Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:00:34

pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Salmond, clown, says Scotland has not, at this stage, decided to become independent. In the great tradition of leaders who know the right answer even if their constituents disagree, he will try to keep asking as many times as it takes until he gets the answer he wants, at which point they will never be asked again.

Can't believe they're calling a 10% win decisive, everyone knows only a 2/3 majority on an issue of this significance should be deemed decisive

or maybe they should run a series of votes, over 2 or maybe even more years

I've heard thats what serious people think

It is heartening to see that you, to the end, are wedded to the position of not understanding even a little bit

why shouldn't they vote again?

They can vote again if there's widespread appetite for it in 20 or 30 years. I would hope the rules would be set up differently if that does happen. Quebec, also brought up here, is a good example. They came within a point of voting for independence back in 1995. Today support for independence is in the mid 30s. If you ask enough times and one of the votes is held at the right time and have the bar set low enough, then you might catch a gust of wind to narrowly clear it on one occasion, which would change things permanently and irreversibly.

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:01:01

SK790 wrote:Your party tried to vote out Obamacare a million times times then literally shut down the government when they didn't get their way.

SK790 wrote:I mean, I guess everything that ever gets voted down should never be brought to a vote again. You need to accept that result and move on because the matter is decided always and forever. Sorry, the gays, looks like we'll never have nationwide marriage equality.

Your analogies are awful

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby swishnicholson » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:04:27

jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Salmond, clown, says Scotland has not, at this stage, decided to become independent. In the great tradition of leaders who know the right answer even if their constituents disagree, he will try to keep asking as many times as it takes until he gets the answer he wants, at which point they will never be asked again.

Can't believe they're calling a 10% win decisive, everyone knows only a 2/3 majority on an issue of this significance should be deemed decisive

or maybe they should run a series of votes, over 2 or maybe even more years

I've heard thats what serious people think

It is heartening to see that you, to the end, are wedded to the position of not understanding even a little bit

why shouldn't they vote again?

They can vote again if there's widespread appetite for it in 20 or 30 years. I would hope the rules would be set up differently if that does happen. Quebec, also brought up here, is a good example. They came within a point of voting for independence back in 1995. Today support for independence is in the mid 30s. If you ask enough times and one of the votes is held at the right time and have the bar set low enough, then you might catch a gust of wind to narrowly clear it on one occasion, which would change things permanently and irreversibly.


Why is a decision to tie your future to that of another nation more catclysmic than a decision to go on your own? "20 or 30 years" down the road, the consequences of this decision will be as profound as if the opposite had been decided.
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby SK790 » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:04:40

Good rebuttal.

Post works on 2 levels! Great explanation, swish!
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby CalvinBall » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:06:45

swishnicholson wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Salmond, clown, says Scotland has not, at this stage, decided to become independent. In the great tradition of leaders who know the right answer even if their constituents disagree, he will try to keep asking as many times as it takes until he gets the answer he wants, at which point they will never be asked again.

Can't believe they're calling a 10% win decisive, everyone knows only a 2/3 majority on an issue of this significance should be deemed decisive

or maybe they should run a series of votes, over 2 or maybe even more years

I've heard thats what serious people think

It is heartening to see that you, to the end, are wedded to the position of not understanding even a little bit

why shouldn't they vote again?

They can vote again if there's widespread appetite for it in 20 or 30 years. I would hope the rules would be set up differently if that does happen. Quebec, also brought up here, is a good example. They came within a point of voting for independence back in 1995. Today support for independence is in the mid 30s. If you ask enough times and one of the votes is held at the right time and have the bar set low enough, then you might catch a gust of wind to narrowly clear it on one occasion, which would change things permanently and irreversibly.


Why is a decision to tie your future to that of another nation more catclysmic than a decision to go on your own? "20 or 30 years" down the road, the consequences of this decision will be as profound as if the opposite had been decided.



leaving is an unknown. at least you have something to go on, a tad bit of history, if you stick around.

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:07:43

if they won you wanted a revote. 55-45 pro would've been too close for you to bestow upon them full sovereignty.
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby SK790 » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:08:40

Living without slaves was also an unknown at one point. I know this analogy isn't perfect, jh, it's just pointing out the massive strawman that Calvin is putting up.
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby CalvinBall » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:09:23

the massive strawman that im putting up? wtf are you even talking about?

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby CalvinBall » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:10:42

jerseyhoya wrote:
SK790 wrote:Living without slaves was also an unknown at one point. I know this analogy isn't perfect, jh, it's just pointing out the massive strawman that Calvin is putting up.


Your analogies are awful

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:11:43

votes happen all the time.

close results happen all the time.

revotes happen all the time.

if you give up, what's the point of running if you're not already in the prevailing government? i mean come on
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby SK790 » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:17:21

Stating that unknowns are unknown as a reason not to change quickly is a logical fallacy. I thought that was pretty clear.
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:17:46

swishnicholson wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Salmond, clown, says Scotland has not, at this stage, decided to become independent. In the great tradition of leaders who know the right answer even if their constituents disagree, he will try to keep asking as many times as it takes until he gets the answer he wants, at which point they will never be asked again.

Can't believe they're calling a 10% win decisive, everyone knows only a 2/3 majority on an issue of this significance should be deemed decisive

or maybe they should run a series of votes, over 2 or maybe even more years

I've heard thats what serious people think

It is heartening to see that you, to the end, are wedded to the position of not understanding even a little bit

why shouldn't they vote again?

They can vote again if there's widespread appetite for it in 20 or 30 years. I would hope the rules would be set up differently if that does happen. Quebec, also brought up here, is a good example. They came within a point of voting for independence back in 1995. Today support for independence is in the mid 30s. If you ask enough times and one of the votes is held at the right time and have the bar set low enough, then you might catch a gust of wind to narrowly clear it on one occasion, which would change things permanently and irreversibly.

Why is a decision to tie your future to that of another nation more catclysmic than a decision to go on your own? "20 or 30 years" down the road, the consequences of this decision will be as profound as if the opposite had been decided.

I'm not totally sure what you're asking. I don't think their decision to keep the status quo by remaining a part of the United Kingdom is more cataclysmic than the decision to go independent.

I don't think the consequences are as profound on both sides because if 20 years from now there's serious sentiment in Scotland for independence due to a continued divergence in public opinion from the rest of the UK, then they should be able to pursue that path. If they had voted yes and things had gone poorly, I don't think there'd have been a way to hit restart and recreate the UK.

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:21:37

SK790 wrote:Stating that unknowns are unknown as a reason not to change quickly is a logical fallacy. I thought that was pretty clear.

there are known knowns. then there are unknown knowns and unknown unknowns. keep up.
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:25:03

jerseyhoya wrote:
swishnicholson wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Salmond, clown, says Scotland has not, at this stage, decided to become independent. In the great tradition of leaders who know the right answer even if their constituents disagree, he will try to keep asking as many times as it takes until he gets the answer he wants, at which point they will never be asked again.

Can't believe they're calling a 10% win decisive, everyone knows only a 2/3 majority on an issue of this significance should be deemed decisive

or maybe they should run a series of votes, over 2 or maybe even more years

I've heard thats what serious people think

It is heartening to see that you, to the end, are wedded to the position of not understanding even a little bit

why shouldn't they vote again?

They can vote again if there's widespread appetite for it in 20 or 30 years. I would hope the rules would be set up differently if that does happen. Quebec, also brought up here, is a good example. They came within a point of voting for independence back in 1995. Today support for independence is in the mid 30s. If you ask enough times and one of the votes is held at the right time and have the bar set low enough, then you might catch a gust of wind to narrowly clear it on one occasion, which would change things permanently and irreversibly.

Why is a decision to tie your future to that of another nation more catclysmic than a decision to go on your own? "20 or 30 years" down the road, the consequences of this decision will be as profound as if the opposite had been decided.

I'm not totally sure what you're asking. I don't think their decision to keep the status quo by remaining a part of the United Kingdom is more cataclysmic than the decision to go independent.

I don't think the consequences are as profound on both sides because if 20 years from now there's serious sentiment in Scotland for independence due to a continued divergence in public opinion from the rest of the UK, then they should be able to pursue that path. If they had voted yes and things had gone poorly, I don't think there'd have been a way to hit restart and recreate the UK.

They would've had 20 extra years of rule they didn't want or agree with. 45% of the people appear to think that's pretty bad. This vote losing is no real reason another vote shouldn't happen.

I thought I was one that complained about beating votes into the ground?
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:25:43

pacino wrote:
SK790 wrote:Stating that unknowns are unknown as a reason not to change quickly is a logical fallacy. I thought that was pretty clear.

there are known knowns. then there are unknown knowns and unknown unknowns. keep up.

The key here would be the fourth piece of that puzzle, the known unknowns (currency, EU membership, NATO membership, etc.)

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby swishnicholson » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:28:39

jerseyhoya wrote:
swishnicholson wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Salmond, clown, says Scotland has not, at this stage, decided to become independent. In the great tradition of leaders who know the right answer even if their constituents disagree, he will try to keep asking as many times as it takes until he gets the answer he wants, at which point they will never be asked again.

Can't believe they're calling a 10% win decisive, everyone knows only a 2/3 majority on an issue of this significance should be deemed decisive

or maybe they should run a series of votes, over 2 or maybe even more years

I've heard thats what serious people think

It is heartening to see that you, to the end, are wedded to the position of not understanding even a little bit

why shouldn't they vote again?

They can vote again if there's widespread appetite for it in 20 or 30 years. I would hope the rules would be set up differently if that does happen. Quebec, also brought up here, is a good example. They came within a point of voting for independence back in 1995. Today support for independence is in the mid 30s. If you ask enough times and one of the votes is held at the right time and have the bar set low enough, then you might catch a gust of wind to narrowly clear it on one occasion, which would change things permanently and irreversibly.

Why is a decision to tie your future to that of another nation more catclysmic than a decision to go on your own? "20 or 30 years" down the road, the consequences of this decision will be as profound as if the opposite had been decided.

I'm not totally sure what you're asking. I don't think their decision to keep the status quo by remaining a part of the United Kingdom is more cataclysmic than the decision to go independent.

I don't think the consequences are as profound on both sides because if 20 years from now there's serious sentiment in Scotland for independence due to a continued divergence in public opinion from the rest of the UK, then they should be able to pursue that path. If they had voted yes and things had gone poorly, I don't think there'd have been a way to hit restart and recreate the UK.


I'm not asking anything, I'm pointing out what should be obvious but somehow isn't. Scotland was at a tipping point where they could have chosen one of two courses. Either one would have profound consequences, good and bad. It's not like they voted no and everyone can just roll over and go back to sleep secure in their futures. Now, I'm not smart enough or educated enough to know which choice was better for the Scottish people. However, if you think there's no chance in the world that if they had voted "yes" they might decide down the road that really "no" would have been a better idea and to rejoin the UK, then maybe you should rethink your support for the no position. Clearly, if in the future there would have been such support for independence that there's no way they would consider going back to the way things were, then yes would have been the right decision to make.
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby SK790 » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:30:45

jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
SK790 wrote:Stating that unknowns are unknown as a reason not to change quickly is a logical fallacy. I thought that was pretty clear.

there are known knowns. then there are unknown knowns and unknown unknowns. keep up.

The key here would be the fourth piece of that puzzle, the known unknowns (currency, EU membership, NATO membership, etc.)

That could all change, the world is fluid, that's all I'm saying. The people of Scotland don't want independence right now. Who knows next election cycle?
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby jerseyhoya » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:40:39

swishnicholson wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
swishnicholson wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Salmond, clown, says Scotland has not, at this stage, decided to become independent. In the great tradition of leaders who know the right answer even if their constituents disagree, he will try to keep asking as many times as it takes until he gets the answer he wants, at which point they will never be asked again.

Can't believe they're calling a 10% win decisive, everyone knows only a 2/3 majority on an issue of this significance should be deemed decisive

or maybe they should run a series of votes, over 2 or maybe even more years

I've heard thats what serious people think

It is heartening to see that you, to the end, are wedded to the position of not understanding even a little bit

why shouldn't they vote again?

They can vote again if there's widespread appetite for it in 20 or 30 years. I would hope the rules would be set up differently if that does happen. Quebec, also brought up here, is a good example. They came within a point of voting for independence back in 1995. Today support for independence is in the mid 30s. If you ask enough times and one of the votes is held at the right time and have the bar set low enough, then you might catch a gust of wind to narrowly clear it on one occasion, which would change things permanently and irreversibly.

Why is a decision to tie your future to that of another nation more catclysmic than a decision to go on your own? "20 or 30 years" down the road, the consequences of this decision will be as profound as if the opposite had been decided.

I'm not totally sure what you're asking. I don't think their decision to keep the status quo by remaining a part of the United Kingdom is more cataclysmic than the decision to go independent.

I don't think the consequences are as profound on both sides because if 20 years from now there's serious sentiment in Scotland for independence due to a continued divergence in public opinion from the rest of the UK, then they should be able to pursue that path. If they had voted yes and things had gone poorly, I don't think there'd have been a way to hit restart and recreate the UK.


I'm not asking anything, I'm pointing out what should be obvious but somehow isn't. Scotland was at a tipping point where they could have chosen one of two courses. Either one would have profound consequences, good and bad. It's not like they voted no and everyone can just roll over and go back to sleep secure in their futures. Now, I'm not smart enough or educated enough to know which choice was better for the Scottish people. However, if you think there's no chance in the world that if they had voted "yes" they might decide down the road that really "no" would have been a better idea and to rejoin the UK, then maybe you should rethink your support for the no position. Clearly, if in the future there would have been such support for independence that there's no way they would consider going back to the way things were, then yes would have been the right decision to make.

I don't think there's no chance a "yes" majority would decide down the road that "no" would have been better, just that there'd be nothing they could do about it to fix the mistake. I'm operating under the assumption that the remaining UK wouldn't be eager to welcome Scotland back into the fold, not that Scotland wouldn't ever regret the decision enough to wish they were still part of the UK. If things went sufficiently badly that the Scots wanted back in, I'd expect the response to be that the Scots got what they wanted and England has no desire to clean up their mess. Maybe that's wrong, but it was the sense I got from following the debate.

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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby pacino » Fri Sep 19, 2014 14:44:16

I don't think there's no chance a "yes" majority would decide down the road that "no" would have been better, just that there'd be nothing they could do about it to fix the mistake

Not picking on you jh, but i think grammar buffs would be killing all of us right now with how we are wording these sentences.

:shock:
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Re: Midterms, Middle East & Middle America - Politics Thread

Postby TenuredVulture » Fri Sep 19, 2014 15:00:57

The thing is, the Scots very well may have gotten exactly what they wanted--further devolution that will stop short of full independence. If I'm not mistaken, the Scots themselves proposed that as an option on the ballot, and Cameron refused, believing the conventional wisdom that such an option would be the most likely winner. Cameron insisted on a simple yes/no vote. The Scots called his bluff. In the closing weeks of the election, when Yes seemed poised to to win a surprising victory, Cameron essentially caved with "The Vow". Many people have suggested that uncertainty about the currency and other issues drove people into the no camp at the very end, but I suspect The Vow had a lot to do with how things worked out.

And here's the thing--if the Vow does in fact unravel or disappoint, and the SNP types figure out the currency issues and perhaps even work out some details regarding a Scottish constitution, and if Tories continue to hold Parliament, it's not too tough to see an independence vote going the other way.
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