One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby BigEd76 » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:04:22

minor league + ST invite

He has never allowed a run at Citizens Bank Park, in two career starts while pitching for the Cardinals in 2008 and '09.

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby Napalm » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:05:29

we should have just signed him and let kendrick go

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby joe table » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:05:30

He has upside over Kendirk but it's probably one of those "opt out if not on 25" deals so, who knows

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby Trent Steele » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:07:07

smitty wrote:I think the BP folks (and others) did some studies that showed zero positive effect of veteranosity in the post-season (when veteranosity is most valued).


Probably right, but it doesn't answer the question of whether there are individuals who can truly add more through their "veteran leadership." The fact that as a group it doesn't matter is hardly surprising.
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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby FTN » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:12:11

pineiro signed.

why.

are we trading one of our SP?

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby Bucky » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:14:01

Trent Steele wrote:
smitty wrote:I think the BP folks (and others) did some studies that showed zero positive effect of veteranosity in the post-season (when veteranosity is most valued).


Probably right, but it doesn't answer the question of whether there are individuals who can truly add more through their "veteran leadership." The fact that as a group it doesn't matter is hardly surprising.


so the point here is, if it doesn't matter as a group, then they're not adding anything. Or what they're adding is worthless.

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby smitty » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:15:43

Trent Steele wrote:
smitty wrote:I think the BP folks (and others) did some studies that showed zero positive effect of veteranosity in the post-season (when veteranosity is most valued).


Probably right, but it doesn't answer the question of whether there are individuals who can truly add more through their "veteran leadership." The fact that as a group it doesn't matter is hardly surprising.


Yes. I think there's little doubt that there are guys that can help with their veteran leadership or whatever you want to call it. You have to think Halladay has a positive effect.

There is another example of intangibles that's interesting and that's the manager's effect on a team. From the basic Leo Durocher to kindly old Burt Shotton/Billy Martin to Bob Lemon type effects to all the other things managers bring to a team, for good or ill. All of it is intangible I suppose. But the effect is there.
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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby smitty » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:19:45

Bucky wrote:
Trent Steele wrote:
smitty wrote:I think the BP folks (and others) did some studies that showed zero positive effect of veteranosity in the post-season (when veteranosity is most valued).


Probably right, but it doesn't answer the question of whether there are individuals who can truly add more through their "veteran leadership." The fact that as a group it doesn't matter is hardly surprising.


so the point here is, if it doesn't matter as a group, then they're not adding anything. Or what they're adding is worthless.


I don't think that's it Bucky. It doesn't matter how much experience a team has -- a team that has players that average 8 big league seasons doesn't have an advantage over a team that averages 4 big league seasons. But individual veteran leaders can have a positive effect on a team's performance -- or a negative one really if they suck at being a good team mate and stuff.
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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby Ace Rothstein » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:22:10

z ipper wrote:pineiro a phillies



didnt know he still played

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby FTN » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:22:52

its really weird that we got him on a minor league deal.

hard to believe he couldnt get a ML deal worth at least 1-2M

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby smitty » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:24:06

Ace Rothstein wrote:
z ipper wrote:pineiro a phillies



didnt know he still played


We just need to hire Dave Duncan to coach him up.
Teams lie, sometimes for good reasons, sometimes for bad. They do it to get an advantage while they look at the trade market or just because they can

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby ReadingPhilly » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:26:13

FTN wrote:its really weird that we got him on a minor league deal.

hard to believe he couldnt get a ML deal worth at least 1-2M


The Philly minimum

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby Trent Steele » Sun Jan 15, 2012 18:45:39

If signing Joel Piniero to a minor league deal doesn't make you want to cockpunch Amaro for giving Kendrick $3.6m, i don't know what to say
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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby Phan In Phlorida » Sun Jan 15, 2012 19:17:02

smitty wrote:Isn't a null hypothesis some kind of spider?

Same species as the Yoennis Cespedes.

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby BigEd76 » Sun Jan 15, 2012 19:27:34

Ace Rothstein wrote:
z ipper wrote:pineiro a phillies


didnt know he still played


stole $16M from the Angels

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby Woody » Sun Jan 15, 2012 21:35:37

Joel Hypothesis

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby jamiethekiller » Sun Jan 15, 2012 22:02:59

this thread is giving me nightmares of my six sigma clases

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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby smitty » Mon Jan 16, 2012 16:30:32

Speaking of intangibles and data and stuff -- pretty good discussion over at BP regarding the closer mentality resulting in these deep thoughts:

Goldstein:

In some ways I'm playing devil's advocate. I was enjoying this thread quite a bit, and then I feared it was devolving into a trend I feel like I'm seeing that disturbs me. I don't know if it's the Moneyball movie or the HOF voting or general award season or whatever, but I feel like for many (and I'm talking generally, on the interwebs, not our team), the arguments have reverted to early-generation tomfoolery. Many have gone backwards to the argument that EVERY answer is in the data, and if you don't see that or agree with that, you are a caveman noob moron. The other side is just as guilty with Saber Boy accusations and get out of your basement and watch the game stupidity.

The data is mind-numbingly important. There are still plenty of breakthroughs to come from the data, and I'm convinced that many of them will come from people on this distribution list, but don't get trapped in the data. Don't just reject out of hand circumstantial evidence that cannot be proven with the data. That stuff is important too, and we can all learn from it. We can all get upset when someone like Jon Heyman shows a remarkable ability to break a story, yet at times shows a profound lack of understanding of the game. The easy reaction is to make fun and call him a moron and joke with all your friends in a corner. It's also an opportunity to educate, and more importantly to grow. The first person who wants to be a story breaker, who understands the value of picking up a telephone and creating a network of sources, AND understanding the value of sabermetrics and how to apply them... That person is going to be huge.


Jason Collette:

Kevin makes a great point. 2011 was my first season in clubhouses, and it gave me a new appreciation for the narratives I once mocked from my mom's basement while attempting to dehumanize the players. I still don't know how to qualify the human element with players, but I certainly have more respect for it now.




Sam Miller:

The evolution of catcher defense measurements seems like a cautionary tale for all of us. Noise-to-signal ratio is generally massive in baseball, and each advance gets a little bit closer to the signal but not necessarily actually close, and sometimes leads to conclusions that are actually further away from being correct. Almost every argument I see seems a bit bad to me. Except "I dunno." "I dunno" is a pretty great argument.
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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby JFLNYC » Mon Jan 16, 2012 18:56:01

It just tickles me to no end that he posts those things as if they're revelations.
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Re: One single thread full of Random Phillies Thoughts!

Postby CFP » Mon Jan 16, 2012 18:58:24

Rockies have a minor league offer on the table for Moyer

Lol

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