Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby CalvinBall » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:03:39

Christie reportedly announcing he is suspending his campaign sometime today.

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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby pacino » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:04:39

someone needs to give him a map so he can find new jersey
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:09:31

CalvinBall wrote:Christie reportedly announcing he is suspending his campaign sometime today.


looking forward to seeing him go poof tonight on Maddow
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby The Crimson Cyclone » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:12:44

Thousands of residents in Mass that wanted to register as an independent have accidentally registered for the United Independent Party and thus can only vote on that party's ballot during the primary

http://www.wbur.org/2016/02/09/galvin-m ... on-primary
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby traderdave » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:18:57

pacino wrote:someone needs to give him a map so he can find new jersey


Actually, Pacino, I think you and I agree that it would be better if he never found his way back.

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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby Stay_Disappointed » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:21:02

TomatoPie wrote:
Brantt wrote:There's two things I've loved thus far........

1. Tons of people are voting. Record turnout in both Iowa and NH. Thank you Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.

2. This is the closest to a political revolution we've ever been in my view. Two anti-establishment outsiders, completely different ideologies, massive support. I'm loving it.


I really like the idea of tossing aside the establishment. I just wish it wasn't an idiot blowhard like Trump and a farilytale Robin Hood.

I'd vote for Sanders over Trump, but both of these guys are scary in their misperceptions of the world and basic math.


What does Robin Hood not understand about the world?
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby Brantt » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:29:23

Squire wrote:The wildcard is Bloomberg but he's going to have to make a decision before he really knows whether Hillary will ultimately prevail. If its Hillary-Trump-Bloomberg, Hillary wins easily. If its Bernie-Trump-Bloomberg I think Bloomberg can actually win the Presidency.


In both of those scenarios, Trump wins easily.

He's dying for Bloomberg to jump in.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby SK790 » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:32:33

Brantt wrote:
Squire wrote:The wildcard is Bloomberg but he's going to have to make a decision before he really knows whether Hillary will ultimately prevail. If its Hillary-Trump-Bloomberg, Hillary wins easily. If its Bernie-Trump-Bloomberg I think Bloomberg can actually win the Presidency.


In both of those scenarios, Trump wins easily.

He's dying for Bloomberg to jump in.

Wow
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby TomatoPie » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:40:37

Warszawa wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:
Brantt wrote:There's two things I've loved thus far........

1. Tons of people are voting. Record turnout in both Iowa and NH. Thank you Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.

2. This is the closest to a political revolution we've ever been in my view. Two anti-establishment outsiders, completely different ideologies, massive support. I'm loving it.


I really like the idea of tossing aside the establishment. I just wish it wasn't an idiot blowhard like Trump and a farilytale Robin Hood.

I'd vote for Sanders over Trump, but both of these guys are scary in their misperceptions of the world and basic math.


What does Robin Hood not understand about the world?


Like Trump, he correctly senses that the game is rigged. And that needs fixin'.

But his policies are laughable; anyone with an 8th grade education can see how his health care approach would balloon the costs.

Free College for Everyone is nice. You get a diploma! YOU get a dilpoma! EVERYBODY gets a diploma. But of course it's wrong-headed to think that we should focus on college for all when our public schools are failing in K-12. It's not like there's a huge supply of academically qualified people who are denied college because it costs too much. If we ever have that happy problem, then let's talk about free college. And, of course - college costs so much for the same reason that health care costs keep spiraling - the influx of government monies distorts rational market behavior. Throwing money at it is like throwing gasoline on a fire. Government money (which we don't have) is not the solution - it's the problem.

Maggie Thatcher said it best. It's not glib to say and understand that the problem with socialism is that you run out of other peoples' money. Nothing is "Free" -- free (to Bernie supporters) just means somebody else pays for it.

The fundamental issue with socialism is that it penalizes productive behavior and it rewards sloth. It moves people from being contributors to being takers. It's caused poverty and misery every where it's been tried. It works better and lasts longer in smaller, homogenous societies like Northern Europe, but the bills are coming due there. And the ugly nationalism as they turn away immigrants that they can't afford to enroll in their social programs.

Bernie's heart is in the right place, no question. But bread and circuses can't lead to prosperity.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby SK790 » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:42:42

TomatoPie wrote:
Warszawa wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:
Brantt wrote:There's two things I've loved thus far........

1. Tons of people are voting. Record turnout in both Iowa and NH. Thank you Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump.

2. This is the closest to a political revolution we've ever been in my view. Two anti-establishment outsiders, completely different ideologies, massive support. I'm loving it.


I really like the idea of tossing aside the establishment. I just wish it wasn't an idiot blowhard like Trump and a farilytale Robin Hood.

I'd vote for Sanders over Trump, but both of these guys are scary in their misperceptions of the world and basic math.


What does Robin Hood not understand about the world?


Like Trump, he correctly senses that the game is rigged. And that needs fixin'.

But his policies are laughable; anyone with an 8th grade education can see how his health care approach would balloon the costs.

Free College for Everyone is nice. You get a diploma! YOU get a dilpoma! EVERYBODY gets a diploma. But of course it's wrong-headed to think that we should focus on college for all when our public schools are failing in K-12. It's not like there's a huge supply of academically qualified people who are denied college because it costs too much. If we ever have that happy problem, then let's talk about free college. And, of course - college costs so much for the same reason that health care costs keep spiraling - the influx of government monies distorts rational market behavior. Throwing money at it is like throwing gasoline on a fire. Government money (which we don't have) is not the solution - it's the problem.

Maggie Thatcher said it best. It's not glib to say and understand that the problem with socialism is that you run out of other peoples' money. Nothing is "Free" -- free (to Bernie supporters) just means somebody else pays for it.

The fundamental issue with socialism is that it penalizes productive behavior and it rewards sloth. It moves people from being contributors to being takers. It's caused poverty and misery every where it's been tried. It works better and lasts longer in smaller, homogenous societies like Northern Europe, but the bills are coming due there. And the ugly nationalism as they turn away immigrants that they can't afford to enroll in their social programs.

Bernie's heart is in the right place, no question. But bread and circuses can't lead to prosperity.

my brain just exploded.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby Brantt » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:52:00

SK790 wrote:
Brantt wrote:
Squire wrote:The wildcard is Bloomberg but he's going to have to make a decision before he really knows whether Hillary will ultimately prevail. If its Hillary-Trump-Bloomberg, Hillary wins easily. If its Bernie-Trump-Bloomberg I think Bloomberg can actually win the Presidency.


In both of those scenarios, Trump wins easily.

He's dying for Bloomberg to jump in.

Wow


Let's see......

-Pro-abortion
-Anti-gun
-Major anti-global warming advocate
-Pro-amnesty for illegals

And oh yeah, he tried to pass laws to tell people ho much soda they were allowed to drink (dumb, but will play).

Whose voters do you think he will have better standing with?

He's Nader in terms of election impact on steroids.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby drsmooth » Wed Feb 10, 2016 12:53:19

Squire wrote:For what its worth I think Brant's analysis of how it plays out now on the R side is correct. Bush won't go away because of money. Rubio is really wounded because Christie took him out and Kasich isn't polling well in the next series of states. Unless the other establishment guys bow out soon its Trump v. Cruz for a while.


"for a while", until Rs face the inconvenient fact that either has all the electibility of Goldwater, and none of that candidate's charm
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby Brantt » Wed Feb 10, 2016 13:06:20

I wonder if Christie will endorse Trump?

They are tight and apparently talked for a while last night. Can't see any way the AG spot isn't on the table in exchange for an endorsement.

The endorsement wouldn't mean much, but having him as an attack dog surrogate would be helpful.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby drsmooth » Wed Feb 10, 2016 13:14:56

TomatoPie wrote:But his policies are laughable; anyone with an 8th grade education can see how his health care approach would balloon the costs.


You only need a 5th grade education to understand that a) the costs involved are what they are/will be what they will be; what you can affect is their financing and b) neither Bernie nor you have a tenth of the information on the table that you need to even begin this assessment.

But please do carry on with your preconceived notions
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby thephan » Wed Feb 10, 2016 13:16:15

Brantt wrote:-Pro-abortion


Lets drop this term immediately. No one is pro-abortion except genocidal maniacs. It is like saying people who favor gun rights are pro-murder. So I find this just unnecessary.
yawn

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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby drsmooth » Wed Feb 10, 2016 13:18:34

TomatoPie wrote:The fundamental issue with socialism is that it penalizes productive behavior and it rewards sloth. It moves people from being contributors to being takers. It's caused poverty and misery every where it's been tried.


You're confusing socialism with soviet-style communism. The socialism that's been installed for decades in leading western european and scandinavian nations has done ok, sometimes better, sometimes worse. Sort of like our corporate capitalism. What's fucking those models and probably others is, or will be, trends in wealth concentration.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby Brantt » Wed Feb 10, 2016 13:38:40

thephan wrote:
Brantt wrote:-Pro-abortion


Lets drop this term immediately. No one is pro-abortion except genocidal maniacs. It is like saying people who favor gun rights are pro-murder. So I find this just unnecessary.


Semantics......but you are right.
Last edited by Brantt on Wed Feb 10, 2016 13:39:15, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby TomatoPie » Wed Feb 10, 2016 13:39:13

drsmooth wrote:
TomatoPie wrote:The fundamental issue with socialism is that it penalizes productive behavior and it rewards sloth. It moves people from being contributors to being takers. It's caused poverty and misery every where it's been tried.


You're confusing socialism with soviet-style communism. The socialism that's been installed for decades in leading western european and scandinavian nations has done ok, sometimes better, sometimes worse. Sort of like our corporate capitalism. What's #$!&@ those models and probably others is, or will be, trends in wealth concentration.


It's a scale from "Scandinavian socialism" to full-on Soviet. And we shouldn't want to move to the left end of the scale from our current position, even if the palest Europeans aren't yet as fooked as North Korea.

We do have a real problem with American capitalism and how money buys political influence. That needs fixing. Not sure what that is, but it's not as simple as campaign finance reform.
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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby CalvinBall » Wed Feb 10, 2016 14:12:15

Trump is the most dangerous major candidate for president in memory. He pairs terrible ideas with an alarming temperament; he's a racist, a sexist, and a demagogue, but he's also a narcissist, a bully, and a dilettante. He lies so constantly and so fluently that it's hard to know if he even realizes he's lying. He delights in schoolyard taunts and luxuriates in backlash.



http://www.vox.com/2016/2/10/10956978/d ... terrifying

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Re: Primary Cholers, or the Caucusin' Chat Circle (Politics)

Postby Doll Is Mine » Wed Feb 10, 2016 14:45:35

pacino wrote:it's fairly inevitable. Nate Silver has been predicting it for months, but for some reason we are ignoring him this year because he's telling us something we don't want to hear (much like the 2014 Senate results where he predicted a big Republican swing).

edit: I'm not saying anything against Bernie with the above. I like Bernie. It's just facts.


I wouldn't discourage what Bernie is doing right now simply because he's energizing a good portion of the Democrats, who hopefully he can convince to come out and vote for Hillary in November.

There's a lot of energy and excitement right now and it's not because of Hillary. I wouldn't underestimate the amount of first time voters who are registering for the first time thru this process because of Bernie.

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