It's Pronounced BAY-ner (Politics Thread)

by **Harpua** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 15:04:10

Hilarious. And people say the Right lacks a funny bone.

by **pacino** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 17:27:28

if i were rand paul and pat toomey i'd be pretty worried right about now. i can't believe toomey would blow this thing. the registration difference may simply be too great now that democrats appear to be waking up to the fact that there's an election coming.

too bad that won't translate to the governor, though onarato was probably the worst choice we democrats could've made. did you know you say it ONORATO?!!?!?!

anyone know who is going to place rahm emanuel when he steps down? this could be a great change for the administration if they pick someone who isn't all bark and no bite like rahm. maybe sweet, slick eddie? howard dean? someone else awesome who knows the game but still has actual policy goals?

by **jerseyhoya** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 17:32:10

I guess Rand Paul should be scared that the DSCC cancelling their ad buy there this afternoon for next week because they see the race as being potentially out of reach is a rope-a-dope strategy.

The DSCC has canceled some ad reservations in Kentucky, a likely sign that the Democratic committee is re-evaluating whether it is worth spending money there this year.

A Republican source who monitors ad buys told Hotline On Call that the DSCC has canceled reservations there for next week. The DSCC had reserved about $292K worth of air time during that time span.

The move may indicate that Democrats view the race between AG Jack Conway (D) and ophthalmologist Rand Paul (R) as moving outside their grasp.

It is worth noting, however, the Democrats reserved $1.6M in Kentucky and have yet to go on the air there. Therefore, the DSCC is not completely pulling out of the state. They could still use their later reservations to air ads.

The DSCC declined to comment on its ad buy strategy.

by **pacino** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 17:38:55

reading 538's projections, i cant believe angle is still ahead.

by **The Nightman Cometh** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 17:41:42

I haven't slept in 2 days so I might be a little out of it, but I don't see why Toomey would be afraid.

He's a 10 to 1 favorite at this point.

by **pacino** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 17:48:56

Specter wasn't scared, either. Polls are closing in.

I was wrong about Paul, dont' know what I was reading.

by **jerseyhoya** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 18:03:15

Now the DSCC said they're buying back the week. Haha. Dunno whether it's because they don't want to look like they're bailing or they actually think they have a good shot at winning.

by **pacino** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 18:06:04

they are requesting money based on a tied poll between Conway and Paul

by **drsmooth** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 18:13:34

It appears Paladino and his entourage is as peculiar as everyone says

by **pacino** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 18:14:34

so weird he would go after the post. if there's any paper he should try to be friendly with in nyc, it'd be them. no one is going to endorse this guy. he's just an 'eccentric' rich guy who if he were poor would be that angry guy on the bus yelling about this and that

by **jerseyhoya** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 18:18:38

pacino wrote:they are requesting money based on a tied poll between Conway and Paul

Two polls came out today. Paul was up 2 in one, 11 in the other. He's still in good shape.

by **jerseyhoya** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 18:56:57

There's a nonzero chance that the only Democrat who wins a Senate race in a state the doesn't border the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean on November 2nd is Patrick Leahy.

Obviously they have chances in Nevada, Illinois, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Kentucky, Missouri, Pennsylvania and Colorado as well, but are only favored in WV of those at the moment.

by **drsmooth** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 19:04:20

jerseyhoya wrote:There's a nonzero chance that the only Democrat who wins a Senate race in a state the doesn't border the Atlantic or Pacific Ocean on November 2nd is Patrick Leahy.

Obviously they have chances in Nevada, Illinois, Wisconsin, West Virginia, Kentucky, Missouri, Pennsylvania and Colorado as well, but are only favored in WV of those at the moment.

It may not be relevant, but I'm not sure Connecticut is technically bordered by the Atlantic.

It'll surprise the heck out of me if Linda "Grappler Girl" McMahon wins here, Jerz. She's like Paladino, but with more money and (probably) a better sleeper hold

by **jerseyhoya** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 19:07:31

How is something like that determined, where the sound stops and ocean begins? I guess I should say Eastern seaboard.

by **drsmooth** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 20:09:28

jerseyhoya wrote:How is something like that determined, where the sound stops and ocean begins? I guess I should say Eastern seaboard.

Maybe this is why terms like "Eastern seaboard" actually came about. I'm told maritime law - "the law of the sea" - is a particularly interesting branch of jurisprudence. I'd guess there are whole bookshelves of nitpicking on just this specific topic.

but back to your sorta kinda confusingly worded assertion: what polls are showing Blumenthal not still leading the CT Senate race as of yesterday?

by **lethal** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 20:23:27

So is Meg Whitman's campaign dead now? Or still ticking?

by **jerseyhoya** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 23:05:27

drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:How is something like that determined, where the sound stops and ocean begins? I guess I should say Eastern seaboard.

Maybe this is why terms like "Eastern seaboard" actually came about. I'm told maritime law - "the law of the sea" - is a particularly interesting branch of jurisprudence. I'd guess there are whole bookshelves of nitpicking on just this specific topic.

but back to your sorta kinda confusingly worded assertion: what polls are showing Blumenthal not still leading the CT Senate race as of yesterday?

He is still leading. I assume he will win. I was saying that touching the Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, Long Island Sound or being Patrick Leahy may end up encompassing all elected Dem senators.

by **jerseyhoya** » Thu Sep 30, 2010 23:09:38

lethal wrote:So is Meg Whitman's campaign dead now? Or still ticking?

I don't think this is something that causes lasting damage.

by **dajafi** » Fri Oct 01, 2010 11:25:30

This isn't gonna end well for Rick Sanchez

by **Harpua** » Fri Oct 01, 2010 11:41:42

To be fair, it never really started or carried on well for the Rickster.

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It's Pronounced BAY-ner (Politics Thread)