2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management!

Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby WhiteyFan » Mon Sep 28, 2020 11:42:32

BigEd76 wrote:Heyman says it's not a guarantee that Klentak is fired, then he throws out the idea that the Phils might use JT's money towards Bauer instead


Im good with both of these. Too soon to rebuild and I dont see how anyone thinks signing a 30yo catcher to a huge, long-term deal is the answer to fixing this team.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby BigEd76 » Mon Sep 28, 2020 12:07:20

One of the positive things that came out of this awful season was some of the prospects got a chance to be involved in a September playoff chase, and hopefully they can take the next step in a full season next year. Obviously Bohm will stay up and it looks like Howard will replace Arrieta in the rotation and Brogdon will be one of the bullpen pieces, but guys like Moniak, Romero, Medina and Marchan also got an opportunity. I think Romero sticks as a lefty option out of the pen but he needs more work. The other three should be at LV to start, although I think Moniak should be given an opportunity to win the starting CF job in spring training. We know what we're getting with Quinn (speed, injuries and questionable hitting/defense) and Haseley (lefty spray hitter, little to no power), and right now both look better as bench options. We also know Stott and Maton each got some work at the alternate site and could be up within the next year, so there doesn't seem to be as much urgency re-signing Didi and the money will be repurposed elsewhere. Damon Jones will be added to the 40-man this offseason and could get a look in Clearwater as a potential #5 starter, and it'd be nice to have another lefty in the rotation again.

Another thing to consider: with Williamsport and a GCL team going away, we're going to see roster crunches, and some of these filler guys and flop draft picks and international signings could be pushed out.

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby kruker » Mon Sep 28, 2020 12:11:03

WhiteyFan wrote:
BigEd76 wrote:Heyman says it's not a guarantee that Klentak is fired, then he throws out the idea that the Phils might use JT's money towards Bauer instead

Im good with both of these. Too soon to rebuild and I dont see how anyone thinks signing a 30yo catcher to a huge, long-term deal is the answer to fixing this team.


It's why some of us weren't fans of the trade to begin with. We weren't a single piece away from contending when we did it.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby Stripes » Mon Sep 28, 2020 12:32:44

BigEd76 wrote:
Stay_Disappointed wrote:How much money do we save by letting all the free agents walk?


Arrieta = $20M
Didi = $14M
Bruce = $14M
JT = $10M
Workman = $3.5M
Alvarez = $2.95M
Hunter = $850K
Parker = $564K

A little under $66M, then you can save another $10M declining Robertson and $4.25M declining Phelps


I think we were only paying Bruce a fraction of that $14 million. SEA/SD paying the rest. Could be wrong, though.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby WhiteyFan » Mon Sep 28, 2020 12:48:58

kruker wrote:
WhiteyFan wrote:
BigEd76 wrote:Heyman says it's not a guarantee that Klentak is fired, then he throws out the idea that the Phils might use JT's money towards Bauer instead

Im good with both of these. Too soon to rebuild and I dont see how anyone thinks signing a 30yo catcher to a huge, long-term deal is the answer to fixing this team.


It's why some of us weren't fans of the trade to begin with. We weren't a single piece away from contending when we did it.


Double-whammy that Sixto is a stud.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby MoBettle » Mon Sep 28, 2020 12:58:42

Stripes wrote:
BigEd76 wrote:
Stay_Disappointed wrote:How much money do we save by letting all the free agents walk?


Arrieta = $20M
Didi = $14M
Bruce = $14M
JT = $10M
Workman = $3.5M
Alvarez = $2.95M
Hunter = $850K
Parker = $564K

A little under $66M, then you can save another $10M declining Robertson and $4.25M declining Phelps


I think we were only paying Bruce a fraction of that $14 million. SEA/SD paying the rest. Could be wrong, though.


Yeah I think Phillies were paying like $2 million? Also the Red Sox paid Workman.

This CBS article from July ranks the Phillies as having the 3rd most flexibility heading into the offseason. That is of course with losing your cleanup hitting catcher, 5/6 hole hitting SS and DH without obvious internal replacements along with the pitching questions, there's a path for a capable GM though:

3. Phillies
2020 projected payroll: $177.0 million
2021 payroll obligations: $113.7 million (seven players including Odubel Herrera)
2021 notable arbitration-eligibles: Rhys Hoskins, Seranthony Dominguez

Jake Arrieta and David Robertson come off the books this offseason and that's a lot of money for not much production. Jay Bruce is an expensive bench player (or DH) and he'll become a free agent as well. That's the good news. The bad news is the Phillies still have to re-sign J.T. Realmuto, arguably the game's best all-around catcher, and he's one of the few free agents who could get a market rate contract this winter rather than something well below his actual worth. Re-signing Realmuto is a priority.

Hoskins will get a decent raise as a first time arbitration-eligible player, but the rest of Philadelphia's arbitration class is made up of injured players who won't command much (Seranthony Dominguez) or non-tender candidates (Deolis Guerra, Andrew Knapp, Nick Pivetta, Vince Velasquez, etc.) who can be easily replaced. The core aside from Realmuto and Hoskins is locked up, giving the Phillies the flexibility to take advantage of what figures to be a depressed free agent market. They're in pretty good shape even if payroll comes down a bit.


I don't know what's going to happen with Didi but it does seem like there's a handful of decent SS options on the market. Might sign Simmons to a 2 year deal and hope Stott is ready by the end of that.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:22:33

Wonder how concerned the team is with Howard’s shoulder issues. Maybe he’s better suited to the pen? And what was with his velocity this year? I was expecting 98-99 and I don’t remember it going higher than 95.
I would rather see you lose than win myself

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:24:06

philliesphhan wrote:
Stay_Disappointed wrote:
MoBettle wrote:Vince seems like a no offer at that number.


3.6? That’s chump change

I think Neris is a more interesting decision


He's a chump though. You don't pay replacement level players 3.6 million dollars on purpose


I guess you’re right - Medina couldn’t do any worse for less money
I would rather see you lose than win myself

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby ek20 » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:36:28

Brookover says a source tells him klentak won't be fired
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby Grotewold » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:41:09

ek20 wrote:Brookover


A trailblazer wrt not being able to get in stadiums

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby Wheels Tupay » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:43:19

Stay_Disappointed wrote:
philliesphhan wrote:
Stay_Disappointed wrote:
MoBettle wrote:Vince seems like a no offer at that number.


3.6? That’s chump change

I think Neris is a more interesting decision


He's a chump though. You don't pay replacement level players 3.6 million dollars on purpose


I guess you’re right - Medina couldn’t do any worse for less money


Nola, wheeler, eflin, howard

We are going to need medina to start, I think.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby MFP » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:45:32

ek20 wrote:Brookover says a source tells him klentak won't be fired

Not saying this is completely inaccurate because anything's possible but:

1. Consider the source.
2. Feels like this was the word about Kapler this time last year and we know how that turned out.

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby thephan » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:47:38

Free Agents

C J.T. Realmuto
SS Didi Gregorius

Options

Keep None

Arbitration

Out Right Vince
2nd year = RHP Zach Eflin
1st year = 1B Rhys Hoskins

That is (emotionally) all I would keep from those 3 categories.
yawn

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby MoBettle » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:51:10

MFP wrote:
ek20 wrote:Brookover says a source tells him klentak won't be fired

Not saying this is completely inaccurate because anything's possible but:

1. Consider the source.
2. Feels like this was the word about Kapler this time last year and we know how that turned out.

Also he said the source "doesn't think" Klentak will be fired and i don't think anyone really knows what's gonna happen besides Middleton.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby MFP » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:53:03

MoBettle wrote:
MFP wrote:
ek20 wrote:Brookover says a source tells him klentak won't be fired

Not saying this is completely inaccurate because anything's possible but:

1. Consider the source.
2. Feels like this was the word about Kapler this time last year and we know how that turned out.

Also don't think anyone really knows what's gonna happen besides Middleton.

Probably accurate. And since Middleton's set a precedent of heavily weighing public opinion, you'd have to think it leans much more strongly to Klentak being gone. If someone's defended him (other than Girardi saying that he's "loved" working with him because what else would he say to the press), I certainly haven't seen it.

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby Ace Rothstein » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:53:59

I wonder if Robertson will take a friendly incentive 1 yr deal to help repay all that money he took.....not sure that’s an option with his buyout

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby TempleFan22 » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:54:03

Klentak staying would be a disaster.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby BigEd76 » Mon Sep 28, 2020 13:56:31

I don't think Seranthony is arb-eligible yet...?

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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby MoBettle » Mon Sep 28, 2020 14:03:38

Klentak took over in fall 2015. Every team in the national league has made the playoffs since then besides Pirates who made it in 2015 and haven't cared since then.

Even if you want to say they weren't trying until 2018, the only other teams that haven't made it are:

Mets (hired new gm in fall 2018, probably about to get fired)
Giants (hired new gm in fall 2018)
DBacks (hired new gm in fall 2016, probably about to get fired)

Giving him 6 years with his track record would be pretty nuts. He's gotta be gone.
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Re: 2020-21 Phillies Offseason I: Under New Management?

Postby MFP » Mon Sep 28, 2020 14:10:30

Eleven months ago, general manager Matt Klentak warmed his own seat when he proclaimed, "No questions, it's time to win now." The 2020 Phillies, despite a club-record payroll and a generous eight-team postseason field, did not do that. They finished four games under .500 and have not had a winning season in Klentak's five years...

Major League Baseball discourages major announcements during its postseason, which begins Tuesday and runs for a month. That makes Monday — today — a big day. The Los Angeles Angels have already announced the firing of their GM, Billy Eppler, after five losing seasons.

Middleton was not available for comment Monday, but that doesn't mean he wasn't working through this situation. He had previously made it clear that he wouldn't be happy if this club didn't make the playoffs and his Monday is likely being spent asking piercing questions.

Klentak declined to discuss his performance or future last week but indicated he would after the season. It's not clear when that time will come. General managers usually hold an end-of-season news conference, but the uncertainty of Klentak's status could impact the timing of that.

Klentak does have two more years remaining on his contract and that could work in his favor. Ownership is on record as saying that the Phillies will lose well over $100 million because of the pandemic this year. The club promised to keep all of its full-time employees through October, but buyout packages have been offered and layoffs are possible. Would the club be willing to let Klentak go, pay him for two years and add a new, high-salaried GM in these difficult economic times?

Only Middleton can answer these questions, and he must do that at some point soon because Klentak's status, either way, is a major issue as the team embarks on a crucial offseason.

https://www.nbcsports.com/philadelphia/ ... -middleton

That's from Salisbury and seems much less definitive on the side of Klentak staying. And I'd think anyone would agree that he's infinitely more plugged-in than Brookover is.

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