Taken together, half (52%) of registered voters are firmly supporting a change and a quarter (29%) are firmly supporting no change, leaving another quarter who are still deciding.

Uncle Milty wrote:Cant let myself believe 1 in 3. The tide didn't turn on Nixon until the people turned on him. Don't see that ever happening with Trump.

Uncle Milty wrote:Cant let myself believe 1 in 3. The tide didn't turn on Nixon until the people turned on him. Don't see that ever happening with Trump.

JUburton wrote:The elephant in the room is that many of the GOP members are infinitely more scared of a primary challenge from their right/fringe than they are a general election. I think we'll continue to see the GOP hold to Trump until the tide drastically turns, if ever.

TenuredVulture wrote:

JUburton wrote:The elephant in the room is that many of the GOP members are infinitely more scared of a primary challenge from their right/fringe than they are a general election. I think we'll continue to see the GOP hold to Trump until the tide drastically turns, if ever.

It would be pretty tough to ramp up a primary challenge to an incumbent at this point unless you've already amassed substantial assets, especially for most Senators.

Bucky wrote:i think someone summed up the 'strategy' which is very effective with the low-iq base these days. I'll try but fail to re-create it

first: he DEFINITELY didn't do that!
second: OK it may have SOUNDED like he did that, but that's not what he MEANT (of HE WAS JOKING)
third: OK, he may have did that, but it's not ILLEGAL!
fourth: OF COURSE HE DID THAT, IT'S WHAT WE ELECTED HIM TO DO

pacino wrote:new F&M poll for PA!

58% for cannibas legalization
75% support expanded background checks


38% approval rating for Trump
37% believe he deserves re-election
57% support impeachment inquiry

Taken together, half (52%) of registered voters are firmly supporting a change and a quarter (29%) are firmly supporting no change, leaving another quarter who are still deciding.

Democratic primary:
Biden 30
Warren 18
Sanders 12
Buttigieg 8
Other 9
None 8
Don't Know 16

Warren leads as 'second choice' with 27%, Sanders at 14%, Buttigeg at 10 and Biden at 9

the big difference in who you support appears to be your age. Under 35 is 37 for Warren and 33 for Sanders; Biden gets 37% of over 55
Biden also has 43% of the non-white vote, with only 8% for Warren, 5% for Sanders, 0% for Buttigeg, and 10% for other, with 34% at don't know. This is where the race will swing.

Favorability swings
Trump -22
Sanders -10
Harris -5 (26% don't know)
Warren -2 (10% don't know)
Biden +1
Buttigeg +8 (37% don't know)

Bucky wrote:i think someone summed up the 'strategy' which is very effective with the low-iq base these days. I'll try but fail to re-create it

first: he DEFINITELY didn't do that!
second: OK it may have SOUNDED like he did that, but that's not what he MEANT (of HE WAS JOKING)
third: OK, he may have did that, but it's not ILLEGAL!
fourth: OF COURSE HE DID THAT, IT'S WHAT WE ELECTED HIM TO DO

JUburton wrote:lmao good luck. Warnt blue when the dude got reelected.

Squire wrote:I'm most interested in seeing how the vote in the Impeachment Inquiry Resolution turns out today. I'm hoping for some Republican votes. I do worry that it will be straight party line vote with a very small group of Democratic swing district defections.

Gimpy wrote:

Bucky wrote:i think someone summed up the 'strategy' which is very effective with the low-iq base these days. I'll try but fail to re-create it

first: he DEFINITELY didn't do that!
second: OK it may have SOUNDED like he did that, but that's not what he MEANT (of HE WAS JOKING)
third: OK, he may have did that, but it's not ILLEGAL!
fourth: OF COURSE HE DID THAT, IT'S WHAT WE ELECTED HIM TO DO