Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby td11 » Mon Jul 29, 2013 18:45:13

mcare89 wrote:
phillies wrote:
phdave wrote:Why wouldn't they want the other club to take all the $$$ remaining on his contract? That's like wondering why they would want good prospects in return.


because isn't the idea to get the best value for him? obviously, 3/$75MM is no big deal to a team like BOS. but if you have money to burn with this magical TV deal that's coming, entice mid-market teams like OAK and PIT into the mix by picking up some of the contract. i'll reserve judgement till the deadline since it was just one report...but it bothers me that that's even floated out there.

The amount of money needed to entice teams like Oakland and Pittsburgh into the race negates half the point of trading him. To get those teams in, you'd probably need to pick up at least half the tab, and I don't think either of those teams would part with enough of a prospect haul to make it worth carrying around 10-15 mill of dead money around.

The idea isn't to get the best value for him. This isn't an auction where everything must go. You don't have to trade him in the next 3 days unless you're absolutely terrified he's going to get hurt this season and kill his value, which is just no way to run a baseball team. The idea is to get proper value for him. That includes getting a prospect haul that compares to what we're losing in our #1 starter, as well as getting Lee's contract off the books. If you have to kick in a few million, as long as you're getting a prospect haul, so be it. But wanting any buyer to take Lee's full freight isn't an absurd request at all.


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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby slugsrbad » Mon Jul 29, 2013 18:45:42

I'm still on the keep him train. Lee-Hamels-KK-MAG-Halladay is a mighty fine rotation. We just need to shore up the bullpen and hope that our old geezer infield can score 3 runs a game.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Trent Steele » Mon Jul 29, 2013 19:27:53

slugsrbad wrote:I'm still on the keep him train. Lee-Hamels-KK-MAG-Halladay is a mighty fine rotation. We just need to shore up the bullpen and hope that our old geezer infield can score 3 runs a game.


I don't necessarily disagree but this has basically the blueprint for 2013. And 2012. And it sucked.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Wheels Tupay » Mon Jul 29, 2013 19:29:24

Kendrick can go fuck himself. He sucks again and will make like 9 million next year.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby dajafi » Mon Jul 29, 2013 19:31:06

To Trent's point, I wonder if we've reached the "change for the sake of change" moment. There is a staleness to the club... though of course that's not a problem when they're winning.

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby phillies » Mon Jul 29, 2013 19:32:41

mcare89 wrote:The amount of money needed to entice teams like Oakland and Pittsburgh into the race negates half the point of trading him. To get those teams in, you'd probably need to pick up at least half the tab, and I don't think either of those teams would part with enough of a prospect haul to make it worth carrying around 10-15 mill of dead money around.

The idea isn't to get the best value for him. This isn't an auction where everything must go. You don't have to trade him in the next 3 days unless you're absolutely terrified he's going to get hurt this season and kill his value, which is just no way to run a baseball team. The idea is to get proper value for him. That includes getting a prospect haul that compares to what we're losing in our #1 starter, as well as getting Lee's contract off the books. If you have to kick in a few million, as long as you're getting a prospect haul, so be it. But wanting any buyer to take Lee's full freight isn't an absurd request at all.


i don't think they HAVE to trade him either. not at all. if the offers suck, keep him. but if they are serious about doing it, it would seem prudent to get as many teams in the mix...that's my point. and his contract, even if it's fair market value, WOULD preclude a fair amount of teams from getting involved.

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Shore » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:19:34

mcare89 wrote:The amount of money needed to entice teams like Oakland and Pittsburgh into the race negates half the point of trading him. To get those teams in, you'd probably need to pick up at least half the tab, and I don't think either of those teams would part with enough of a prospect haul to make it worth carrying around 10-15 mill of dead money around.

The idea isn't to get the best value for him. This isn't an auction where everything must go. You don't have to trade him in the next 3 days unless you're absolutely terrified he's going to get hurt this season and kill his value, which is just no way to run a baseball team. The idea is to get proper value for him. That includes getting a prospect haul that compares to what we're losing in our #1 starter, as well as getting Lee's contract off the books. If you have to kick in a few million, as long as you're getting a prospect haul, so be it. But wanting any buyer to take Lee's full freight isn't an absurd request at all.


Disagree. Our sole advantage in the marketplace is cash. If we can add cash and widen the market for Lee, we have to do it. It's not about making another team spend money, it's maximizing the return in talent that you get - regardless of the cash it costs.

But you're right - we don't have to trade him. And I wouldn't unless we got a kickass haul.

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby slugsrbad » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:21:33

Trent Steele wrote:
slugsrbad wrote:I'm still on the keep him train. Lee-Hamels-KK-MAG-Halladay is a mighty fine rotation. We just need to shore up the bullpen and hope that our old geezer infield can score 3 runs a game.


I don't necessarily disagree but this has basically the blueprint for 2013. And 2012. And it sucked.


Fair point. If there are several things RAJ has shown he is not good at, it is building a bullpen and a bench. I still think not keeping Mad Dog and making him the closer was a mistake (minus the whole not having an arm anymore).
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby slugsrbad » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:23:34

Shore wrote:
mcare89 wrote:The amount of money needed to entice teams like Oakland and Pittsburgh into the race negates half the point of trading him. To get those teams in, you'd probably need to pick up at least half the tab, and I don't think either of those teams would part with enough of a prospect haul to make it worth carrying around 10-15 mill of dead money around.

The idea isn't to get the best value for him. This isn't an auction where everything must go. You don't have to trade him in the next 3 days unless you're absolutely terrified he's going to get hurt this season and kill his value, which is just no way to run a baseball team. The idea is to get proper value for him. That includes getting a prospect haul that compares to what we're losing in our #1 starter, as well as getting Lee's contract off the books. If you have to kick in a few million, as long as you're getting a prospect haul, so be it. But wanting any buyer to take Lee's full freight isn't an absurd request at all.


Disagree. Our sole advantage in the marketplace is cash. If we can add cash and widen the market for Lee, we have to do it. It's not about making another team spend money, it's maximizing the return in talent that you get - regardless of the cash it costs.

But you're right - we don't have to trade him. And I wouldn't unless we got a kickass haul.


Exactly. MY10, you almost have to get rid of unless the return is that god awful. And Delmon needs to be traded to an AL team to DH, get a C- prospect for him, get a player to be named later, it doesn't matter.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Bill McNeal » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:28:37

Disagree on the bench part. The past two years he's put together a pretty good bench, the problem has been that the bench guys wind up having to start because the starts suck/hurt/both. Fransden/Kratz/Nix/Galvis/jbeery isn't a bad bench. Nix sucks at life and the rest (except possibly fransden) aren't everyday players but they are good off the bench or for short stints

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby philliesphhan » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:32:10

dajafi wrote:To Trent's point, I wonder if we've reached the "change for the sake of change" moment. There is a staleness to the club... though of course that's not a problem when they're winning.


I'm of the opinion that we've GOTTA make sure Halladay is done done before closing up shop.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:40:36

And if we are retooling, getting something of value for Kendrick and then using his $$$ to take a flier on Halladay seems pretty ideal.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Rockinghorse » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:48:20

I don't mind if they keep trying the ace-heavy rotation strategy another year. What about Lee-Hamels-Kuroda-MAG-Halladay? Or Garza/Lincecum for Kuroda, using Kendrick savings for part of that deal.

Obviously they need to make better choices with the batts regardless. I'd love to grab Choo or McCann but it's like Josh Hamilton, BJ Upton, etc. - only one team will get them and we aren't the only ones who can throw money at them. So if the legit bat doesn't sign here, I'm fine going back to aces everywhere and hope some journeyman hitter Werths it up.

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby dajafi » Mon Jul 29, 2013 20:49:52

philliesphhan wrote:
dajafi wrote:To Trent's point, I wonder if we've reached the "change for the sake of change" moment. There is a staleness to the club... though of course that's not a problem when they're winning.


I'm of the opinion that we've GOTTA make sure Halladay is done done before closing up shop.


Unless the goal is "build a roster of sucky losers," there's no situation where having Doc isn't a plus, culture-wise.

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Grotewold » Mon Jul 29, 2013 21:17:21

Jim Bowden wrote:The Red Sox and Cardinals are really the only two teams that have the payroll room and prospect flexibility to make a legitimate run at Lee


Andy Martino wrote:Speculation, but informed speculation: NL exec who has spoken w Amaro lately thinks Phils move Cliff Lee. Chose Boston as likely destination.


Also, a PhilliesPhans poster said Wade is watching the Pigs vs. Red Sox AAA team. Not sure if that's noteworthy

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Mon Jul 29, 2013 21:42:58

Just the guy I want eyeing talent.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Grotewold » Mon Jul 29, 2013 21:44:26

The Nightman Cometh wrote:Just the guy I want eyeing talent.


Yeah, so few prospects flourished on his watch...

And who did the supposed Pence heist for the Astros? Was that all Abuckle, too?

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Mon Jul 29, 2013 21:47:12

Grotewold wrote:
The Nightman Cometh wrote:Just the guy I want eyeing talent.


Yeah, so few prospects flourished on his watch...

And who did the supposed Pence heist for the Astros? Was that Arbuckle too?

Right, as Wade's track record shows else where he was the key evaluator and not Arbuckle and co.
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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby Grotewold » Mon Jul 29, 2013 21:54:15

The Nightman Cometh wrote:
Grotewold wrote:
The Nightman Cometh wrote:Just the guy I want eyeing talent.


Yeah, so few prospects flourished on his watch...

And who did the supposed Pence heist for the Astros? Was that Arbuckle too?

Right, as Wade's track record shows else where he was the key evaluator and not Arbuckle and co.


I didn't say he was the key evaluator, since I have no way to know. I just think it's fair to give the GM credit in a general sense for the good stuff when that person gets slaughtered directly for the bad stuff

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Re: Where's Ruben Amaro? (Phillies random thread)

Postby BigEd76 » Mon Jul 29, 2013 22:03:09

Popo agrees with Pap

"Yeah, I would agree, I've been watching the games. To sit here and say it's been fun to watch or anything like that would be a lie. I know guys are going out there and trying to do what they can, but in some way, some shape, some form, you gotta try to figure out how to try to turn that around. I don't think Paps' too far off with that and I'm sure when guys sign here, they sign to try to come and win, and that's the goal for everybody when they go out there on the field, but right now it hasn't been working out too well."

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