This is a pretty incredible episode of The Daily.

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/11/05/podc ... texas.html

Moz! Best speech of the bunch.

And the speech Maria gave.. not Maria. I'm sorry what's your name again?

Maria.

Owned by a 17 year old.

https://m.facebook.com/story.php_story_ ... 4654410140

Hilary did win the conventional election.

Sentiment as noted the week before.

FIRST Pa. She did not win the Dem area by enough. Silver immediately picked up on that.

Then it was a late night.

The margin across three states was 77000.

CalvinBall wrote:Moz! Best speech of the bunch.

And the speech Maria gave.. not Maria. I'm sorry what's your name again?

Maria.

Owned by a 17 year old.

https://m.facebook.com/story.php_story_ ... 4654410140

Kind of you. Wasn’t as good as I’d hoped. I fidget too much. Also the camera really does add ten pounds or else I am delusional. I know - I am delusional.

Ah well, onward to victory!

Lots and lots of people younger than 40 are voting.

https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status ... 94272?s=19

CalvinBall wrote:Lots and lots of people younger than 40 are voting.

https://twitter.com/PoliticsReid/status ... 94272?s=19

If those numbers hold up it is going to be a very good night for the Dems tomorrow.

Im not voting tomorrow because i voted weeks ago. Now i just laugh at the ads. VA10's ship seems to have sailed by the end of summer so we have a nice diet of Dave Brat ads. He seems to be drowning, but tgen again stupidity sells.

We also get all the MD ads to pass the time. I feel like David trone lives in my house, and comutes with me.

New super racist robocall to denegrate Stacy Abrams. FFS.

Facebooks cyber security team alerted by law enforcement about suspicious foreign intrusion activity per NBC

im glad that the cyber security team needed outsiders to let them know that was happening

The tweet of a desperate man:

https://twitter.com/BrianKempGA/status/ ... 98944?s=19

Never go full racist bro!

Wolfgang622 wrote:

CalvinBall wrote:Moz! Best speech of the bunch.

And the speech Maria gave.. not Maria. I'm sorry what's your name again?

Maria.

Owned by a 17 year old.

https://m.facebook.com/story.php_story_ ... 4654410140

Kind of you. Wasn’t as good as I’d hoped. I fidget too much. Also the camera really does add ten pounds or else I am delusional. I know - I am delusional.

Ah well, onward to victory!

You were awesome. No worries. And keep watching yourself and you will only get better. You can't fix your "ummmss" and "you knows...*" if you don't recognize them.


* that is not saying you did either of these, they are just common, generic public speaking mistakes

ummm, what are you trying to say?

In my moments of real doubt I wonder how Nate Silver or anyone can say “Democrats have an 86% chance of taking the House” - or whatever - because I wonder what that really means. This isn’t a die roll or a coin flip, this is a unique, one-time event with an exact set of complicates, inter-related circumstances, and we will never see this exact set of circumstances again. In other words its outcome will be produced once and only once. It doesn’t pass the sniff test that you could ascribe anything like shaded certainty to the outcome: EITHER the outcome is never in doubt, or it’s a genuine coin flip.

/nonscience nonstatistician worry wart

I think most people are worried because of what is at stake. If we think Trump has been bad so far, how bad will he be if his policies are ratified by the american people? McConnell is out there floating the idea of going after Soc Sec and Medicare. What if they hold the house and he can say that he had a mandate to go after them.... "I said we were going to do it and then americans voted for it."

If we think racism and sexism has been overt for the last two years, what if they were all rewarded for it? If they have pillaged the public coffers and broken every norm, what if we voted for them anyway? If they sought to destroy long-time agreements with allies for personal profit and authoritarian dabblings, how bad would it get if we looked the other way and pulled the GOP lever?

You should be afraid. For the first time in my life, I genuinely think the fabric of our country is at stake. I'm really nervous. Many of the american teachers here are getting together tomorrow morning to watch returns come in. I have a meeting to plan our next unit (climate change, ironically), but I've already made apologies for the fact that my attention will be split. The other two people in the meeting (a Canadian and a South African) understand completely.

Crush the fascist movement.

NOW.

Get out and vote.

Must win.

Don’t get swept