We're doing it, POLITICS style

Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby traderdave » Mon Oct 15, 2012 10:51:54

jerseyhoya wrote:It means 9% more respondents are self identifying Democrats than Republicans (34-25-36). Three possible explanations are Democrats are going to turn out in much higher numbers than Republicans, more members of both parties (but disproportionately Republicans) are now identifying as independents rather than members of parties (that 36% number his pretty high), or it's a #$!&@ sample. The first two explanations aren't impossible, but it's not what the other polls are finding.

In 2004 the partisan breakdown was even, in 2008 Dems were +7. So it's happened before. It's just this doesn't much feel like 2008.


Yeah, I think I heard Steve Schmidt late last week explaining that at about this point in the cycle the various pollster start weighting the results to account for expected turnout. Also, in response to a post maybe four pages ago (Werthless, perhaps) I am voting Obama but state without hesitation that the Administration royally fucked up in Libya.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby philliesphhan » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:18:28

dajafi wrote:I read over the weekend that Ron Paul refused to endorse Romney. Was a bit surprised as they were all bromantic during the primaries.

I'd still love to see Johnson, the Green Party woman, and some Christianist freak in one of the debates. Never gonna happen, I suppose.


Jill Stein?
"My hip is fucked up. I'm going to Africa for two weeks."

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby td11 » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:19:17

i've discussed this before, but look at politifact's factcheckof the feldstein study that Romney and co have been citing:

Meanwhile, Feldstein, a Romney adviser, used 2009 data from the IRS to demonstrate that Romney can meet all his goals and not increase taxes on the middle class.

"Mitt Romney's plan to cut taxes and offset the resulting revenue loss by limiting tax breaks has been attacked as ‘mathematically impossible,’" Feldstein wrote. Romney’s plan, "say critics, would require a large tax increase on the middle-class to avoid raising the deficit. Careful analysis shows this is not the case."

In an interview with PolitiFact, Feldstein noted that his analysis didn’t separate out data for earners between $100,000 and $200,000. That means the Obama campaign is incorrect to say Feldstein argues that "large tax increases on families making between $100,000 and $200,000" would be needed. Feldstein’s data doesn’t address that income range.

"I did the analysis treating the middle-class families as those below the top 20 percent -- those below $100,000," Feldstein said. "I didn't calculate the average tax increase for those in the $100,000 to $200,000. So I cannot say that (the Obama campaign is) right or wrong about the $100,000 to $200,000 families. But I think it is fair to say that those with incomes in the top 20 percent of the distribution are relatively affluent and should not be counted as the middle class."



so in his analysis, he only counts under $100,000 as "middle class," then says taxes won't go up on the middle class. then romney touts that study but himself defines middle class as incomes up to 250K. how come they are not on the same page on this? and when feldstein is called on it his defense is simply, "well i defined middle class as under 100K so who know what would happen to people making 100-200K"

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby JFLNYC » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:23:23

RCP now has the popular vote tied, no doubt due in part to that ABC News/Washington Post poll.
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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Bucky » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:23:32

c'mon, just elect them and then we'll all find out

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:39:15

td11 wrote:i've discussed this before, but look at politifact's factcheckof the feldstein study that Romney and co have been citing:

Meanwhile, Feldstein, a Romney adviser, used 2009 data from the IRS to demonstrate that Romney can meet all his goals and not increase taxes on the middle class.

"Mitt Romney's plan to cut taxes and offset the resulting revenue loss by limiting tax breaks has been attacked as ‘mathematically impossible,’" Feldstein wrote. Romney’s plan, "say critics, would require a large tax increase on the middle-class to avoid raising the deficit. Careful analysis shows this is not the case."

In an interview with PolitiFact, Feldstein noted that his analysis didn’t separate out data for earners between $100,000 and $200,000. That means the Obama campaign is incorrect to say Feldstein argues that "large tax increases on families making between $100,000 and $200,000" would be needed. Feldstein’s data doesn’t address that income range.

"I did the analysis treating the middle-class families as those below the top 20 percent -- those below $100,000," Feldstein said. "I didn't calculate the average tax increase for those in the $100,000 to $200,000. So I cannot say that (the Obama campaign is) right or wrong about the $100,000 to $200,000 families. But I think it is fair to say that those with incomes in the top 20 percent of the distribution are relatively affluent and should not be counted as the middle class."



so in his analysis, he only counts under $100,000 as "middle class," then says taxes won't go up on the middle class. then romney touts that study but himself defines middle class as incomes up to 250K. how come they are not on the same page on this? and when feldstein is called on it his defense is simply, "well i defined middle class as under 100K so who know what would happen to people making 100-200K"

dicks

My wife and I fall into that category and we're far from affluent. Two sets of law school loans, day care bills... yeah, there goes 20% of my monthly net income right off the top. Can't wait to see what President Romney thinks I can afford to pay in tax increases while his buddies earn salaries via capital gains.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby JUburton » Mon Oct 15, 2012 12:43:40

Sent my ballot out today since I won't be in town on election day. Ye democracy.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby traderdave » Mon Oct 15, 2012 15:28:13

My differential diagnosis of Dr. Keith Ablow is that he is a freakin' moron:

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/10/1 ... 67272.html


I wonder what the good doctor's conclusion would be for somebody who lies constantly and cannot keep a position on an issue for longer than 10 minutes? Of course, what should we expect from a guy who once suggested that serial cheater Newt Gingrich would make a great president BECAUSE of the cheating. Fair and balanced indeed.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby JFLNYC » Mon Oct 15, 2012 17:29:20

So if the doctor's daughter married Odd Job, would their kids' last name be Ablow-Job?
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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby smitty » Mon Oct 15, 2012 17:41:11

I don't know you could ax Steve Jobs but I think he daid.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Bucky » Mon Oct 15, 2012 18:27:14

FSA MAX CONTRIBUTION LOWERED TO $2500 (FROM $5,000) FOR 2013

TAX HIKE!!

THANKS OBAMACARE

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Roger Dorn » Mon Oct 15, 2012 19:21:24

Love the tough talk from Mitt regarding foreign policy. If he gets elected and tries to esclate tension with Iran, would he be willing to send his own sons to go fight overseas if the result of his policy causes military confrontation?

Or would he be more likely to give a speech saying how hard of a decision it was to send someone elses kids overseas..and its keeping him up at night but they are not dying in vain so its all good!

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Soren » Mon Oct 15, 2012 19:25:38

Roger Dorn wrote:would he be willing to send his own sons to go fight overseas if the result of his policy causes military confrontation?

Olivia Meadows, your "emotional poltergeist"

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby td11 » Mon Oct 15, 2012 20:20:53

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Werthless » Mon Oct 15, 2012 20:54:20

The Nightman Cometh wrote:Romney did much better than I thought he would last debate, but I can't imagine that strategy being very effective.

That is if course unless Obama's balls are still tucked safely away in Michelle's purse like the last debate. Romney can call him Carter and Obama can just smile and nod politely.

It's funny, I dont think Obama got killed in the first debate. I think he lost, and it was surprising, and so it felt like he got slaughtered. Maddow is an example of person whose perception maybe changed over time.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Polar Bear Phan » Mon Oct 15, 2012 21:12:18

Just an FYI, but George McGovern is near death (i.e. in a hospice).

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Youseff » Mon Oct 15, 2012 21:50:43

The head of a northeast Ohio charity says that the Romney campaign last week “ramrodded their way” into the group’s Youngstown soup kitchen so that GOP vice presidential candidate Paul Ryan could get his picture taken washing dishes in the dining hall.

Brian J. Antal, president of the Mahoning County St. Vincent De Paul Society, said that he was not contacted by the Romney campaign ahead of the Saturday morning visit by Ryan, who stopped by the soup kitchen after a town hall at Youngstown State University.

“We’re a faith-based organization; we are apolitical because the majority of our funding is from private donations,” Antal said in a phone interview Monday afternoon. “It’s strictly in our bylaws not to do it. They showed up there, and they did not have permission. They got one of the volunteers to open up the doors.”

He added: “The photo-op they did wasn’t even accurate. He did nothing. He just came in here to get his picture taken at the dining hall.”

Ryan had stopped by the soup kitchen for about 15 minutes on his way to the airport after his Saturday morning town hall in Youngstown. By the time he arrived, the food had already been served, the patrons had left, and the hall had been cleaned.

Upon entering the soup kitchen, Ryan, his wife and three young children greeted and thanked several volunteers, then donned white aprons and offered to clean some dishes. Photographers snapped photos and TV cameras shot footage of Ryan and his family washing pots and pans that did not appear to be dirty.


What a fraud. :lol:
This is what a real tenderoni likes to do for you

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 15, 2012 21:52:31

yikes
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby Doll Is Mine » Tue Oct 16, 2012 01:24:23

:lol:

They showed footage tonight on MSNBC. That kitchen and those pots/pans were spotless.

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Re: We're doing it, POLITICS style

Postby smitty » Tue Oct 16, 2012 01:35:04

Washing clean pots and pans demonstrates what a fine Vice President he will be he's got my vote.

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