SCPhillyPhan wrote:06hawkalum wrote:The B1G Piece wrote:statistically speaking does a person under the age of 50 in the US have a better chance of dying from Covid or being murdered?
What does that have to do with the price of tea in China?
I'm not sure what this post was about, but.....
COVID has already killed close to ten times as many Americans as your average year of murders. If the death rate of the last five months holds for the next five months, COVID will be the third leading cause of death to Americans this year.
I'll respond, knowing I'll get hammered...
First, if you are under 65 you have a way higher chance of dying from almost any other common cause of death (murder, car accident, alcoholic overdose, drug overdose, complications from the flu, etc.) than you do from COVID, especially now, since treatment protocols in hospitals are much better than they were. Over 40% of deaths in Italy and UK were from people that the governments of both countries said just this week were extremely likely to have died by the end of the year anyway, mostly institutionalized elderly. This people are not under 65. This comment is in no way intended to minimize the seriousness of the epidemic, especially for the elderly or those with co-morbidities, or those who were unfortunate enough to be infected in March or April, just responding to Big Piece. Look at the CDC data.
Second, the death rate is nowhere near what it was in March and April anymore. Young, healthy people are the ones getting infected now and almost all are asymptomatic or mildly sick at worst. And, as stated above, our hospitals are doing an awesome job with treatment improvements across the board, from reducing ventilator usage (which killed people in March by accelerating the immune response), proning people on ventilators, repurposing C-PAP machines, treating sick people with various off-label drugs that are reducing ICU admittance by almost 50% on comparable cases, using "emergency" drugs like Remdesivir and Favipiravir, and treating the very sick with convalescent plasma (BTW, get an antibody test and volunteer to donate if you have antibodies, especially if you had a symptomatic case. Those cases tend to produce a stronger immune response. Contact the Mayo Clinic.). It's extremely misleading to compare IFRs for the whole population to IFRs for those under 65, or to compare IFRs in March with those in late July.