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Orange is the new whack (politics)

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Oct 23, 2016 14:07:51

Polar Bear Phan wrote:
TenuredVulture wrote:Of course there is the possibility of the Bradley effect, where many Trump supporters are embarrassed to say they'll vote for Trump, but it seems that at least at the national level, the Bradley effect doesn't really exist. And I suspect it doesn't exist in Texas much anyway. (If anything, I'd guess if there is a Bradley effect in TX, you'd see people embarrassed to say they're voting for HRC.)


I think a husband effect might even be more important. Women might say they are voting Trump in a poll if their husbands are around, but not pull his lever. My Mom has voted R in every Presidential election since 1968, but is firmly #NeverTrump.


This is very likely. In fact, there's some evidence that this is happening, unlike the Bradley effect.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby JUburton » Sun Oct 23, 2016 14:09:14

Yeah, the shy trump voter is a myth. I've been convinced of a 6-7pt win since the first debate. Didn't think it would get much more than that but the only thing Trump is good for now for the Republican party is to determine what their absolute baseline number is. He might lose by 12 before this is over.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby pacino » Sun Oct 23, 2016 14:10:11

Like a 'trump voter' couldn't get up to vote against Obama but Trump's gonna get them out
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby pacino » Sun Oct 23, 2016 16:13:34

Donnie's new ad is silly
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby thephan » Sun Oct 23, 2016 17:54:50

td11 wrote:Just going to point out again that he has the signature of a psychopath


No it is not, it is a lie detector print out that indicates lying.
yawn

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Oct 23, 2016 18:29:32

John Harwood @JohnJHarwood
Senior GOP Senate strategist: "Trump now tied in Indiana. down 11 in PA and 14 in NH. going down hard"

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Sun Oct 23, 2016 20:48:15

It's been a few days, but I have to point out that JH was right to call me out on how horrendously wrong I was about what the public polls are showing.

I'm still quite sure Toomey is done, though.
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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Oct 23, 2016 21:06:57

Luke Brinker @LukeBrinker
Aaaand RealClearPolitics has officially moved Texas into its "toss up" column. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... e_map.html …

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Oct 23, 2016 21:11:11

Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
The attack on Mosul is turning out to be a total disaster. We gave them months of notice. U.S. is looking so dumb. VOTE TRUMP and WIN AGAIN!

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Bucky » Sun Oct 23, 2016 21:16:36

i'm averaging an email like every 40 minutes from a D senate candidate wanting money

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Sun Oct 23, 2016 21:17:52

Apparently Gov Pat McCrory is upset with Trump for constantly talking about how the economy sucks in NC. :lol:

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby TenuredVulture » Sun Oct 23, 2016 21:30:31

Doll Is Mine wrote:
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
The attack on Mosul is turning out to be a total disaster. We gave them months of notice. U.S. is looking so dumb. VOTE TRUMP and WIN AGAIN!

I suppose it doesn't matter that trump's account of this is entirely a fantasy.
Be Bold!

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby PTOITWCFTPP » Sun Oct 23, 2016 22:20:31

Doll Is Mine wrote:Apparently Gov Pat McCrory is upset with Trump for constantly talking about how the economy sucks in NC. :lol:

Gee Pat, what could be a negative economic factor for this state
“I don’t coach losers, I only coach winners.” Mike Krzyzewski

Tom Brady bereft on the turf, it has literally been ripped from his grasp

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 24, 2016 07:44:10

TenuredVulture wrote:
Doll Is Mine wrote:
Donald J. Trump @realDonaldTrump
The attack on Mosul is turning out to be a total disaster. We gave them months of notice. U.S. is looking so dumb. VOTE TRUMP and WIN AGAIN!

I suppose it doesn't matter that trump's account of this is entirely a fantasy.

No. Obummer himself is on the ground leading OUR troops into Mosal so he wins a third term! We keep loosing and loosing, too! LOOSERS!
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 24, 2016 07:45:52

in real news, the Peshmerga is about 5 miles away from Mosul now. ISIL keeps retreating and being removed from towns around the city.

Turkey is playing a larger role than Iraq wants. Erdogan has stated that Turkish borders were not 'willingly' accepted by Turkey. He wants a new Ottoman, it seems. This will be the big issue when ISIL falls, IMO. Turkey and the Peshmerga has on OK terms RIGHT NOW, but they won't be, and we will be between a rock and a hard place due to being aligned with both. We are closer to Turkey due to NATO, though. It will be the new shit show.

Oh, and Iraq banned alcohol.

The sooner we get out, the better. Deal with ISIL, declare victory, and hope Turkey doesn't try to claim parts of Northern Iraq.
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 24, 2016 09:19:31

Image
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Werthless » Mon Oct 24, 2016 09:21:07

Doll Is Mine wrote:Yeah, there's going to be a lot of wives secretly voting for Hillary.

Had someone knock on my door about 3 weeks ago. I answered and stepped out onto porch because my dogs are annoying to visitors. This guy asks if Suzanne is home and I let him know she was out. He asks me to hand her, essentially, a postcard, then he leaves.

The postcard shows an angry Trump with a contorted face on one side, and a smiling Clinton on the other side. We're both registered Republican, but I'm guessing that the info they have on my wife suggests she is a decent candidate for conversion. Me, on the other hand, did not warrant anything other than "Hello, please give this to your wife. Goodbye."

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby Werthless » Mon Oct 24, 2016 09:30:41

pacino wrote:Image

That graph is shocking. Didnt realize how many people believe in the net benefit of trade.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby pacino » Mon Oct 24, 2016 09:32:31

Werthless wrote:
pacino wrote:Image

That graph is shocking. Didnt realize how many people believe in the net benefit of trade.

the chart sort of tracks with the economy
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Orange is the new whack (politics)

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Mon Oct 24, 2016 09:34:03

Werthless wrote:
Doll Is Mine wrote:Yeah, there's going to be a lot of wives secretly voting for Hillary.

Had someone knock on my door about 3 weeks ago. I answered and stepped out onto porch because my dogs are annoying to visitors. This guy asks if Suzanne is home and I let him know she was out. He asks me to hand her, essentially, a postcard, then he leaves.

The postcard shows an angry Trump with a contorted face on one side, and a smiling Clinton on the other side. We're both registered Republican, but I'm guessing that the info they have on my wife suggests she is a decent candidate for conversion. Me, on the other hand, did not warrant anything other than "Hello, please give this to your wife. Goodbye."



Your white masculinity has betrayed you
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