Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby Phan In Phlorida » Fri Aug 12, 2011 15:36:06

No great society/civilization/empire lasts forever. They rise, peak, plateau for a bit, then eventually fall. History is marked with such patterns of growth and decline. Sometimes the decline is gradual, other times rapid. Whether rapid or gradual, all great societies/civilizations/empires eventually fall.

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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby 5th Round Pick » Sat Aug 13, 2011 11:46:45

Phan In Phlorida wrote:No great society/civilization/empire lasts forever. They rise, peak, plateau for a bit, then eventually fall. History is marked with such patterns of growth and decline. Sometimes the decline is gradual, other times rapid. Whether rapid or gradual, all great societies/civilizations/empires eventually fall.

That's pretty depressing. I've thought about this many times.

Obviously the US is the great empire. I think we are past the rise. We may be past the peak. Are we plateaud? Or are we in the beginning stages of a fall?

I probably won't see the complete decline of the US in my lifetime, but what about my kids?
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby dajafi » Sat Aug 13, 2011 12:28:34

Phan In Phlorida wrote:No great society/civilization/empire lasts forever. They rise, peak, plateau for a bit, then eventually fall. History is marked with such patterns of growth and decline. Sometimes the decline is gradual, other times rapid. Whether rapid or gradual, all great societies/civilizations/empires eventually fall.


A few things about this--from, I should note, a fairly committed "declinist."

The decline of the U.S. has been diagnosed since literally the 1790s. We always oversell the past and undersell the present. Grim as things look right now, (even) I have trouble believing we're really in worse shape, objectively speaking, than was true in 1862, or 1931. The problems we have are so clearly fixable.

But what's cause for despair is that we, or at least our elected officials, disagree so profoundly about the causes of those problems that we're unable to address them. And our political system, the vehicle for common action, has mutated in such ways that the disagreements just keep getting deeper. Right now, just about every incentive in terms of career advancement is toward greater intransigence.

I think allentown's diagnosis is pretty much dead on: the combination of our own built-in advantages in terms of resources, our solid industrial relationships and governance structures, policies that continued to grow our human capital more rapidly than anyone else's, and the historical fluke that the rest of the world was basically leveled gave us an enormous competitive advantage in the quarter-century after WWII. As the rest of the world started to catch up, we used some tricks to sustain things... and then we started to forget that they were tricks. The end-stage of magical thinking is when you totally lose sight of the fact that magical thinking is what you're indulging in. Cargo cultists don't recognize what they're doing--so you have eight Republican presidential aspirants all promising not to accept a country-saving debt deal that has one dollar of tax increases, presumably targeted where they'd do close to zero economic harm, for ten in spending cuts!

How we fix it, realistically, I have no idea. Certainly I think the role of money in politics and the fact that large swaths of the public are consistently misinformed are huge problems. That elections are structured to be less rather than more competitive--that in many if not most congressional districts the candidate farther in terms of ideology from the median national voter gets elected--is a huge problem.

A lot of it is cultural too. Daniel Patrick Moynihan had a great quote about the relationship of politics to culture: "The central conservative truth is that it is culture, not politics, that determines the success of a society. The central liberal truth is that politics can change a culture and save it from itself." He felt that the interaction of these "truths" worked to strengthen American society and move us closer toward our founding ideals. I wonder if he'd still feel that way. What I see is a profoundly selfish culture that has stained our politics, which in turn reinforce the trend toward self-glorification.

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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby 5th Round Pick » Sat Aug 13, 2011 22:28:34

Image
"I will not sit back and accept the path that America is on. Because a great country requires a better direction. Because a renewed nation needs a new president." -Future President Perry
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Sat Aug 13, 2011 23:37:52

Texas' unemployment rate (8.2%) is below the July national rate of of 9.1%. But I would think that since that the state of Texas lets business do whatever the hell it wants the unemployment rate there would be zero. When guys like Perry and other GOPers talk about opening America for business I fear it will be at the expense of the working class. IMO many of the rules and regulations that "hinder" the ability of business to make a profit are there to protect the ordinary worker from abuse. Does anyone want 5% unemployment if everyone employed is fucking miserable?
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby pacino » Sat Aug 13, 2011 23:41:55

texas' budget and employment numbers are perpetrating a fraud upon the american public
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby Phan In Phlorida » Sun Aug 14, 2011 04:07:41

5th Round Pick wrote:Image


Image

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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby TenuredVulture » Sun Aug 14, 2011 09:42:26

So a bunch of people of questionable mental health decided that Pawlenty was their third choice, and he though that was reason enough to drop out of the Presidential race.
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby kopphanatic » Sun Aug 14, 2011 09:53:57

Texas' economic growth and employment numbers hide that many of the newly employed in that state are working minimum wage jobs. Unfortunately, I fear that many people are going to buy Perry's "economic credentials" without looking deeper. He's a very dangerous individual, all the craziness of Bachmann and ruthlessness of Rove disguised in an appealing package.

I really fear for the country if this guy gets nominated. We're dumb enough to vote for an amoral Texas governor again.
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby pacino » Sun Aug 14, 2011 09:55:21

TenuredVulture wrote:So a bunch of people of questionable mental health decided that Pawlenty was their third choice, and he though that was reason enough to drop out of the Presidential race.

i read a comment on another thread from a pawlenty supporter who was saying that straw poll meant nothing because it's just a 'popularity contest'.

uhm, yeah?
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby jerseyhoya » Sun Aug 14, 2011 12:24:02

Missin u tpaw

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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby pacino » Sun Aug 14, 2011 18:51:56

Michelle Bachman said she doesn't judge gays. She just calls them part of Satan and tries to convert them.

People sure picked the right Minneosta Republican.
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby Wizlah » Sun Aug 14, 2011 19:41:16

I have come to the conclusion that I'm angrier now with the state of the world in general and more consistently left-leaning in my politics than I ever was when I was 20. Kids did it to me.

I'm having trouble reading the paper right now, or listening to people talk shite, all the time. coincidentally, was up at the book festival today, when a writer called hari kunzru walked by, looking much like I feel. but then, he did write this a couple of days ago:

Soon enough the gutted buildings will be demolished and the 24-hour courts will wind down, and we will try to pretend we didn't let our hoods slip, revealing how frightened of each other we are. Once, a powerful woman told us there was no such thing as society and set about engineering our country to fit her theory. Well, she got her way. This is where we live now, and if we don't like it, we ought to make a change.


I wish ill on very few people, but firmly believe the world would have been a better place if Thatcher hadn't been quite so lucky in the brighton hotel bombing. She and her warped little piece of political progeny in the labour party have done the UK little good and made it an uglier, more squalid place.
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby Wizlah » Sun Aug 14, 2011 19:49:25

Did I mention the bit where everyone goes on about the riots like it's something which has never happened before, instead of remembering that in a part of the UK, it happens ONCE A FUCKING YEAR, EVERY FUCKING YEAR FOR THE BEST PART OF A FUCKING MONTH?

Sometimes they even do it out of season. Fuck's sake. In other news, Charlie Brooker. He used to write about computer games. then telly. Now just, stuff. He's good at being angry, Charlie:

If preventing further looting is our aim, then as well as addressing the gulf between the haves and the have-nots, I'd take a long hard look at MTV Cribs and similar TV shows that routinely confuse human achievement with the mindless acquisition of gaudy bling bullshit. The media heaves with propaganda promoting sensation and consumption above all else.

Back in the 80s the pioneering aspirational soap opera Dallas dangled an unattainable billionaire lifestyle in front of millions, but at least had the nous to make the Ewing family miserable and consumed with self-loathing. At the same time, shows aimed at kids were full of presenters cheerfully making puppets out of old yoghurt pots, while shows aimed at teens largely depicted cheeky urchins copping off with each other in the dole queue. Today, whenever my world-weary eyes alight on a "youth show" it merely resembles a glossily edited advert for celebrity lifestyles, co-starring a jet-ski and a tower of gold. And regardless of the time slot, every other commercial shrieks that I deserve the best of everything. I and I alone. I'd gladly introduce a law requiring broadcasters to show five minutes of footage of a rich man dying alone for every 10 minutes of fevered avarice. It'd be worth it just to see them introduce it on T4.

If we were to delete all aspirational programming altogether, the schedules might feel a bit empty, so I'd fill the void with footage of a well-stocked Foot Locker window, thereby tricking any idiots tuning in on a recently looted television into smashing the screen in an attempt to grab the coveted trainers within.
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby philliesphhan » Sun Aug 14, 2011 21:52:41

dajafi wrote:
Phan In Phlorida wrote:No great society/civilization/empire lasts forever. They rise, peak, plateau for a bit, then eventually fall. History is marked with such patterns of growth and decline. Sometimes the decline is gradual, other times rapid. Whether rapid or gradual, all great societies/civilizations/empires eventually fall.


A few things about this--from, I should note, a fairly committed "declinist."

The decline of the U.S. has been diagnosed since literally the 1790s. We always oversell the past and undersell the present. Grim as things look right now, (even) I have trouble believing we're really in worse shape, objectively speaking, than was true in 1862, or 1931. The problems we have are so clearly fixable.


But what's cause for despair is that we, or at least our elected officials, disagree so profoundly about the causes of those problems that we're unable to address them. And our political system, the vehicle for common action, has mutated in such ways that the disagreements just keep getting deeper. Right now, just about every incentive in terms of career advancement is toward greater intransigence.

I think allentown's diagnosis is pretty much dead on: the combination of our own built-in advantages in terms of resources, our solid industrial relationships and governance structures, policies that continued to grow our human capital more rapidly than anyone else's, and the historical fluke that the rest of the world was basically leveled gave us an enormous competitive advantage in the quarter-century after WWII. As the rest of the world started to catch up, we used some tricks to sustain things... and then we started to forget that they were tricks. The end-stage of magical thinking is when you totally lose sight of the fact that magical thinking is what you're indulging in. Cargo cultists don't recognize what they're doing--so you have eight Republican presidential aspirants all promising not to accept a country-saving debt deal that has one dollar of tax increases, presumably targeted where they'd do close to zero economic harm, for ten in spending cuts!

How we fix it, realistically, I have no idea. Certainly I think the role of money in politics and the fact that large swaths of the public are consistently misinformed are huge problems. That elections are structured to be less rather than more competitive--that in many if not most congressional districts the candidate farther in terms of ideology from the median national voter gets elected--is a huge problem.

A lot of it is cultural too. Daniel Patrick Moynihan had a great quote about the relationship of politics to culture: "The central conservative truth is that it is culture, not politics, that determines the success of a society. The central liberal truth is that politics can change a culture and save it from itself." He felt that the interaction of these "truths" worked to strengthen American society and move us closer toward our founding ideals. I wonder if he'd still feel that way. What I see is a profoundly selfish culture that has stained our politics, which in turn reinforce the trend toward self-glorification.


That's why it's nice to have relatives still alive who were around for the Great Depression. I have a few and my one great aunt even said recently "I can't imagine anything worse than that. Nobody had anything. It was just terrible."
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby Trent Steele » Sun Aug 14, 2011 22:55:38

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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Aug 15, 2011 02:06:19

pacino wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:So a bunch of people of questionable mental health decided that Pawlenty was their third choice, and he though that was reason enough to drop out of the Presidential race.

i read a comment on another thread from a pawlenty supporter who was saying that straw poll meant nothing because it's just a 'popularity contest'.

uhm, yeah?

It doesn't mean anything for delegate selection, and it has no real predictive value

But when your campaign is broke and has spent what it has trying to win it or at least make a splash in order to change the narrative of being a dead campaign marching, you need a good result to get money coming in again

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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby kopphanatic » Mon Aug 15, 2011 06:24:47

Well if Pawlenty quit because he realized he had no chance, why haven't Santorum and Gingrich done the same? They have to know the jig is up by now.
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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Aug 15, 2011 10:47:48

Because Pawlenty would probably very much like to be a VP choice of Romney or Perry. Or a cabinet secretary if VP isn't happening. Going deeper into debt and continuing to attack the frontrunners would have made those prospects less likely. Gingrich and Santorum have nothing better to do than keep running and no upside to quitting.

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Re: Politics: The Arse of the Unpossible

Postby jerseyhoya » Mon Aug 15, 2011 22:36:48

Perry talking smack on Bernanke

I might end up giving money to a dude worth $200 million just to make myself feel better.

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