19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!)

Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby CalvinBall » Wed Jul 01, 2015 09:56:57

pacino wrote:Jesse Watters poor-shamed some homeless people on FOX News. It's really a vile segment.


http://insider.foxnews.com/2015/06/29/j ... nn-station

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby CalvinBall » Wed Jul 01, 2015 10:00:05

yo holy shit

"whats your favorite drink?"

this guy pretty heartless. he is so robotic asking these questions.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby pacino » Wed Jul 01, 2015 10:01:29

making fun of people with obvious problems. Comedy, as we all know, is about punching down

also, these homeless people have medical insurance! and WE are paying for that!
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Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby CalvinBall » Wed Jul 01, 2015 10:07:58

all the mayors fault as well

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jul 01, 2015 11:49:56

drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:I think his chances are closer to zero percent than two. He's spent his life outside the Democratic Party, and while he does seem to have achieved a decent, committed following, he's got basically no chance of ever being the nominee.

well, if we're gonna apply smarty-pants reality criteria to candidates, allow me to inform you that there's another political party in the United States for whose POTUS nomination close to a dozen already declared candidates have real odds comparable to those you're assigning Comrade Sanders.

Lawrence O'Donnell is often insufferable, especially when he's right, but he gleefully strafed the Republican clown bus last night, along with several stuffed talking tv heads on his own network attempting to give credence to so many faux campaigns

Most of the GOP campaigns (Trump excepted) are not faux campaigns. Neither is Sanders'. They just don't have much of a chance to win.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jul 01, 2015 12:08:50

pacino wrote:no voter i know is even thinking about o'malley. he's a nothing.

He's a Democrat, and he's someone who has a decent chance at holding the White House in the general election. Bernie Sanders is neither of those things.

If something were to happen to Hillary politically or health wise that forced her from the race and Biden wasn't running, O'Malley would be the recipient of a tidal wave of official party support from elected officials and major donors and regular Democratic voters.

Hillary is overwhelmingly likely to be the nominee, but if she isn't it's a lot easier for me to envision O'Malley winning than Sanders.

You all are Democratic primary voters, and I'm not, so I could be off on this. I'd be willing to bet money on O'Malley over Sanders though.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby TenuredVulture » Wed Jul 01, 2015 12:11:13

Kinda think Bernie's function is to either shift the conversation ever so slightly leftward, or make Hillary seem moderate to general election voters.
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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby Soren » Wed Jul 01, 2015 12:30:31

jh, I'm voting for Sanders in the primary even knowing he has close to 0% likelihood of getting the nomination and is even less likely to be POTUS.

TenuredVulture wrote:Kinda think Bernie's function is to either shift the conversation ever so slightly leftward, or make Hillary seem moderate to general election voters.


Sanders wants to remind people what Liberalism actually looks like. If you're a Democrat, you're hoping he sticks around long enough to make Hillary look more centrist and/or force her to answer tough questions.
Olivia Meadows, your "emotional poltergeist"

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby drsmooth » Wed Jul 01, 2015 12:41:55

jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:no voter i know is even thinking about o'malley. he's a nothing.

He's a Democrat, and he's someone who has a decent chance at holding the White House in the general election. Bernie Sanders is neither of those things.

If something were to happen to Hillary politically or health wise that forced her from the race and Biden wasn't running, O'Malley would be the recipient of a tidal wave of official party support from elected officials and major donors and regular Democratic voters.

Hillary is overwhelmingly likely to be the nominee, but if she isn't it's a lot easier for me to envision O'Malley winning than Sanders.

You all are Democratic primary voters, and I'm not, so I could be off on this. I'd be willing to bet money on O'Malley over Sanders though.


I won't get the opportunity to cast a meaningful vote for Bernie. That's too bad. He says a lot of things a lot of people need to pay a lot of attention to - a lot more than they routinely do right now.

Yeah, I'm looking at you, but I'm looking at a lot of people. The horse race fetish merely abets the Kochsuckers
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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby SK790 » Wed Jul 01, 2015 13:16:09

Werthless wrote:
Gimpy wrote:I think Bernie has more than a 1% chance at getting the democratic nomination.

He is the Ron Paul equivalent. Even if he gets a lot of voters excited and expressing support, there is no way he can get the kind of institutional support to actually win.

I'm surprised how many people are actually excited about him running. He'll have no support from the party, but I think he makes the first few primaries interesting, which is way more than I thought he'd do when he announced running.
I like teh waether

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby SK790 » Wed Jul 01, 2015 13:21:21

My poor two job working ass donated money to Bernie and I signed up to help do some canvassing once every other week. I'm IN.
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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jul 01, 2015 13:21:54

drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:
pacino wrote:no voter i know is even thinking about o'malley. he's a nothing.

He's a Democrat, and he's someone who has a decent chance at holding the White House in the general election. Bernie Sanders is neither of those things.

If something were to happen to Hillary politically or health wise that forced her from the race and Biden wasn't running, O'Malley would be the recipient of a tidal wave of official party support from elected officials and major donors and regular Democratic voters.

Hillary is overwhelmingly likely to be the nominee, but if she isn't it's a lot easier for me to envision O'Malley winning than Sanders.

You all are Democratic primary voters, and I'm not, so I could be off on this. I'd be willing to bet money on O'Malley over Sanders though.


I won't get the opportunity to cast a meaningful vote for Bernie. That's too bad. He says a lot of things a lot of people need to pay a lot of attention to - a lot more than they routinely do right now.

Yeah, I'm looking at you, but I'm looking at a lot of people. The horse race fetish merely abets the Kochsuckers

Personally I find the horse race pretty fascinating on both sides this cycle. You have one party where there's a historically strong non-incumbent, who I as an outsider cannot for all the world understand why more plausible nominees are not challenging her. Then on the other side you have a wide open race in spite of the legacy candidate running/raising gobs of money. I don't think speculating about it on a Phillies message board is abetting anyone.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby SK790 » Wed Jul 01, 2015 13:25:36

O'Malley has no fucking chance, btw. Nobody knows who the fuck he is and he's like a watered down Bernie.
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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jul 01, 2015 13:25:46

Soren wrote:jh, I'm voting for Sanders in the primary even knowing he has close to 0% likelihood of getting the nomination and is even less likely to be POTUS.

There's nothing wrong with supporting a candidate who appeals to you even if it's probably a lost cause. As a Republican who has only been registered to vote in New Jersey and Washington DC I have a lot of practice at going to vote for people I know have a 0% chance of winning. I think the Ron Paul comparison is in a lot of ways a positive one for Sanders supporters because the GOP has taken a lot of his ideas more seriously in the past 6 years after his two runs because he was able to demonstrate a committed core of supporters and/or persuade other Republicans on the merits of his ideas.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby The Nightman Cometh » Wed Jul 01, 2015 14:25:20

Agree with JH 100% on O'Malley.

The biggest issue I have with democrats is the indifference we feel towards centrist or moderate democratic candidates. We weaken them as candidates with our indifference (tangibly effects voter turnout) and then when we lose are appalled at Republican policies that never would have passed under a democratic moderate.

We also ignore the fact that even if Bernie Sanders were president in 2009/2010, we literally could not have passed a HCR bill that was more liberal. There becomes a point where it doesn't matter how many points to the left you are more liberal than Clinton or Obama because you won't be able to pass your agenda.
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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby drsmooth » Wed Jul 01, 2015 14:27:35

jerseyhoya wrote:Personally I find the horse race pretty fascinating on both sides this cycle. You have one party where there's a historically strong non-incumbent, who I as an outsider cannot for all the world understand why more plausible nominees are not challenging her. Then on the other side you have a wide open race in spite of the legacy candidate running/raising gobs of money. I don't think speculating about it on a Phillies message board is abetting anyone.



sigh

I didn't say never indulge fetishes - heaven forfend

and I didn't say you're the only one on the planet who does such things

In fact I believe I left the door wide open for you, and maybe TV, to remind me why it's a better, smarter, sweeter-smelling bicameral democracy when parties are strong and the cigars are smoked in back rooms, etc.

Instead, I get defensive whining?

what is it with the thin skin on reactionaries
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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jul 01, 2015 15:45:59

drsmooth wrote:
jerseyhoya wrote:Personally I find the horse race pretty fascinating on both sides this cycle. You have one party where there's a historically strong non-incumbent, who I as an outsider cannot for all the world understand why more plausible nominees are not challenging her. Then on the other side you have a wide open race in spite of the legacy candidate running/raising gobs of money. I don't think speculating about it on a Phillies message board is abetting anyone.



sigh

I didn't say never indulge fetishes - heaven forfend

and I didn't say you're the only one on the planet who does such things

In fact I believe I left the door wide open for you, and maybe TV, to remind me why it's a better, smarter, sweeter-smelling bicameral democracy when parties are strong and the cigars are smoked in back rooms, etc.

Instead, I get defensive whining?

what is it with the thin skin on reactionaries

You said my 'fetish' abets the 'Kochsuckers.' Then you wonder why there's defensive pushback? Really?

You use weird, personal insults more than anyone else in this thread by a considerable margin. You could try posting like a normal person.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby jerseyhoya » Wed Jul 01, 2015 15:48:30

SK790 wrote:O'Malley has no fucking chance, btw. Nobody knows who the fuck he is and he's like a watered down Bernie.

I'll give it another swing using a few more words. O'Malley has very little chance (I have him at 2% to Bernie's 1%), but he is the type of person that wins presidential nominations for major parties. He is a two term governor with a record that he can point to that appeals to Democratic primary voters. He isn't plagued by a major scandal. He is perhaps a bit liberal as a general election candidate, but he is certainly within the realm of electable. He is the only person in the Democratic field who is the type of candidate who tends to win a major party nomination other than Hillary Clinton. As things stand with Hillary in a dominant position, O'Malley has no chance to break through. If something were to happen that made Hillary's run no longer viable, O'Malley would be in good position to attract the support of people currently backing her (electeds, donors, Dem Party interest groups, voters). At some point you have to be in it to win it, and unless Biden enters the race, O'Malley is The Guy who would be available to the party if Hillary suffers a political or personal catastrophe.

Bernie Sanders is very likely to win more votes than O'Malley, more delegates than O'Malley, more states than O'Malley (if either manage to win any), etc. But he's less likely to win the nomination because he's not the type of candidate who wins the nod of a major party.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby pacino » Wed Jul 01, 2015 16:08:14

Image
thephan wrote:pacino's posting is one of the more important things revealed in weeks.

Calvinball wrote:Pacino was right.

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Re: 19 Republican primary candidates and counting (politics!

Unread postby thephan » Wed Jul 01, 2015 20:18:43

:ce:
SK790 wrote:O'Malley has no #$!&@ chance, btw. Nobody knows who the #$!&@ he is and he's like a watered down Bernie.


OMalley could do for the nation what he did for Bmore, cook the books and bring back cronyism to the Whitehouse. So, NO.

I don't vote in primaries as an independent, even though I could vote in both because they are open, I just think that representation/misrepresentation is inappropriate.
yawn

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