#Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby CalvinBall » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:24:08

I haven't had cabme for about four weeks. Tonight is the first night I've been able to watch trump talk since then. Holy shit. Scarier than I remember.

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:31:17

If Trump is the nominee Toomey is so screwed.
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby Gimpy » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:33:49

CalvinBall wrote:Trump and Christie had a moment when trump was asked about running mates. Jerz must be thrilled.


That would be the most hatable, insufferable duo ever. I hope it happens.

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby pacino » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:36:00

Gimpy wrote:
CalvinBall wrote:Trump and Christie had a moment when trump was asked about running mates. Jerz must be thrilled.


That would be the most hatable, insufferable duo ever. I hope it happens.

Every stereotype of NY and NJ in one ticket
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby BigEd76 » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:37:03

Hillary gets Connecticut

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:43:47

pacino wrote:People probably realized Sestakwasn't the guy they thought he was once they heard him speak; Fetterman was.


Sounded kind of like Rubio - robotic. Didn't really care for mug chintzy either so I went fetterman
I would rather see you lose than win myself

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby CalvinBall » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:48:35

If Hillary were a man she would not get five percent of the vote

Guess who?

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:48:39

Trump is at 49% of the vote in Montco, 53% of the vote in Delco, 58% of the vote in Bucks.

Shocking, repulsive, depressing, disheartening, gah

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:54:56

At least we will be rooting against the same person in the general election jh, always wanted to do that with you.
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby drsmooth » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:55:46

jerseyhoya wrote:
JUburton wrote:guess its indiana or bust for doc smooth

Which makes his contrarian heel turn on the Kasich/Cruz situation all the more confusing


Your misinterpretations of my observations on the national embarrassment that is the republican party's 2016 nominating process have got me thoroughly confused. Help me with this.

I'd love to see drumpf brunt in Indiana, but the fantasy that Cruz would surely beat him if only Kasich had gotten out of his way long before this is... a fantasy. How is it "contrarian" to point this out?
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:57:11


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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:57:49

drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
JUburton wrote:guess its indiana or bust for doc smooth

Which makes his contrarian heel turn on the Kasich/Cruz situation all the more confusing

Your misinterpretations of my observations on the national embarrassment that is the republican party's 2016 nominating process have got me thoroughly confused. Help me with this.

I'd love to see drumpf brunt in Indiana, but the fantasy that Cruz would surely beat him if only Kasich had gotten out of his way long before this is... a fantasy. How is it "contrarian" to point this out?

If you can find me saying Cruz would surely beat him if Kasich got out, then maybe you'd have a point?

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby CalvinBall » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:58:01

jerseyhoya wrote:Trump is at 49% of the vote in Montco, 53% of the vote in Delco, 58% of the vote in Bucks.

Shocking, repulsive, depressing, disheartening, gah


Kid I used to teach is on team trump. He's worked on a bunch of R campaigns for state stuff. Always thought a good bit of him. Way off.

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:58:49

drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
JUburton wrote:guess its indiana or bust for doc smooth

Which makes his contrarian heel turn on the Kasich/Cruz situation all the more confusing


Your misinterpretations of my observations on the national embarrassment that is the republican party's 2016 nominating process have got me thoroughly confused. Help me with this.

I'd love to see drumpf brunt in Indiana, but the fantasy that Cruz would surely beat him if only Kasich had gotten out of his way long before this is... a fantasy. How is it "contrarian" to point this out?

You going to pretend that you didn't frequently say Trump could not get 1237 or...
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby The Dude » Tue Apr 26, 2016 22:59:01

CalvinBall wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Trump is at 49% of the vote in Montco, 53% of the vote in Delco, 58% of the vote in Bucks.

Shocking, repulsive, depressing, disheartening, gah


Kid I used to teach is on team trump. He's worked on a bunch of R campaigns for state stuff. Always thought a good bit of him. Way off.


Nice job
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby jerseyhoya » Tue Apr 26, 2016 23:00:49

The Nightman Cometh wrote:At least we will be rooting against the same person in the general election jh, always wanted to do that with you.

Donald Trump makes strange bedfellows, I suppose. #nevertrump till I die and whatnot.

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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby Wolfgang622 » Tue Apr 26, 2016 23:02:23

So, thinking about the general:

the game is states, not popular vote. My concern is that HRC could plausibly win the pop vote by a reasonably wide margin, as she will clean Trump's clock in liberal places like New England, Northwest, CA, and probably NY state, and still lose the electoral college. Hillary probably wins but less impressively in places with a big registration advantage like NJ, DE, & MD. And certain other states offended by Trump's brashness probably remain Dem - MN, CO, WI, maybe IA, but narrowly. I also think IL is in the bag for the Dems.

But I think Trump legit puts in play PA, OH, VA, MI, NM, and NV, and those 5 states are more than enough to swing the election. I don't see any states that could swing Dem if Trump is the nominee. If PA is the shakiest of those for Trump, fine, you can take it off the board. Demi still need to keep FL, or win both OH & MI, or both OH & VA, or both MI & VA to keep the White House.

If the Dems can keep NV & NM, then OH or MI are enough to put them over the top without FL. NV & NM and VA as blue and OH, MI, and FL to Rs results in an electoral college tie, which will result in a Trump win.

If all that matters is an "R" - no matter how loose that affiliation - as President, Trump seems to me to give them a plausible shot that, for example, Cruz would not.
Last edited by Wolfgang622 on Tue Apr 26, 2016 23:04:46, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby pacino » Tue Apr 26, 2016 23:03:20

CalvinBall wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Trump is at 49% of the vote in Montco, 53% of the vote in Delco, 58% of the vote in Bucks.

Shocking, repulsive, depressing, disheartening, gah


Kid I used to teach is on team trump. He's worked on a bunch of R campaigns for state stuff. Always thought a good bit of him. Way off.

It's really showing who people are, that's for sure
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby The Nightman Cometh » Tue Apr 26, 2016 23:03:51

Right, Mitt Romney lost PA by 7 points but Trump can win it.
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Re: #Aprilandmayprimariesmatter (politics thread)

Postby swishnicholson » Tue Apr 26, 2016 23:04:15

CalvinBall wrote:If Hillary were a man she would not get five percent of the vote

Guess who?


Well I think it's doubtful she'd only get 5% of the vote is she were a man too.
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