swishnicholson wrote:Trent Steele wrote:The whole premise is strange to me. I have no idea how you can judge whether he has "won" the Oswalt and Pence trades now. Anything can happen but I feel it's more likely than not that Villar, Cosart, Singleton, Gose, etc. will exceed the 8ish WAR put up by Pence/OSwalt, but I didnt RTFA, so who knows.
In the long run, we're all dead.
I don't really think you have trouble with the concept. Amaro has traded for people to help the team win over the past three or four years, and almost none of them have turned out to be stiffs, and none of the guys traded away would have done the team much good over this period. Yay for us. Unfortunately they didn't win enough games, and there are also a lot of other things that go into building the team that he can be judged on. But he has generally gotten good value.
If it makes you feel better, he would definitely have lost the (second)Pence and Victorino trades to this point. Maybe Ethan what's-his-face can even things up a little this week.
I get that, of course. He's done a good job on most of his trades. This is just a rabbit-in-the-hat kind of way to measure value/success.