FTN wrote:So...
Halladay - Lee - Hamels - Pedro - Moyer
with Drabek in reserve if hes not involved in the deal.
CalvinBall wrote:CFP wrote:CalvinBall wrote:Is Halladay-Lee-Hamels-2 Other Guys better than Lee-Hamels-Happ-Blanton-1 Other Guy?
Light years better. It's Roy $#@! Halladay!
I feel like the difference is 1 great chance to win the game, 3 good chances, and 1 not very likely as opposed to 2 great chances, 1 good chance, and 2 not very likely.
etched Chaos wrote:CalvinBall wrote:CFP wrote:CalvinBall wrote:Is Halladay-Lee-Hamels-2 Other Guys better than Lee-Hamels-Happ-Blanton-1 Other Guy?
Light years better. It's Roy $#@! Halladay!
I feel like the difference is 1 great chance to win the game, 3 good chances, and 1 not very likely as opposed to 2 great chances, 1 good chance, and 2 not very likely.
So by getting Halladay that means Lee and Hamels are less likely to win each game...
Surely its 3 great chances, 1 good chance and 1 not very likely.
FTN wrote:CalvinBall wrote:Is Halladay-Lee-Hamels-2 Other Guys better than Lee-Hamels-Happ-Blanton-1 Other Guy?
Yes.
dajafi wrote:FTN wrote:CalvinBall wrote:Is Halladay-Lee-Hamels-2 Other Guys better than Lee-Hamels-Happ-Blanton-1 Other Guy?
Yes.
I'm not as sure, and I'm pretty sure it isn't when you consider costs.
That's a devastating front three, no question about it. But we have to get through the 162 game grind before you can really unleash them in October. If you back up the big three with '09 Moyer and '08 Kendrick, that's two games of every five where you'll have to outslug the opposition and drain the bullpen. I'm convinced the reason we won in '08 was because all five starters scarfed innings down the stretch: Hamels, Myers, Blanton and Moyer were all around or over 200 IP, and they were all league-average or better.
Maybe Kendrick's 2009 improvement was real. Maybe Moyer can give you something. Maybe Carpenter or Bastardo or a scrap-heap NRI guy turns out to be a decent #5. Maybe Drabek is ready by July to give you some innings. But I'd be more comfortable counting on those maybes to add up to one rotation spot than two.
Would I make the Happ/Brown for Halladay deal, with a separate dump of Blanton? It depends on what Cupcakes brings back, but my guess is actually no.