pacino wrote:In order of excitement:

Jess King in PA11 (i have so many friends on the campaign and in lancaster stands up and she's really, seriously great)
Keeping Tom Wolf in PA Governor
Stacey Abrams in Georgia Governor
OUSTING Scott Walker in Wisconsin
Andrew Gillum in Florida Governor
stopping Kris Kobach in Kansas Governor

i like governors. they matter.

Wolfgang622 wrote:In my moments of real doubt I wonder how Nate Silver or anyone can say “Democrats have an 86% chance of taking the House” - or whatever - because I wonder what that really means. This isn’t a die roll or a coin flip, this is a unique, one-time event with an exact set of complicates, inter-related circumstances, and we will never see this exact set of circumstances again. In other words its outcome will be produced once and only once. It doesn’t pass the sniff test that you could ascribe anything like shaded certainty to the outcome: EITHER the outcome is never in doubt, or it’s a genuine coin flip.

/nonscience nonstatistician worry wart

Uncle Milty wrote:

Monkeyboy wrote:I think most people are worried because of what is at stake. If we think Trump has been bad so far, how bad will he be if his policies are ratified by the american people? McConnell is out there floating the idea of going after Soc Sec and Medicare. What if they hold the house and he can say that he had a mandate to go after them.... "I said we were going to do it and then americans voted for it."

If we think racism and sexism has been overt for the last two years, what if they were all rewarded for it? If they have pillaged the public coffers and broken every norm, what if we voted for them anyway? If they sought to destroy long-time agreements with allies for personal profit and authoritarian dabblings, how bad would it get if we looked the other way and pulled the GOP lever?

You should be afraid. For the first time in my life, I genuinely think the fabric of our country is at stake. I'm really nervous. Many of the american teachers here are getting together tomorrow morning to watch returns come in. I have a meeting to plan our next unit (climate change, ironically), but I've already made apologies for the fact that my attention will be split. The other two people in the meeting (a Canadian and a South African) understand completely.

These last year's ARE the fabric of nation. One of them at least. We present a classic, dignified suit but the liner is a print of greed, hate and fear.

Even after Watergate, Vietnam, and the general disaster that he was Richard Nixon won reelection in a landslide. Then Carter receives only 50% of the popular vote in a slim victory over Ford and 4 years later Reagan wins in a landslide even with an independent stealing millions of vote from him.

Uncle Milty wrote:Outside of any that affect me i want Stacey Abrams to win more than anything. Don't think there's a louder message to send than her victory.

PTOITWCFTPP wrote:Man I woke up nervous AF. Too much expectation that Dems are going to crush. I don’t like all this talk

PTOITWCFTPP wrote:Man I woke up nervous AF. Too much expectation that Dems are going to crush. I don’t like all this talk

thephan wrote:Chandler AZ poll location foreclosed on last night with machines and ballots locked inside. Rumor of 70 total polls not open in Marapocia country. Chandler City Hall is altrrnate lication, but their machines have a problem.