Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! politics

Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby CalvinBall » Wed Aug 05, 2015 12:34:44

did you pay attention to the last republican primary?

also, do you think "voters" will even watch the debate on thursday?

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby CalvinBall » Wed Aug 05, 2015 12:38:50

heck, maybe it is a blessing in disguise not having to be on stage with trump.

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby pacino » Wed Aug 05, 2015 12:42:14

debates were already taking place in May 2011. What was thought to be a 'major' candidate withdrew mid August due to a poor showing in them and the corresponding Ames Straw Poll. The GOP has since discontinued the Straw Poll and curbed the amount of debates in order to try and squash dissent among the ranks.

Herman Cain withdrew prior to the first vote but had gained traction via debates, Rick Perry saw his rise and fall prior to any voting, Gary Johnson largely was not allowed to debate and thus gained no traction.

I think you misremember things.

if you are not in the debates, you have no chance.
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby Soren » Wed Aug 05, 2015 13:06:54

pacino wrote:Rick Perry saw his rise and fall

Olivia Meadows, your "emotional poltergeist"

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby Bucky » Wed Aug 05, 2015 13:10:24

Monkeyboy wrote:You can announce a running mate before the convention - see reagan from earlier in the thread.



has anyone actually done that before the primaries though? And has a convention ever picked a candidate who didn't win the primary?

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Aug 05, 2015 13:49:20

pacino wrote:FWIW, there was a debate outside the official GOP circuit in New Hampshire that had little to no problem hosting all who managed to come (14 of them).
what a joke this entire thing is

It wasn't a debate, it was a forum. Each candidate was on stage alone. There was no back and forth. 10 is probably too many for a debate. 14 or 17 would be total nonsense.

pacino wrote:it would appear the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll was the 5th most recent...they DIDN'T go by their own rules. They used a Quinnipiac, which was 6. This means Rick Perry was out and Kasich was in; Perry and Kasich would've statistically tied if they actually went by their own rules. FWIW, the debate is held in Ohio, where Kasich is governor. He also was formerly employed by them.

They've ended Perry's political career. Sure, he would've probably done it on his own in the debates, but now he doesn't have a chance.
LOL. Why have the criteria if you don't follow it? They retroactively disqualified the NBC/WSJ poll due to the order/title in which the poll asked respondents the options.

They did go by their own rules. The NBC/WSJ poll did not list the candidates when asking the vote question, the other five did. Even if they had included the NBC/WSJ poll, the participants would have been the same. The RCP average, which just has the last five, has Kasich at 2.8% and Perry at 2.0%.

They haven't ended Perry's political career both because their choice of polls to include did not eliminate him and because I'm not sure it's a big deal to miss out on this debate. Not being in this debate doesn't prevent him from being in future ones. If he does well in the earlier debate, he'll get positive media coverage out of it that will help his campaign out. There will also be plenty of people who watch the undercard, and a much higher percentage of them will actually be GOP primary voters. There'll be a ton more people watching the nightcap, but Rick Perry doesn't need to impress the average liberal BSGer tuning in for the Trump lolz.

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby TomatoPie » Wed Aug 05, 2015 14:08:21

pacino wrote:i doubt she'd run with Biden. they have different philosophies in regards to finance


I think there is a pretty long history of Pres and VP not seeing eye to eye on major issues. Balancing the ticket is #1 concern. Hell, JKF-LBJ.
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby CalvinBall » Wed Aug 05, 2015 14:28:15

yeah dont think john hoynes and barlet ever got along.

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby TenuredVulture » Wed Aug 05, 2015 16:22:40

I've figured it out--Donald Trump is a performance artist. It's the only possible explanation, other than that he's totally in the bag for Hillary.
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Aug 05, 2015 16:46:25

TenuredVulture wrote:I've figured it out--Donald Trump is a performance artist. It's the only possible explanation, other than that he's totally in the bag for Hillary.

Bill Clinton called Trump ahead of his 2016 launch - from the Post this afternoon

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby pacino » Wed Aug 05, 2015 17:24:36

jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:FWIW, there was a debate outside the official GOP circuit in New Hampshire that had little to no problem hosting all who managed to come (14 of them).
what a joke this entire thing is

It wasn't a debate, it was a forum. Each candidate was on stage alone. There was no back and forth. 10 is probably too many for a debate. 14 or 17 would be total nonsense.

pacino wrote:it would appear the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll was the 5th most recent...they DIDN'T go by their own rules. They used a Quinnipiac, which was 6. This means Rick Perry was out and Kasich was in; Perry and Kasich would've statistically tied if they actually went by their own rules. FWIW, the debate is held in Ohio, where Kasich is governor. He also was formerly employed by them.

They've ended Perry's political career. Sure, he would've probably done it on his own in the debates, but now he doesn't have a chance.
LOL. Why have the criteria if you don't follow it? They retroactively disqualified the NBC/WSJ poll due to the order/title in which the poll asked respondents the options.

They did go by their own rules. The NBC/WSJ poll did not list the candidates when asking the vote question, the other five did. Even if they had included the NBC/WSJ poll, the participants would have been the same. The RCP average, which just has the last five, has Kasich at 2.8% and Perry at 2.0%.

They haven't ended Perry's political career both because their choice of polls to include did not eliminate him and because I'm not sure it's a big deal to miss out on this debate. Not being in this debate doesn't prevent him from being in future ones. If he does well in the earlier debate, he'll get positive media coverage out of it that will help his campaign out. There will also be plenty of people who watch the undercard, and a much higher percentage of them will actually be GOP primary voters. There'll be a ton more people watching the nightcap, but Rick Perry doesn't need to impress the average liberal BSGer tuning in for the Trump lolz.

there is no world where there will be more liberals watching that debate than conservatives and no world where more conservatives watch the first one in comparison to the second one

this won't be a 'real' debate either; none of them will be. that's just what we call them, though.

those numbers are within every margin of error; there is no reason to have Kasich in and Perry out except they decided to.

10 is probably too many for a debate. 14 or 17 would be total nonsense.

the total nonsense part is the amount of people running for president, period. if everyone is worthy, no one is. but if these people are all running and are all fairly close to one another, there's no reason to leave some of them out of these early debates.
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby Wolfgang622 » Wed Aug 05, 2015 17:53:55

pacino wrote:maybe lots of people like Bush, but I've yet to meet one. i'm sure jh knows more about his appeal. his appeal seems to be what nightman says, MONEY. He can throw money from helicopters and blanket everyone with it. What a country.

I've said I think Walker wins.


Agree with all of this.
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby Wolfgang622 » Wed Aug 05, 2015 17:56:10

pacino wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:FWIW, there was a debate outside the official GOP circuit in New Hampshire that had little to no problem hosting all who managed to come (14 of them).
what a joke this entire thing is

It wasn't a debate, it was a forum. Each candidate was on stage alone. There was no back and forth. 10 is probably too many for a debate. 14 or 17 would be total nonsense.

pacino wrote:it would appear the NBC/Wall Street Journal poll was the 5th most recent...they DIDN'T go by their own rules. They used a Quinnipiac, which was 6. This means Rick Perry was out and Kasich was in; Perry and Kasich would've statistically tied if they actually went by their own rules. FWIW, the debate is held in Ohio, where Kasich is governor. He also was formerly employed by them.

They've ended Perry's political career. Sure, he would've probably done it on his own in the debates, but now he doesn't have a chance.
LOL. Why have the criteria if you don't follow it? They retroactively disqualified the NBC/WSJ poll due to the order/title in which the poll asked respondents the options.

They did go by their own rules. The NBC/WSJ poll did not list the candidates when asking the vote question, the other five did. Even if they had included the NBC/WSJ poll, the participants would have been the same. The RCP average, which just has the last five, has Kasich at 2.8% and Perry at 2.0%.

They haven't ended Perry's political career both because their choice of polls to include did not eliminate him and because I'm not sure it's a big deal to miss out on this debate. Not being in this debate doesn't prevent him from being in future ones. If he does well in the earlier debate, he'll get positive media coverage out of it that will help his campaign out. There will also be plenty of people who watch the undercard, and a much higher percentage of them will actually be GOP primary voters. There'll be a ton more people watching the nightcap, but Rick Perry doesn't need to impress the average liberal BSGer tuning in for the Trump lolz.

there is no world where there will be more liberals watching that debate than conservatives and no world where more conservatives watch the first one in comparison to the second one

this won't be a 'real' debate either; none of them will be. that's just what we call them, though.

those numbers are within every margin of error; there is no reason to have Kasich in and Perry out except they decided to.

10 is probably too many for a debate. 14 or 17 would be total nonsense.

the total nonsense part is the amount of people running for president, period. if everyone is worthy, no one is. but if these people are all running and are all fairly close to one another, there's no reason to leave some of them out of these early debates.


I think Rick Perry should sue FOX News, just to increase the fun of this whole thing.

FOX would have been better off having some kind of a lottery and randomly assigning candidates to one of two prime time debates. The way "debates" are run in this country is in any event corrupt as all bloody hell.
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby pacino » Wed Aug 05, 2015 18:01:34

they way we run elections is the most messed up of all, IMO
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Aug 05, 2015 18:13:48

pacino wrote:there is no world where there will be more liberals watching that debate than conservatives and no world where more conservatives watch the first one in comparison to the second one

There won't be more liberals watching the debate than conservatives maybe, but there seems to be a lot of excitement at least among liberal people I know to hate watch the thing. The first debate will have a significantly smaller viewing audience, both in total numbers and in potential GOP primary voters, but the gap won't be nearly as large in the latter than the former.

pacino wrote:this won't be a 'real' debate either; none of them will be. that's just what we call them, though.

This will be what we call a debate. There will be moderators and questions asked of each candidate, and time given for rebuttals if one candidate mentions another candidate in their answer. The other event featured one candidate at a time on stage, so that is not what we call a debate. If you're putting one candidate on the stage at a time, it matters less how many of them there are. When you point out that they had little to no problem hosting the 14 candidates in the forum, it's a useless comparison to how well it would work with that many candidates on a debate stage.

pacino wrote:those numbers are within every margin of error; there is no reason to have Kasich in and Perry out except they decided to.

The reason to have Kasich in and Perry out is Kasich is ahead of Perry on the metric they announced they would use to determine the top 10. The size of the combined sample makes it quite likely that Kasich is actually ahead of Perry at this snapshot in time among self described Republicans and GOP leaners.

pacino wrote:
10 is probably too many for a debate. 14 or 17 would be total nonsense.

the total nonsense part is the amount of people running for president, period. if everyone is worthy, no one is. but if these people are all running and are all fairly close to one another, there's no reason to leave some of them out of these early debates.

I don't understand the 'if everyone is worthy, no one is' bit. They had a definition that you had to clear to get included in the B debate - that you had to be consistently included in national polls. There are 100+ people filed running for the GOP nomination, so you have to draw a line somewhere, and 17 made it over that first hurdle. A debate with 17 people on stage would have to last 3-4 hours to get everyone more than a question or two and to allow any sort of interaction/rebuttals. They had to leave some people out. I would've preferred if Fox just randomly drew the field into 2-3 debate groups and had the debates on consecutive nights, but splitting the field to include the most prominent/popular candidates in the main debate makes some sense as well. I think the national polls are close to useless at this point because they're asking a lot of people who a) aren't paying attention and b) will never vote in a GOP primary, but a rough effort at getting the main people all up on the same stage isn't the worst thing in the world.

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby drsmooth » Wed Aug 05, 2015 18:27:03

I'm skeptical our resident Republican party water carrier is genuinely enthused about the way the party has essentially allowed a cable channel to dilute its 'brand's' role in the presidential selection process to the point of irrelevance.

However, if you're cynical enough to believe that the powers (maybe as descriptively, the monies) behind the Republican machine are acquiring just what they intend from this national embarrassment - that is, the diminution of the Chief Executive's office in the 'business' of the Republic - you might just smirk and allow as to how it's all just part of the plan
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby pacino » Thu Aug 06, 2015 08:31:43

thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby The Crimson Cyclone » Thu Aug 06, 2015 08:47:43

love how politicians can claim ignorance in such cases and go unpunished.
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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby pacino » Thu Aug 06, 2015 08:54:36

now this is interesting:
“Liberty University was kind enough to invite me to address a convocation and I decided to accept,” Mr. Sanders said in a statement his spokesman provided. “It goes without saying that my views on many issues — women’s rights, gay rights, education and many other issues — are very different from the opinions of some in the Liberty University community. I think it is important, however, to see if we can reach consensus regarding the grotesque level of income and wealth inequality in our country, about the collapse of the middle class, about the high level of childhood poverty, about climate change and other issues.”

He added: “It is very easy for a candidate to speak to people who hold the same views. It’s harder but important to reach out to others who look at the world differently. I look forward to meeting with the students and faculty of Liberty University.”
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Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: Trump problem? Combover here and say it to my face! poli

Unread postby CalvinBall » Thu Aug 06, 2015 09:13:37

thats cool. hope it is a positive for both sanders and the school.

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