Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby WheelsFellOff » Wed Nov 05, 2014 13:51:28

Duh. Could be good in the middle though and that's all that matters.
So far the Eagles have been unable willing to at least make a good will jester - Garry Cobb, Professional Sportswriter

jerseyhoya wrote:My hatred of quote boxes in signatures has reached a new high

WheelsFellOff
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 27290
Joined: Thu Mar 25, 2010 13:43:13
Location: Bologna

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Wed Nov 05, 2014 13:56:50

This really is like the biggest no brainer of all time. So if he doesn't end up here, it's gonna be really depressing

Grotewold
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 51642
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 09:40:10

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby RichmondPhilsFan » Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:08:47

Wheels Tupay wrote:Getting that feeling that this can only end in complete disaster.

Go big or go home, amirite?

RichmondPhilsFan
Dropped Anchor
Dropped Anchor
 
Posts: 9738
Joined: Mon Aug 10, 2009 10:49:07
Location: Richmond, VA

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby JFLNYC » Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:19:08

I only wish they'd gone even bigger and signed Castillo, too.
Jamie

"A man who tells lies . . . merely hides the truth. But a man who tells half-lies has forgotten where he put it."

JFLNYC
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 34322
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 13:16:48
Location: Location, Location!

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby dajafi » Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:31:18

If you think about it, they need him to sell tickets and generate some fan interest/excitement almost as much as they need him to produce on the field.

Seriously, they've become really fucking boring. I think a lot of us are probably hoping they sign Tomas just to give some reason to be interested.

dajafi
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 24567
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 20:03:18
Location: Brooklyn

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:32:04

dajafi wrote:Seriously, they've become really fucking boring. I think a lot of us are probably hoping they sign Tomas just to give some reason to be interested.


That's part of why I pushed the Hamilton thing

Grotewold
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 51642
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 09:40:10

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby lethal » Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:52:18

Grotewold wrote:
dajafi wrote:Seriously, they've become really fucking boring. I think a lot of us are probably hoping they sign Tomas just to give some reason to be interested.


That's part of why I pushed the Hamilton thing


Is there anyone owed less money that scenario could work out for? An extra $29M is a ton of money.

lethal
BSG MVP / ninja
BSG MVP / ninja
 
Posts: 10795
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:00:11
Location: zOMGWTFBBQ?

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:57:54

lethal wrote:Is there anyone owed less money that scenario could work out for? An extra $29M is a ton of money.


Olney suggested Ubaldo Jimenez (3/39), which would likely mean eating a good chunk of Howard's money

I really think the Hamilton thing works on a lot of levels, though. Maybe they eat some of that $29M, and/or we throw in something else
Last edited by Grotewold on Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:58:44, edited 1 time in total.

Grotewold
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 51642
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 09:40:10

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Eem » Wed Nov 05, 2014 14:58:29

I'd rather just cut Howard than have to take on ANOTHER long-term disaster contract just to trade him
Bed and bath i love this places

Eem
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 19001
Joined: Fri Dec 29, 2006 02:11:26

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Wed Nov 05, 2014 15:00:00

Eem wrote:I'd rather just cut Howard than have to take on ANOTHER long-term disaster contract just to trade him


Those are essentially short-term deals in years for which we don't figure to contend or have a high payroll, though. But unlike just cutting Howard you have a chance of a rebound and trade

At the very least you have someone logging innings/ABs who would be interesting

Grotewold
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 51642
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 09:40:10

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Wheels Tupay » Wed Nov 05, 2014 15:04:08

Grotewold wrote:
Eem wrote:I'd rather just cut Howard than have to take on ANOTHER long-term disaster contract just to trade him


Those are essentially short-term deals in years for which we don't figure to contend or have a high payroll, though. But unlike just cutting Howard you have a chance of a rebound and trade

At the very least you have someone logging innings/ABs who would be interesting


I feel like you are more likely to rebound by freeing up the playing time than bogging it down with another waste.
"That’s the Southwest Philly floater, man."
Now imagine that everything you ever imagined... is possible. - Hinkieology
EDP 2020

Wheels Tupay
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 30615
Joined: Wed Dec 16, 2009 16:35:17
Location: Keepin' it Gritty.

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Wed Nov 05, 2014 15:05:51

Wheels Tupay wrote:I feel like you are more likely to rebound by freeing up the playing time than bogging it down with another waste.


Who though? There's no one I can think of who needs to be in LF/RF or SP4 anytime soon. I'm all for finding the next waiver Werth, of course, but so are the other 29 (mostly smarter, of late) teams

The one thing we have is money. Use it to flip established players for those other teams' prospects

Grotewold
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 51642
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 09:40:10

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby dajafi » Wed Nov 05, 2014 17:25:47

Grote, ymmv but Hamilton just isn't that interesting to me. Another aging lefty bat with injury concerns? Pass.

(Plus I mostly meant "interesting" in the sense of "hope-giving," though admittedly that wasn't clear...)

Ubaldo, though, is somewhat intriguing. I'd want to know if anyone has a good explanation for why he sucked so badly last year. He's exactly the sort of player they could flip after a good two or three months. If the money more or less netted out, I'd happily swap Howard for him.

dajafi
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 24567
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 20:03:18
Location: Brooklyn

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Shore » Wed Nov 05, 2014 17:34:43

dajafi wrote:Grote, ymmv but Hamilton just isn't that interesting to me. Another aging lefty bat with injury concerns? Pass.

(Plus I mostly meant "interesting" in the sense of "hope-giving," though admittedly that wasn't clear...)

Ubaldo, though, is somewhat intriguing. I'd want to know if anyone has a good explanation for why he sucked so badly last year. He's exactly the sort of player they could flip after a good two or three months. If the money more or less netted out, I'd happily swap Howard for him.


Or in 2012 (9-17, 5.40 ERA)
Or in 2011 (10-13, 4.68 ERA)

Since his great 2010 season, he's 38-48 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.459 WHIP. Not good. 2013 starts to look like the aberration, not 2014.

Shore
All-Seeing, All-Knowing
 
Posts: 7733
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 19:32:01
Location: Indoors

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby bleh » Wed Nov 05, 2014 17:49:02

having a starting job open gives you an edge in signing guys like Werth over other teams. And I don't get wanting Hamilton at all. Even if he's good he's still owed freaking $32 million a year and he still can't play defense. You're not going to get anything for that. If you say 'eat the money and trade him for prospects'. You can just spend money and sign more international guys instead of wasting time with Hamilton. And Hamilton has been terrible, I don't think he's ever going to be good again.

bleh
Space Cadet
Space Cadet
 
Posts: 10603
Joined: Sat Jun 09, 2007 14:06:21

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Grotewold » Wed Nov 05, 2014 19:03:08

Good points, but intl talent is now capped and in demand. I don't 'want' Hamilton so much as some potential return on Howard's $60M and something to watch

Grotewold
BSG MVP
BSG MVP
 
Posts: 51642
Joined: Wed Jan 03, 2007 09:40:10

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby nycphils » Wed Nov 05, 2014 19:42:36

lethal wrote:
Grotewold wrote:
dajafi wrote:Seriously, they've become really #$!&@ boring. I think a lot of us are probably hoping they sign Tomas just to give some reason to be interested.


That's part of why I pushed the Hamilton thing


Is there anyone owed less money that scenario could work out for? An extra $29M is a ton of money.


Not trying to be obnoxious, but why is $29 million so much under the circumstances. The first $60m is a sunk cost with Howard or Hamilton, so the marginal dollars are over about 5 or 6 years - $5-6m for Hamilton for each of the next 5 or 6 years isn't that much.

The mistake was Howard - that money's gone so don't think of exchanging it for Hamilton's equivalent money as in addition to the $29m.

nycphils
There's Our Old Friend
There's Our Old Friend
 
Posts: 1234
Joined: Wed Jun 17, 2009 16:06:30

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby BigEd76 » Wed Nov 05, 2014 19:57:50

Heyman is starting up the Cole-to-Chicago stuff again

BigEd76
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
You've Got to Be Kidding Me!
 
Posts: 111160
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 18:13:03
Location: 40.155/-74.829

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby Wheels Tupay » Wed Nov 05, 2014 20:43:36

Also maybe our GM gets creative an actually acquires an interesting young player that needs some playing time.

JK, carry on.
"That’s the Southwest Philly floater, man."
Now imagine that everything you ever imagined... is possible. - Hinkieology
EDP 2020

Wheels Tupay
Plays the Game the Right Way
Plays the Game the Right Way
 
Posts: 30615
Joined: Wed Dec 16, 2009 16:35:17
Location: Keepin' it Gritty.

Re: Phillies Thoughts: Randomness is Our Best Hope

Postby dajafi » Wed Nov 05, 2014 21:13:17

Shore wrote:
dajafi wrote:Grote, ymmv but Hamilton just isn't that interesting to me. Another aging lefty bat with injury concerns? Pass.

(Plus I mostly meant "interesting" in the sense of "hope-giving," though admittedly that wasn't clear...)

Ubaldo, though, is somewhat intriguing. I'd want to know if anyone has a good explanation for why he sucked so badly last year. He's exactly the sort of player they could flip after a good two or three months. If the money more or less netted out, I'd happily swap Howard for him.


Or in 2012 (9-17, 5.40 ERA)
Or in 2011 (10-13, 4.68 ERA)

Since his great 2010 season, he's 38-48 with a 4.52 ERA and 1.459 WHIP. Not good. 2013 starts to look like the aberration, not 2014.


Fair enough. But if the money is equal, wouldn't you rather have Jimenez? Some chance at upside, and at worst he eats innings like Burnett did last season.

dajafi
Moderator / BSG MVP
Moderator / BSG MVP
 
Posts: 24567
Joined: Thu Dec 28, 2006 20:03:18
Location: Brooklyn

PreviousNext