Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby TomatoPie » Sun Dec 07, 2014 11:57:41

Monkeyboy wrote: They are moving very quickly to transfer their fossil fuel use to alternative technologies.


Here is where you miss the mark.

They have more alternative energy than the US - but once again, Billy Preston. It's not significant nor scalable. Hydro electric is great, dammit. But once you've tapped the mighty Columbia, you ain't gonna get the same result out of the Poquessing. They've spent more energy building wind farms than harvesting wind power and dead birds. Solar has been a pipe dream since the 70s.

I believe in a renewable alternative energy future, yes. The technology for such has yet to be found. And it will make sense only when it's cheaper than fossil fuels. And no government can mandate that, not even the brilliant and mighty authoritarians of China.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Werthless » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:08:43

If you're worried about the environment, shouldn't you be measuring success by measuring fossil fuel usage? It shouldn't matter greatly whether fossil fuel decreases are caused by more efficient gas engines or migration to alternative energy. It's very difficult to paint China as a model country, given that China's usage of fossil fuels is surging more than any other country. (I'm not saying that the US is the model, either.) China is basically where we were XX years ago. China's coal boom over the last 10 years -- which is probably coming to an end -- is both evidence of its stage of economic development (high on the growth curve) and how much they care about the environment (not as much as they care about economic growth).

There is a reason that China's wealthy are leaving the big cities and living abroad, and it's not for the theater options available in other countries.

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Monkeyboy » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:22:06

Werthless wrote:If you're worried about the environment, shouldn't you be measuring success by measuring fossil fuel usage? It shouldn't matter greatly whether fossil fuel decreases are caused by more efficient gas engines or migration to alternative energy. It's very difficult to paint China as a model country, given that China's usage of fossil fuels is surging more than any other country. (I'm not saying that the US is the model, either.) China is basically where we were XX years ago. China's coal boom over the last 10 years -- which is probably coming to an end -- is both evidence of its stage of economic development (high on the growth curve) and how much they care about the environment (not as much as they care about economic growth).

There is a reason that China's wealthy are leaving the big cities and living abroad, and it's not for the theater options available in other countries.



Of course success needs to be measured that way, but that's not the only way it should be measured. If you continuously move your % of energy use towards alternative energies, eventually the overall usage numbers will come down.That's math, man.

I never said China should be held as some model. I'm saying the move they're making is quick and decisive and it will pay long term dividends. I don't see the US making a move like that because the energy industry is too entrenched in our government.

I don't think they appreciated how much and how fast their growing economy would lead to such bad environmental outcomes. What is happening there is unprecedented economically and environmentally. They also have horrible Indian pollution to contend with and the effects of climate change are already very real there. They got it coming from several different sources. That's not to defend what they've done, but I hardly believe anything different would have happened in the US under similar circumstances. If we have a billion people and a nation to our west billowing coal emissions into the sky and climate change happening at the time of our economic boom, I doubt we would have fared much better.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:23:20

jerseyhoya wrote:Five incumbent Dem senators in one cycle is really crazy.


2026 gonna give your nipples such whiplash
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:28:31

TomatoPie wrote:
drsmooth wrote:
Wikipedia, citing Nature wrote:In 2013, China led the world in renewable energy production, with a total capacity of 378 GW, mainly from hydroelectric and wind power. As of 2014, China leads the world in the production and use of wind power, solar photovoltaic power and smart grid technologies, generating almost as much water, wind and solar energy as all of France and Germany's power plants combined. China’s renewable energy sector is growing faster than its fossil fuels and nuclear power capacity. Since 2005, production of solar cells in China has expanded 100-fold. As Chinese renewable manufacturing has grown, the costs of renewable energy technologies have dropped dramatically. Innovation has helped, but the main driver of reduced costs has been market expansion. [1]


TP, so confused

of course Nature may as well be Pravda



China's tiny use of renewable energy is dwarfed by its consumption of fossil fuels. Visit Beijing, where the sky is always gray except for the first 12 hours after a rainfall. Visit Xian, where the sky is yellow and acrid.

You may wave your pompoms over China's 100 fold increase in solar cells, but you know what Billy Preston would say about that. It's not even a token share of their energy.



You DO understand that things people do, do change, and that people can find evidence of that kind of change happening.

I mean it's a basic concept we apparently need to get clear on
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Monkeyboy » Sun Dec 07, 2014 12:30:30

TomatoPie wrote:
They have more alternative energy than the US - but once again, Billy Preston. It's not significant nor scalable. Hydro electric is great, dammit. But once you've tapped the mighty Columbia, you ain't gonna get the same result out of the Poquessing. They've spent more energy building wind farms than harvesting wind power and dead birds. Solar has been a pipe dream since the 70s.
.


Interesting collection of Club for Growth billboard messages. What does significant or scalable mean exactly? They are increasing their alternative energy use quickly and significantly. The will be at the forefront of any new technologies because they are shoveling money and effort into development and their science education is excellent. As those new technologies are developed, they will be poised with the infrastructure to institute it. They have their problems, for sure, but they are in far better shape to move away from fossil fuels than we are.


TomatoPie wrote:
I believe in a renewable alternative energy future, yes. The technology for such has yet to be found. And it will make sense only when it's cheaper than fossil fuels. And no government can mandate that, not even the brilliant and mighty authoritarians of China.


On a related note, I visited a fusion development center here in switzerland. It will be a while, unfortunately.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Phan In Phlorida » Sun Dec 07, 2014 21:04:52

Is this a truck commercial?

▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ஜ۩۞۩ஜ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby TomatoPie » Sun Dec 07, 2014 21:24:30

Monkeyboy wrote: What does significant or scalable mean exactly? They are increasing their alternative energy use quickly and significantly.



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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Monkeyboy » Sun Dec 07, 2014 22:34:07

You keep showing graphs that only tell part of the story. They are improving their energy efficiency much faster than we are and they are way ahead in developing a smart grid that will save tons of energy. Their home solar program (Golden Sun) just got started in 2009 or 2010, so the benefits of that program, along with several other programs they've started in the last few years, would not show up on your graph.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby SK790 » Sun Dec 07, 2014 22:47:38

yeah, but

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby slugsrbad » Sun Dec 07, 2014 22:56:34

I'm just going to say this, I hate charts that have no link or attribution to a source. When was this chart made? It only goes to 2011ish, so is it a projection from 2005? Is it from the US government, Chinese government, PETA?
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Werthless » Sun Dec 07, 2014 23:53:14

It's from wikipedia, apparantly, from the url. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policy_of_China

That doesnt mean that TP didnt upload himself to the entry. :)

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Werthless » Sun Dec 07, 2014 23:57:53

Monkeyboy wrote:You keep showing graphs that only tell part of the story. They are improving their energy efficiency much faster than we are and they are way ahead in developing a smart grid that will save tons of energy. Their home solar program (Golden Sun) just got started in 2009 or 2010, so the benefits of that program, along with several other programs they've started in the last few years, would not show up on your graph.

Some people find data to be more convincing than the "story."

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Mon Dec 08, 2014 01:54:56

Some people find good data more persuasive than crappy data
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby Monkeyboy » Mon Dec 08, 2014 03:49:51

and recent data better than old data.

Or some people prefer their data in context of the changes occurring.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby TomatoPie » Mon Dec 08, 2014 08:55:09

SK790 wrote:yeah, but

Image


Exactly. Their use of trendy energy is dwarfed by their mushrooming consumption of fossil fuels.

All the lovely dreams you posit about their move to green energy are no different than the American ones going back to the 70s.

It's a nice dream. And it will come true. It will come true when a profit-motivated entity finds a way to generate energy that is cheaper than fossil fuel.

It's an especially delusional dream to hang your hat on the fact that China's investment in green energy went from nearly nothing to double that.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby CalvinBall » Mon Dec 08, 2014 10:06:23

trendy energy, haha.

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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby drsmooth » Mon Dec 08, 2014 12:31:44

TomatoPie wrote: It will come true when a profit-motivated entity finds a way to generate energy that is cheaper than fossil fuel.


what we've been trying to point out to you is that "cheaper" is not merely a technical determination based on what people have always thought/felt/believed/acted on, but also on what they come to think/feel/believe act on.

You pretend that those calculations are immutable; what is "cheap" or "dear" today is cheap (or dear) always, into the endless future. not so.

Changes in those feelings/actions are never merely technical. You pretend that they are.
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby TomatoPie » Mon Dec 08, 2014 14:36:54

Bit of a non sequitur, doc. Sure, price is relative. But even more certainly, markets respond to price fluctuations. Govt don't
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Re: Ink up your Veto Pens this is the POLITICS thread.

Postby pacino » Mon Dec 08, 2014 16:23:25

10 months straight of 200K+ jobs added, longest streak since 1995
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