as if making more than anyone else and having the most control is some terrible burden and not what people aspire to.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby slugsrbad » Sat Jul 09, 2016 11:18:52

SK790 wrote:
Werthless wrote:
SK790 wrote:it's so dumb the studies that have been done in places where $15/hr has already been put in place have shown it to be wildly successful. i'm sure you have plenty of talking points about how prices are going to rise and employment will go down(which directly contradicts the studies).

Do you believe that a doubling of the minimum wage will help jobs in rural areas?

Do you want to build a strawman?


So now you want to talk about farm subsidies?
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Sat Jul 09, 2016 12:28:28

TenuredVulture wrote:Well, it seems to me that while it's a good idea to raise the minimum wage, the question is by how much--is $15 really optimum? What if it were $12? or $18? I mean, at some point you would have to think business couldn't operate profitably.

I do think we absolutely somehow index the minimum wage to inflation.


Businesses can run just fine with $15/hr min wage. And if you follow the Henry ford philosophy of business the more money you pay your employees the more money they have to buy your product. I'm so tired of this supply side economic theory which is fucking dumb.

Another argument is automation. First, if businesses could automate they already would have done so. The objective of all businesses In a capitalistic society is to automate as much as possible and decrease labor costs. Anyway i believe this strategy will eventually backfire in a service economy because who the fuck wants to deal with a goddamn robot. If McDonald's wants to do that good luck to them.

This whole idea of fear perpetrated by the right concerning business is a joke. You know how businesses succeed? Offer a product or service that people want or need. The rest will take care of itself. When I see someone open a shoe repair shop or a Christian book store - that's called a business that should never have opened in the first place.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby jerseyhoya » Sat Jul 09, 2016 12:29:48

SK790 wrote:
Polar Bear Phan wrote:
SK790 wrote:it's so dumb the studies that have been done in places where $15/hr has already been put in place have shown it to be wildly successful. i'm sure you have plenty of talking points about how prices are going to rise and employment will go down(which directly contradicts the studies).


Really? You have any citations for this in academic journals?

[For reference, this is in contrast to what PolitiFact found only a couple of months ago.]

From the super liberals at Goldman Sachs:

http://cepr.net/blogs/cepr-blog/2014-jo ... nimum-wage

From where I sit in Shillistan, I can't help but note this says absofuckinglutely nothing about a $15 minimum wage.

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby swishnicholson » Sat Jul 09, 2016 12:46:08

Grotewold wrote:Yeah I never got the thing about the pizza shop owner who will go under if he pays two dollars more per hour. Might he be running on too tight a margin, then? Is he entitled to own that business forever?

And if he *were* to close, wouldn't that mean the next pizza shop over would make more profit, some of which could be passed along to workers?



The math that's not often done when talking about increasing the minimum wage is that all other contributions (UI/SS/etc.) also goes up when the wage increases, and of course this is money spent with no increase in productivity. The two dollar (or three or five or seven) increase has a lot of hidden costs,and the total increase can truly burden a small business and and rapidly expand to substantial amounts for a large one. At some point this is inevitably going to result in lowered employment or hours for employees.

To my mind $15 is beyond this point. Which is not to say that we don't need some method by which the minimum wage is not set at a exploitative level, and through which it increases in some systematic way beyond dropping so far behind the COL that it becomes a crisis and people finally pay attention to it. $15 IS stupid, but not if it pulls the conversation toward some more realistic handling of the issue along with a more moderate increase.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby Bucky » Sat Jul 09, 2016 13:12:53

Warszawa wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:Well, it seems to me that while it's a good idea to raise the minimum wage, the question is by how much--is $15 really optimum? What if it were $12? or $18? I mean, at some point you would have to think business couldn't operate profitably.

I do think we absolutely somehow index the minimum wage to inflation.


Businesses can run just fine with $15/hr min wage. And if you follow the Henry ford philosophy of business the more money you pay your employees the more money they have to buy your product. I'm so tired of this supply side economic theory which is #$!&@ dumb.

Another argument is automation. First, if businesses could automate they already would have done so. The objective of all businesses In a capitalistic society is to automate as much as possible and decrease labor costs. Anyway i believe this strategy will eventually backfire in a service economy because who the #$!&@ wants to deal with a goddamn robot. If McDonald's wants to do that good luck to them.

This whole idea of fear perpetrated by the right concerning business is a joke. You know how businesses succeed? Offer a product or service that people want or need. The rest will take care of itself. When I see someone open a shoe repair shop or a Christian book store - that's called a business that should never have opened in the first place.



one of my best friends is a cobbler and he does quite quite quite well for himself

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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby TenuredVulture » Sat Jul 09, 2016 13:16:46

I will say it's an obvious problem when a teenager can make significantly more than minimum wage (and it's cash!) babysitting.
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Re: Sit-in spin: Getting dizzy with politics

Postby drsmooth » Sat Jul 09, 2016 13:18:01

Bucky wrote:
one of my best friends is a cobbler and he does quite quite quite well for himself


I'll take all the rhubarb he can bake up
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