2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Average

Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby thephan » Tue Oct 01, 2019 10:21:06

2 things worth mentioning from the article:

1. Segura has never, ever played Third at any level professionally. He has played second.
2. Kingery could be slotted at Second or Short. The team was impressed with him at Short.

It would be a very Kapler thing to have Segura at Third and Kingery at Short given the limit to non-existent experience both have had at each position.
yawn

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Tue Oct 01, 2019 11:03:22

freddy?
I would rather see you lose than win myself

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby phorever » Tue Oct 01, 2019 11:20:11

how much more influence did chris young have on the phils starting pitchers this year relative to 2018? if the answer is "much more", there would be an argument for naming him the worst pitching coach in phillies history. the starters went from being worth 15.2fwar in 2018 to 7.6fwar in 2019, and that's with vargas and smyly making things better after their arrival. the large decline in "siera" scores for all phillies starters is particularly noteworthy, since that stat is designed to be predictive, and thus relatively stable from year to year. it is even more surprising given that no starter other than arrieta had significant reported injury issues (and his was one of the smaller worsenings)
maybe the change in the balls this season had something to do with it. however, in that case, young and his pitchers had more trouble adjusting to this than any other team, which is damning enough in and of itself.
having no pitching coach at all might yield a win or two improvement relative to keeping young!
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby thephan » Tue Oct 01, 2019 12:03:33

I too thought about Freddy, but he is a short term solution. The team needs an answer there. If a few seasons is what it take (I think I recall the team being SS heavy in the last two drafts, but that is also just a best athlete play), the he would be alright. Surgically repaired Dutchman Didi Gregorius is the same age as Freddy, so it sort of a toss up.
yawn

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby CFP » Tue Oct 01, 2019 12:17:31

Since this team has many other issues, I'd probably leave Segura at SS and put Kingery at 2B, but this organization has been pretty good at overcomplicating things in the last few years so they'll probably be looking to create some extra work for themselves.

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby WhiteyFan » Tue Oct 01, 2019 12:22:20

CFP wrote:Since this team has many other issues, I'd probably leave Segura at SS and put Kingery at 2B, but this organization has been pretty good at overcomplicating things in the last few years so they'll probably be looking to create some extra work for themselves.


I almost feel like this is a smoke-screen to distract other teams/agents from the very obvious fact that we desperately need starting pitching.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby BigEd76 » Tue Oct 01, 2019 13:00:34

I think they're just throwing some ideas out there a day after the season ended

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby thephan » Tue Oct 01, 2019 13:11:00

understand that this is from a reporter cobbling things together, and using statistical facts to augment what she heard. It is a story that is as much what-if as anything. Clearly it worked to get people talking.
yawn

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby Uncle Milty » Wed Oct 02, 2019 15:24:06

Preparing for the Dave Dombrowski era in Philadelphia
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby thephan » Thu Oct 03, 2019 09:59:55

From ed's FA thread, here are options as part of the 2020 infield puzzle:

SS = Elvis Andrus (opt-out?), Didi Gregorius, Jordy Mercer, Freddy Galvis (buyout)
3B = Anthony Rendon (QO), Josh Donaldson, Todd Frazier, Jedd Gyorko (buyout)

I do not think that team will bid on Tony Rendon. The other 3B options are trash. At short I do not see any statistical upgrades. That is a bit of a quandary.
yawn

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby stevemc » Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:09:17

I realize he'll be 34 soon and you don't want to necessarily invest long term on a guy that age but how is Donaldson considered "trash" based on what he's done this year?

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby Grotewold » Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:10:57

stevemc wrote:I realize he'll be 34 soon and you don't want to necessarily invest long term on a guy that age but how is Donaldson considered "trash" based on what he's done this year?


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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby heyeaglefn » Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:21:12

stevemc wrote:I realize he'll be 34 soon and you don't want to necessarily invest long term on a guy that age but how is Donaldson considered "trash" based on what he's done this year?

I think he meant anyone he didn't list was trash.

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby stevemc » Thu Oct 03, 2019 10:23:33

heyeaglefn wrote:
stevemc wrote:I realize he'll be 34 soon and you don't want to necessarily invest long term on a guy that age but how is Donaldson considered "trash" based on what he's done this year?

I think he meant anyone he didn't list was trash.


agree to disagree

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby BigEd76 » Thu Oct 03, 2019 12:16:53

Any interest in Callaway as a pitching coach?

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby heyeaglefn » Thu Oct 03, 2019 12:28:21

BigEd76 wrote:Any interest in Callaway as a pitching coach?

No Dirty Mets please.

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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby Wheels Tupay » Thu Oct 03, 2019 12:29:44

WhiteyFan wrote:
CFP wrote:Since this team has many other issues, I'd probably leave Segura at SS and put Kingery at 2B, but this organization has been pretty good at overcomplicating things in the last few years so they'll probably be looking to create some extra work for themselves.


I almost feel like this is a smoke-screen to distract other teams/agents from the very obvious fact that we desperately need starting pitching.


That was pretty obvious going into last season too.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby WhiteyFan » Thu Oct 03, 2019 12:42:50

Wheels Tupay wrote:
WhiteyFan wrote:
CFP wrote:Since this team has many other issues, I'd probably leave Segura at SS and put Kingery at 2B, but this organization has been pretty good at overcomplicating things in the last few years so they'll probably be looking to create some extra work for themselves.


I almost feel like this is a smoke-screen to distract other teams/agents from the very obvious fact that we desperately need starting pitching.


That was pretty obvious going into last season too.


Not true. Nola was and ace and Jake was a decent #2 (pun intended). Many thought Pivetta was going to break out and VV was going to become a reliable ML starter. Seemed like one of Eflin/Eick/EDLS would be a worthy #5 starter. We at least thought we had the guys. Next season, we only have 3 guys, and they are probably best served as #2, #4 and #5 starters.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby stevelxa476 » Thu Oct 03, 2019 12:51:19

WhiteyFan wrote:
Wheels Tupay wrote:
WhiteyFan wrote:
CFP wrote:Since this team has many other issues, I'd probably leave Segura at SS and put Kingery at 2B, but this organization has been pretty good at overcomplicating things in the last few years so they'll probably be looking to create some extra work for themselves.


I almost feel like this is a smoke-screen to distract other teams/agents from the very obvious fact that we desperately need starting pitching.


That was pretty obvious going into last season too.


Not true. Nola was and ace and Jake was a decent #2 (pun intended). Many thought Pivetta was going to break out and VV was going to become a reliable ML starter. Seemed like one of Eflin/Eick/EDLS would be a worthy #5 starter. We at least thought we had the guys. Next season, we only have 3 guys, and they are probably best served as #2, #4 and #5 starters.


It was basically the same bet they made after the 2007 season, but it worked out much better in 2008 obviously. Obviously the offense and bullpen were stronger in 2008 than this year, but let's not forget that KK and Adam Eaton made a combined 49 starts in 2008.
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Re: 2019-20 Phillies Offseason: Striving for Better Than Ave

Postby GrizzledVeteran » Thu Oct 03, 2019 16:50:36

heyeaglefn wrote:
BigEd76 wrote:Any interest in Callaway as a pitching coach?

No Dirty Mets please.


Agreed. But Ray Searage is available. I remember hearing really good things about him being a pitching whisperer or something.
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